Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/27 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+67.5pt). The game was decided in South 2: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +39.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 27% | 23% | +5.1 | +2.6 | -5.9 | -1.8 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,000 | 29% | 27% | 22% | 22% | -15.4 | -7.6 | +27.3 | -4.3 |
| East 2 | Saki Kurosawa ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 17% | 21% | 43% | 19% | +0.5 | +33.3 | -33.9 | +0.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 47% | 17% | 19% | +7.0 | -2.2 | -2.5 | -2.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 12,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 21% | 45% | 15% | 18% | -32.6 | -1.5 | +34.2 | -0.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 1,500 from Saki Kurosawa | 6% | 41% | 38% | 15% | +2.0 | -12.2 | +10.5 | -0.3 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 28% | 49% | 16% | +3.7 | +5.2 | -4.2 | -4.8 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Sayaka Okada | 8% | 33% | 45% | 14% | -2.4 | +1.2 | -8.8 | +10.1 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 36% | 36% | 20% | +2.3 | -1.1 | -4.7 | +3.5 |
| East 4, 7 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 3,200 from Saki Kurosawa | 9% | 37% | 32% | 22% | -2.7 | -17.1 | +22.2 | -2.5 |
| South 1 | Sayaka Okada ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 6% | 20% | 57% | 18% | -4.0 | -3.2 | +5.2 | +1.9 |
| South 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 16% | 64% | 17% | -7.7 | -20.8 | -10.8 | +39.3 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 2% | 42% | 55% | +2.4 | -1.9 | -0.9 | +0.4 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 7,700 from Saki Kurosawa | 1% | 2% | 42% | 56% | +9.5 | -21.0 | -14.0 | +25.6 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Saki Kurosawa | 0% | 0% | 6% | 94% | +1.5 | -4.2 | -1.3 | +4.0 |
| South 4, 3 honba | Saki Kurosawa ron 8,000 from Sayaka Okada | 0% | 0% | 4% | 96% | -17.0 | +26.1 | -9.4 | +0.2 |