Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/3 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+67.2pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +31.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -4.9 | -2.8 | +1.0 | +6.6 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 21% | 23% | 26% | 30% | -0.3 | -12.5 | -2.3 | +15.0 |
| East 3 | Koshin Asakura ron 2,600 from Geki Shimoishi | 20% | 14% | 23% | 42% | +1.2 | +11.0 | -13.0 | +0.8 |
| East 4 | Geki Shimoishi ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 22% | 20% | 14% | 44% | +0.9 | -2.9 | +4.7 | -2.7 |
| South 1 | Kenji Katsumata tsumo 7,800 | 21% | 18% | 18% | 43% | +25.3 | -5.3 | -9.6 | -10.5 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 43% | 16% | 12% | 30% | -17.0 | -8.5 | -6.0 | +31.4 |
| South 2 | Geki Shimoishi ron 6,400 from Koshin Asakura | 19% | 8% | 8% | 65% | -1.7 | -22.2 | +21.3 | +2.6 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 1% | 14% | 70% | +2.5 | -2.3 | +4.6 | -4.8 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 2,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 20% | 1% | 16% | 63% | +8.5 | -2.4 | -13.3 | +7.1 |
| South 4 | Shingo Hori ron 12,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 19% | 0% | 5% | 76% | -4.1 | +7.5 | -24.0 | +20.6 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Shingo Hori ron 2,000 from Kenji Katsumata | 3% | 0% | 0% | 97% | -3.3 | -0.8 | +0.6 | +3.4 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Koshin Asakura tsumo 2,700 | 1% | 0% | 0% | 99% | -0.5 | +16.8 | -12.8 | -3.5 |