Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/23 Table B Game 1

Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in East 4: Geki Shimoishi ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +32.2.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Geki Shimoishi● Tomohiro Honda● Genta Takeuchi● Akina Mizuhara0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Geki● Tomohiro● Genta● Akina
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGeki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Tomohiro Honda
1st-place chance
Genta Takeuchi
1st-place chance
Akina Mizuhara
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
Tomohiro Honda
Expected pt change
Genta Takeuchi
Expected pt change
Akina Mizuhara
Expected pt change
East 1Akina Mizuhara ron 12,000 from Genta Takeuchi23%26%26%25%+0.1-3.3-30.6+33.9
East 2Tomohiro Honda ron 2,400 from Akina Mizuhara20%19%9%52%-2.0+9.4-0.8-6.6
East 2, 1 honbaAkina Mizuhara tsumo 12,00020%26%9%46%-9.1-15.4-6.0+30.5
East 3Akina Mizuhara ron 1,300 from Genta Takeuchi8%10%5%77%+0.7+1.1-6.0+4.1
East 4Geki Shimoishi ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara7%9%2%82%+32.2-0.9-1.9-29.5
South 1Geki Shimoishi ron 1,500 from Genta Takeuchi35%13%4%49%+2.3-1.6-2.4+1.8
South 1, 1 honbaTomohiro Honda ron 3,900 from Geki Shimoishi36%12%3%50%-11.2+10.1-1.6+2.7
South 2Geki Shimoishi ron 8,000 from Tomohiro Honda25%16%2%56%+29.2-25.1+0.9-5.1
South 3Geki Shimoishi tsumo 8,00058%1%2%39%+21.0+0.1-9.9-11.2
South 4Tomohiro Honda ron 8,000 from Geki Shimoishi87%0%0%13%-2.8+9.2-0.4-6.0

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)