Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

10/30 Table B Game 2

Geki Shimoishi finished 1st (+71.1pt). The game was decided in East 1: Geki Shimoishi ron 18,000 from Koshin Asakura, which moved Geki Shimoishi's expected points by +42.9.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4South 2End● Geki Shimoishi● Kazuma Ishii● Koshin Asakura● Kenji Katsumata0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Geki● Kazuma● Koshin● Kenji
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultGeki Shimoishi
1st-place chance
Kazuma Ishii
1st-place chance
Koshin Asakura
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Geki Shimoishi
Expected pt change
Kazuma Ishii
Expected pt change
Koshin Asakura
Expected pt change
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
East 1Geki Shimoishi ron 18,000 from Koshin Asakura26%24%24%26%+42.9-1.9-40.1-0.9
East 1, 1 honbaKazuma Ishii tsumo 8,00059%17%5%19%-14.2+22.8-4.1-4.6
East 2Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Kazuma Ishii45%34%5%17%+2.4-9.7+8.2-0.8
East 3Kenji Katsumata ron 2,600 from Kazuma Ishii49%26%7%18%+3.3-5.2-5.2+7.1
East 4Geki Shimoishi ron 1,300 from Koshin Asakura53%22%5%21%+7.1-2.3-2.2-2.6
South 1Geki Shimoishi ron 5,800 from Koshin Asakura62%19%3%16%+12.1-1.4-9.6-1.1
South 1, 1 honbaGeki Shimoishi ron 12,000 from Kenji Katsumata75%13%1%11%+20.4+0.2+2.1-22.7
South 1, 2 honbaKazuma Ishii tsumo 8,00093%5%1%2%-8.0+18.3-3.0-7.3
South 2Kazuma Ishii ron 7,700 from Kenji Katsumata85%13%1%1%-4.3+13.6+3.6-12.9
South 2, 1 honbaKenji Katsumata tsumo 4,00074%25%0%0%+3.4-7.1-6.1+9.9
South 3Exhaustive draw85%15%0%1%-4.3+4.0+3.9-3.6
South 3, 1 honbaKenji Katsumata tsumo 1,10078%21%0%1%+2.7-2.3-5.7+5.2
South 4Exhaustive draw85%14%0%1%+6.2-6.0+0.4-0.6

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)