Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

11/2 Table B Game 2

Takaharu Ooi finished 1st (+64.2pt). The game was decided in South 1: Takaharu Ooi ron 18,000 from Kei Nakabayashi, which moved Takaharu Ooi's expected points by +35.1.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

Hands	Result	Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance	Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance	Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance	Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance	Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change	Shota Akutsu Expected pt change	Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change	Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change
East 1	Kei Nakabayashi ron 1,000 from Saki Kurosawa	26%	25%	27%	23%	-1.6	+0.3	-4.4	+5.6
East 2	Exhaustive draw	24%	25%	24%	27%	-3.4	+1.9	+4.9	-3.5
East 2, 1 honba	Takaharu Ooi ron 2,600 from Shota Akutsu	22%	25%	28%	25%	+17.4	-10.8	-7.0	+0.4
East 3	Shota Akutsu tsumo 8,000	35%	18%	22%	25%	-6.6	+28.1	-13.0	-8.6
East 4	Takaharu Ooi ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi	27%	39%	14%	20%	+24.8	-2.2	0.0	-22.5
South 1	Takaharu Ooi ron 18,000 from Kei Nakabayashi	50%	32%	11%	8%	+35.1	-5.9	+2.5	-31.7
South 1, 1 honba	Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,500	84%	12%	4%	1%	+4.2	-2.6	-1.7	+0.1
South 1, 2 honba	Takaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Shota Akutsu	88%	9%	3%	0%	+12.1	-16.9	+4.0	+0.8
South 1, 3 honba	Saki Kurosawa tsumo 2,700	96%	2%	2%	0%	-3.3	-2.6	+8.0	-2.1
South 2	Shota Akutsu ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi	96%	2%	2%	0%	-18.9	+25.5	-4.5	-2.1
South 2, 1 honba	Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 12,000	80%	14%	5%	0%	+0.2	-12.0	-5.6	+17.4
South 3	Takaharu Ooi ron 2,000 from Shota Akutsu	89%	5%	5%	1%	+6.5	-2.0	-2.9	-1.6
South 4	Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 7,800	98%	0%	0%	1%	-3.6	-4.1	-5.8	+13.5
South 4, 1 honba	Exhaustive draw	97%	1%	0%	3%	-0.8	-2.5	-2.3	+5.6
South 4, 2 honba	Shota Akutsu ron 2,000 from Kei Nakabayashi	97%	1%	0%	3%	+1.2	+12.0	+3.1	-16.3

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)