Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/23 Game 1
Maki Asami finished 1st (+61.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Maki Asami tsumo 8,000, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +29.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Aiko Hinata 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Aiko Hinata Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 3,900 from Kosuke Nagai | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -12.0 | +2.0 | -1.5 | +11.5 |
| East 2 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 17% | 26% | 24% | 33% | -6.3 | -5.6 | +2.8 | +9.2 |
| East 3 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,600 from Maki Asami | 14% | 20% | 26% | 41% | -1.6 | +1.7 | -12.8 | +12.7 |
| East 4 | Maki Asami tsumo 8,000 | 12% | 20% | 15% | 53% | -6.4 | -5.6 | +25.1 | -13.0 |
| South 1 | Kazunori Takizawa ron 2,000 from Aiko Hinata | 9% | 18% | 33% | 40% | -2.1 | -8.5 | -0.8 | +11.4 |
| South 2 | Maki Asami tsumo 8,000 | 6% | 12% | 29% | 52% | -5.2 | -14.9 | +29.7 | -9.6 |
| South 3 | Maki Asami ron 7,700 from Kosuke Nagai | 2% | 2% | 65% | 31% | -14.7 | +4.1 | +16.8 | -6.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 5,200 | 0% | 1% | 85% | 14% | +8.5 | -4.3 | -2.8 | -1.4 |
| South 4 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 2,000 | 0% | 0% | 87% | 13% | +13.7 | -13.2 | +5.1 | -5.5 |