Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/23 Table B Game 2
Saki Kurosawa finished 1st (+57.4pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000, which moved Saki Kurosawa's expected points by +68.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 24% | 26% | -5.2 | +7.2 | -0.6 | -1.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 21% | 29% | 24% | 26% | +2.2 | 0.0 | -7.2 | +5.0 |
| East 3 | Saki Kurosawa ron 2,000 from Rio Tojyo | 23% | 29% | 19% | 29% | -7.2 | -1.5 | +6.3 | +2.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 27% | 24% | 32% | -2.6 | +16.3 | -8.5 | -5.2 |
| East 4 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 4,000 | 17% | 42% | 16% | 26% | +14.8 | -1.3 | -2.1 | -11.4 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,600 from Rio Tojyo | 26% | 40% | 15% | 18% | -11.7 | +11.9 | -1.7 | +1.5 |
| South 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 5,200 from Rio Tojyo | 15% | 54% | 13% | 18% | -18.5 | +2.8 | +17.3 | -1.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 5% | 61% | 19% | 15% | -7.9 | +5.0 | -6.8 | +9.8 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 2% | 73% | 9% | 17% | -0.6 | -3.7 | -5.7 | +10.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Saki Kurosawa tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 66% | 9% | 22% | -11.2 | -27.5 | +68.4 | -29.7 |