Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/26 Table B Game 1
HIRO Shibata finished 1st (+60.9pt). The game was decided in East 2, 2 honba: HIRO Shibata ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto, which moved HIRO Shibata's expected points by +37.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Wataru Shirinashihama 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Wataru Shirinashihama Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Wataru Shirinashihama | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -22.8 | +23.7 | -0.7 | -0.2 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 42% | 22% | 25% | -1.6 | +5.1 | -1.2 | -2.3 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 1,500 from Wataru Shirinashihama | 10% | 45% | 22% | 23% | -6.7 | +7.4 | -1.4 | +0.8 |
| East 2, 2 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 8% | 53% | 19% | 21% | +1.0 | -35.4 | +37.0 | -2.6 |
| East 3 | Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 8,000 | 8% | 21% | 51% | 20% | +19.4 | -2.9 | -10.6 | -5.9 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 21% | 43% | 19% | +8.2 | -2.4 | -0.7 | -5.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 5,200 from Wataru Shirinashihama | 21% | 20% | 43% | 16% | -19.9 | -1.7 | +2.1 | +19.5 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 18% | 45% | 28% | -4.3 | +10.8 | -3.7 | -2.8 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Wataru Shirinashihama ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 9% | 26% | 40% | 25% | +17.7 | -22.8 | +4.7 | +0.3 |
| South 3 | HIRO Shibata ron 7,700 from Daisuke Suzuki | 17% | 11% | 47% | 25% | -3.6 | +1.9 | +27.2 | -25.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 4% | 83% | 7% | -3.2 | +10.6 | +0.6 | -8.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 1,000 from Wataru Shirinashihama | 2% | 4% | 88% | 6% | -5.3 | +10.1 | +8.0 | -12.8 |