Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
10/30 Game 2
Tomohiro Honda finished 1st (+64.0pt). The game was decided in East 2: Tomohiro Honda tsumo 18,000, which moved Tomohiro Honda's expected points by +42.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Tomohiro Honda 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Tomohiro Honda Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 5,200 from Shingo Hori | 26% | 26% | 26% | 23% | -5.0 | +2.0 | +12.4 | -9.3 |
| East 2 | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 18,000 | 22% | 26% | 35% | 17% | -15.9 | +42.2 | -13.1 | -13.2 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 61% | 21% | 9% | -1.8 | -2.3 | +2.9 | +1.2 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 4,000 | 10% | 60% | 22% | 8% | -4.7 | +0.9 | -11.8 | +15.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 62% | 14% | 16% | -1.6 | +7.8 | -0.6 | -5.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 74% | 11% | 9% | +0.2 | -8.2 | +5.2 | +2.8 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 18,000 | 8% | 64% | 16% | 12% | +59.2 | -20.4 | -21.7 | -17.0 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 48% | 37% | 8% | 7% | -1.5 | -1.2 | -3.4 | +6.0 |
| South 2, 4 honba | Tomohiro Honda ron 2,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 50% | 35% | 7% | 8% | -3.7 | +12.0 | -7.4 | -0.8 |
| South 2, 5 honba | Exhaustive draw | 41% | 48% | 4% | 7% | -4.1 | +2.5 | +5.2 | -3.6 |
| South 2, 6 honba | Arisa Date tsumo 2,000 | 37% | 51% | 6% | 6% | +17.1 | -9.6 | -5.1 | -2.4 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 58% | 34% | 4% | 4% | -5.3 | +5.5 | +3.2 | -3.4 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 50% | 43% | 4% | 4% | -8.1 | +14.8 | -3.3 | -3.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Tomohiro Honda tsumo 2,700 | 29% | 68% | 0% | 3% | -11.7 | +18.1 | +7.1 | -13.5 |