Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/27 Table B Game 2
Megumu Aikawa finished 1st (+49.7pt). The game was decided in South 2: Megumu Aikawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda, which moved Megumu Aikawa's expected points by +34.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | +3.3 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -0.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Arisa Date ron 8,000 from Megumu Aikawa | 28% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -23.1 | -0.4 | 0.0 | +23.6 |
| East 2 | Arisa Date ron 1,000 from Kana Nakada | 13% | 22% | 23% | 42% | +1.0 | -2.0 | -4.1 | +5.1 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 19% | 21% | 47% | -3.0 | +2.1 | +4.5 | -3.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Arisa Date ron 1,000 from Kana Nakada | 13% | 21% | 22% | 43% | -1.8 | +0.5 | -7.2 | +8.4 |
| East 4 | Kana Nakada ron 1,300 from Arisa Date | 11% | 19% | 17% | 53% | -4.4 | +0.5 | +7.2 | -3.4 |
| South 1 | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 6,000 | 9% | 21% | 21% | 50% | +18.4 | -6.9 | -5.4 | -6.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Megumu Aikawa tsumo 7,800 | 19% | 17% | 19% | 44% | +25.3 | -9.1 | -8.0 | -8.2 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 37% | 12% | 16% | 36% | -15.8 | +34.1 | -8.8 | -9.6 |
| South 2 | Megumu Aikawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda | 23% | 36% | 12% | 29% | +34.4 | -32.0 | -2.0 | -0.5 |
| South 3 | Arisa Date ron 3,900 from Megumu Aikawa | 62% | 8% | 9% | 21% | -4.3 | -2.6 | -8.9 | +15.8 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 59% | 7% | 3% | 32% | +17.8 | +2.0 | -7.6 | -12.2 |