Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/26 Table B Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+58.0pt). The game was decided in East 1, 1 honba: Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +24.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +0.2 | -5.3 | +2.8 | +2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 26% | 22% | 27% | 26% | -12.0 | +24.3 | -5.5 | -6.8 |
| East 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 17% | 38% | 24% | 21% | -5.5 | +1.4 | -3.7 | +7.8 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 15% | 39% | 20% | 26% | -6.0 | +9.9 | -1.8 | -2.1 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 7,800 | 11% | 49% | 17% | 23% | -7.1 | -9.8 | -6.3 | +23.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 5,200 | 9% | 37% | 12% | 42% | -4.0 | +18.9 | -4.6 | -10.3 |
| South 1 | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 6% | 58% | 8% | 28% | -8.6 | +7.6 | +0.4 | +0.6 |
| South 2 | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 6,400 | 1% | 68% | 8% | 23% | +14.2 | -5.2 | -7.6 | -1.5 |
| South 3 | Shingo Hori ron 1,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 4% | 67% | 7% | 23% | -1.9 | +10.0 | -6.1 | -2.0 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 1% | 85% | 1% | 14% | -7.0 | -0.8 | +3.0 | +4.9 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Megumu Aikawa ron 2,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 0% | 83% | 1% | 17% | +13.5 | +7.9 | -15.2 | -6.3 |