Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/27 Table B Game 1

HIRO Shibata finished 1st (+53.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: HIRO Shibata ron 12,000 from Maki Asami, which moved HIRO Shibata's expected points by +31.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● HIRO Shibata● Mari Takamiya● Rio Tojyo● Maki Asami0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● HIRO● Mari● Rio● Maki
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultMari Takamiya
1st-place chance
HIRO Shibata
1st-place chance
Rio Tojyo
1st-place chance
Maki Asami
1st-place chance
Mari Takamiya
Expected pt change
HIRO Shibata
Expected pt change
Rio Tojyo
Expected pt change
Maki Asami
Expected pt change
East 1Maki Asami ron 3,200 from HIRO Shibata27%25%24%24%-4.2-7.7+2.5+9.4
East 2HIRO Shibata ron 12,000 from Maki Asami22%19%26%32%-0.6+31.9-1.3-30.0
East 2, 1 honbaExhaustive draw20%42%24%14%-0.9-3.2+5.8-1.7
East 3, 2 honbaMaki Asami ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo20%38%28%13%+2.7+3.2-28.6+22.8
East 4HIRO Shibata ron 2,000 from Rio Tojyo23%43%11%23%-1.6+6.7-2.5-2.5
South 1Rio Tojyo ron 3,900 from Maki Asami20%49%10%20%-6.1+4.5+10.9-9.3
South 2Exhaustive draw14%57%14%15%+11.50.0-4.2-7.2
South 3, 1 honbaMaki Asami ron 3,200 from Mari Takamiya19%59%12%11%-12.7+9.1-10.0+13.6
South 4Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya7%76%3%13%-35.6+11.2+36.2-11.8

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)