Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/29 Table B Game 1

Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+62.8pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +33.6.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1South 2End● Taro Suzuki● Koshin Asakura● Shota Akutsu● Yoshihiro Matsumoto0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Taro● Koshin● Shota● Yoshihiro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTaro Suzuki
1st-place chance
Koshin Asakura
1st-place chance
Shota Akutsu
1st-place chance
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
1st-place chance
Taro Suzuki
Expected pt change
Koshin Asakura
Expected pt change
Shota Akutsu
Expected pt change
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
Expected pt change
East 1Exhaustive draw26%24%26%25%-4.2+4.7+2.5-3.1
East 2, 1 honbaYoshihiro Matsumoto ron 2,600 from Koshin Asakura22%27%28%24%-0.8-12.2-1.8+14.8
East 3Taro Suzuki tsumo 5,20020%18%27%35%+20.6-1.8-10.5-8.3
East 4Shota Akutsu ron 5,200 from Koshin Asakura37%18%17%27%0.0-14.7+17.2-2.5
South 1Exhaustive draw37%10%29%24%+2.3+2.3+3.3-7.9
South 1, 1 honbaTaro Suzuki tsumo 12,00038%11%32%19%+33.6-8.5-14.6-10.6
South 1, 2 honbaExhaustive draw75%5%12%8%+3.0-2.0-2.3+1.3
South 1, 3 honbaShota Akutsu tsumo 2,70077%4%11%8%-3.1-5.8+11.5-2.6
South 2Exhaustive draw76%3%15%6%-1.3+7.4-2.1-4.0
South 2, 1 honbaYoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,00075%5%14%6%-4.9-18.8-11.3+35.0
South 3Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Shota Akutsu70%0%10%20%+1.1+1.0-20.1+18.0
South 4Taro Suzuki tsumo 4,00070%0%0%30%+16.2-3.1+2.1-15.1

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)