Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/29 Table B Game 2
Yoshihiro Matsumoto finished 1st (+52.3pt). The game was decided in South 4: Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Wataru Shirinashihama, which moved Yoshihiro Matsumoto's expected points by +42.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Wataru Shirinashihama 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Wataru Shirinashihama Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yu Suzuki ron 2,900 from Futoshi Watanabe | 27% | 24% | 25% | 24% | +12.3 | -0.1 | -3.1 | -9.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 34% | 25% | 23% | 19% | +3.6 | +1.9 | -3.5 | -2.0 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 25% | 21% | 18% | +5.2 | +2.8 | -2.8 | -5.2 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 3,000 | 39% | 26% | 20% | 15% | +9.9 | -4.2 | -5.0 | -0.8 |
| East 1, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 22% | 16% | 14% | -2.9 | +5.0 | +3.1 | -5.3 |
| East 2, 5 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 47% | 25% | 16% | 11% | +1.3 | -6.4 | -14.1 | +19.3 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 49% | 20% | 11% | 21% | -3.6 | -1.6 | -0.1 | +5.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yu Suzuki ron 1,300 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 46% | 19% | 11% | 24% | +8.2 | +0.6 | -7.0 | -1.8 |
| East 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 8,000 | 54% | 19% | 7% | 21% | -1.0 | -6.6 | +21.2 | -13.6 |
| South 1 | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 55% | 16% | 15% | 14% | +1.5 | +0.5 | -13.5 | +11.5 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Yu Suzuki | 59% | 15% | 9% | 17% | -22.7 | -4.8 | +32.4 | -4.9 |
| South 3 | Yu Suzuki ron 1,000 from Wataru Shirinashihama | 34% | 16% | 29% | 21% | +14.5 | -5.3 | +1.0 | -10.3 |
| South 4 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Wataru Shirinashihama | 51% | 11% | 24% | 14% | -17.5 | -25.0 | +42.8 | -0.3 |