Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/23 Game 2
Kenji Katsumata finished 1st (+52.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Kenji Katsumata's expected points by +19.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 24% | 25% | 25% | 27% | -2.2 | -23.0 | +23.6 | +1.6 |
| East 2 | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 20% | 12% | 42% | 26% | -0.7 | -19.1 | 0.0 | +19.8 |
| East 3 | Taro Suzuki ron 5,800 from Kenji Katsumata | 18% | 4% | 40% | 38% | -0.3 | -0.1 | +14.0 | -13.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 17% | 4% | 53% | 26% | +19.1 | -14.8 | -2.0 | -2.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 1% | 49% | 23% | +0.4 | +3.4 | +0.2 | -4.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Taro Suzuki | 28% | 2% | 51% | 19% | -2.6 | -1.3 | -15.5 | +19.4 |
| South 2 | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 12,000 | 27% | 2% | 34% | 38% | -7.4 | +20.9 | -7.9 | -5.5 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 1,500 from Mari Takamiya | 26% | 7% | 31% | 37% | -5.3 | +1.9 | +2.5 | +0.9 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 22% | 7% | 34% | 37% | -5.1 | -10.0 | -1.2 | +16.3 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,000 | 14% | 1% | 27% | 57% | +7.7 | -5.3 | -8.0 | +5.6 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 2,600 from Takaharu Ooi | 16% | 0% | 16% | 67% | +7.4 | -3.4 | -17.2 | +13.1 |