Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

11/2 Game 1

HIRO Shibata finished 1st (+81.8pt). The game was decided in East 1: HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,000, which moved HIRO Shibata's expected points by +29.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● HIRO Shibata● Hiroshi Daigo● Daisuke Suzuki● Ken Sonoda0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● HIRO● Hiroshi● Daisuke● Ken
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultHIRO Shibata
1st-place chance
Hiroshi Daigo
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
HIRO Shibata
Expected pt change
Hiroshi Daigo
Expected pt change
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
East 1HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,00026%24%25%26%+29.0-8.5-10.0-10.4
East 1, 1 honbaHiroshi Daigo ron 1,000 from Daisuke Suzuki47%18%18%18%+0.9+2.4-3.7+0.4
East 2HIRO Shibata tsumo 8,00050%18%15%17%+20.0-12.1-3.6-4.3
East 3Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,00069%8%11%11%-10.7-9.3+29.4-9.5
East 3, 1 honbaExhaustive draw58%6%27%9%+2.4-5.0+4.6-2.1
East 3, 2 honbaHiroshi Daigo ron 2,600 from Daisuke Suzuki59%4%29%8%+4.6+9.2-11.6-2.1
East 4Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,300 from Ken Sonoda67%7%18%8%+3.1-1.4+4.4-6.1
South 1Hiroshi Daigo ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda73%5%19%3%+1.2+11.9-1.1-12.0
South 2HIRO Shibata tsumo 8,00075%8%15%2%+15.7-10.0-3.2-2.4
South 3Exhaustive draw93%0%6%1%-3.9+1.7+0.9+1.2
South 3, 1 honbaHIRO Shibata tsumo 12,00089%1%9%2%+18.4-1.8-10.3-6.3
South 4Daisuke Suzuki ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda100%0%0%0%+0.1-0.9+13.4-12.6

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)