Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/27 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+54.1pt). The game was decided in East 3: Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +33.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Shota Akutsu | 25% | 24% | 26% | 25% | +8.4 | -6.3 | -0.6 | -1.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 20% | 24% | 25% | +2.3 | -2.1 | -1.5 | +1.4 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 33% | 19% | 23% | 26% | +17.2 | -1.3 | -2.4 | -13.5 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Shota Akutsu tsumo 4,000 | 47% | 17% | 20% | 16% | -6.4 | +10.6 | -1.3 | -2.9 |
| East 2 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 42% | 23% | 20% | 16% | -6.3 | -12.2 | -5.4 | +23.8 |
| East 3 | Tomohiro Honda ron 12,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 37% | 16% | 17% | 30% | -32.4 | -0.3 | +33.4 | -0.7 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Shota Akutsu tsumo 8,000 | 14% | 15% | 42% | 29% | -5.7 | +28.4 | -17.7 | -5.1 |
| East 4 | Shota Akutsu ron 1,000 from Tomohiro Honda | 13% | 35% | 26% | 26% | -2.3 | +4.3 | +1.3 | -3.3 |
| South 1 | Tomohiro Honda ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido | 11% | 39% | 27% | 22% | -4.3 | +2.3 | +17.5 | -15.6 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 6% | 38% | 43% | 13% | -20.2 | -3.1 | -1.7 | +24.9 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 35% | 37% | 26% | +0.9 | +0.7 | +4.6 | -6.2 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Aki Nikaido | 0% | 32% | 47% | 20% | -1.3 | -8.4 | +27.6 | -17.9 |