Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/2 Game 2
Rio Tojyo finished 1st (+67.5pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Rio Tojyo ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki, which moved Rio Tojyo's expected points by +35.1.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 25% | 25% | 25% | -7.9 | +2.1 | +0.8 | +5.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 19% | 27% | 26% | 29% | +28.5 | -24.9 | -0.1 | -3.5 |
| East 3 | Rio Tojyo tsumo 6,000 | 40% | 10% | 25% | 25% | -5.8 | -6.5 | +13.4 | -1.1 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 34% | 8% | 34% | 24% | -34.5 | +1.5 | +35.1 | -2.1 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 6% | 68% | 17% | -1.8 | +3.9 | +2.4 | -4.5 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Rio Tojyo ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 8% | 6% | 71% | 15% | -26.0 | +3.9 | +22.6 | -0.4 |
| East 3, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 3% | 89% | 7% | +2.8 | -1.6 | -1.7 | +0.5 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Rio Tojyo tsumo 2,000 | 1% | 3% | 89% | 7% | -1.5 | -3.8 | +9.4 | -4.1 |
| South 1 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 1% | 1% | 96% | 2% | +39.1 | -15.5 | -8.1 | -15.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Rio Tojyo | 4% | 1% | 94% | 2% | -4.2 | -4.2 | -8.9 | +17.3 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 8,000 from Taro Suzuki | 3% | 1% | 90% | 6% | -18.7 | -2.4 | +0.3 | +20.8 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 0% | 90% | 10% | +0.1 | -2.8 | -2.3 | +5.1 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 1,100 | 0% | 0% | 89% | 11% | +5.4 | -3.2 | +4.3 | -6.5 |