Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/26 Game 2
Kei Nakabayashi finished 1st (+56.7pt). The game was decided in East 2: Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 12,000, which moved Kei Nakabayashi's expected points by +27.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kotaro Uchikawa 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Kotaro Uchikawa Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 25% | 25% | 25% | 24% | -3.7 | -19.0 | +23.6 | -0.8 |
| East 2 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 12,000 | 22% | 14% | 42% | 23% | -7.2 | -15.2 | +27.2 | -4.8 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 12,000 | 11% | 6% | 68% | 15% | -5.8 | +29.8 | -10.3 | -13.7 |
| East 4 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 2,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 12% | 17% | 60% | 11% | -3.0 | -5.2 | +10.1 | -1.9 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa | 8% | 11% | 73% | 8% | -24.1 | -0.5 | +0.9 | +23.8 |
| South 2 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 10% | 74% | 15% | -2.5 | -10.6 | +0.8 | +12.3 |
| South 3 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 2,700 | 0% | 2% | 77% | 20% | -3.0 | -1.3 | -0.8 | +5.1 |
| South 4 | Kotaro Uchikawa tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 80% | 19% | +15.3 | -10.3 | +6.4 | -11.4 |