Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/26 Game 1
Ken Sonoda finished 1st (+86.7pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara, which moved Ken Sonoda's expected points by +35.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 23% | 26% | +5.6 | +0.4 | -1.7 | -4.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda | 29% | 25% | 23% | 24% | +10.3 | -1.2 | +0.3 | -9.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 5,200 | 37% | 22% | 23% | 18% | -9.2 | +17.4 | -4.4 | -3.8 |
| East 2 | Ken Sonoda ron 12,000 from Aki Nikaido | 30% | 35% | 19% | 16% | -31.6 | -1.8 | +1.5 | +31.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 33% | 20% | 36% | -2.3 | -2.4 | +5.5 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 10% | 31% | 23% | 36% | -2.8 | -0.9 | -5.7 | +9.4 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 29% | 17% | 45% | +3.8 | -1.5 | -7.0 | +4.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,500 from Akina Mizuhara | 11% | 27% | 14% | 48% | +0.4 | -7.0 | +0.3 | +6.2 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 12,000 | 10% | 22% | 13% | 56% | -7.9 | +39.2 | -7.5 | -23.8 |
| South 1 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 12,000 | 6% | 60% | 9% | 25% | +29.6 | -8.7 | -10.9 | -10.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 18% | 52% | 8% | 22% | -5.4 | -28.2 | -2.0 | +35.6 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 2,600 from Ken Sonoda | 13% | 22% | 6% | 60% | +10.6 | -2.0 | -3.0 | -5.7 |
| South 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 22% | 19% | 6% | 54% | -18.6 | +1.7 | -6.8 | +23.7 |
| South 4 | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 6% | 0% | 91% | -6.8 | -5.5 | -5.1 | +17.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 12,000 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -3.8 | -4.9 | -3.7 | +12.3 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -6.0 | +2.7 | +1.7 | +1.6 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 1,500 from Aki Nikaido | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | -5.8 | +1.3 | +1.3 | +3.2 |
| South 4, 4 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 1,000 from Ken Sonoda | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | +7.2 | +2.8 | -6.5 | -3.4 |