Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/3 Table B Game 1
Genta Takeuchi finished 1st (+61.8pt). The game was decided in East 4: Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000, which moved Genta Takeuchi's expected points by +29.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | -1.9 | +2.5 | -2.0 | +1.4 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 23% | 27% | 25% | 25% | -24.6 | -1.0 | -0.7 | +26.2 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 24% | 22% | 46% | -1.6 | -1.2 | +5.2 | -2.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 2,600 from Masato Hagiwara | 9% | 23% | 25% | 44% | +7.5 | -1.4 | -8.3 | +2.2 |
| East 4 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000 | 12% | 22% | 18% | 47% | -7.4 | -11.3 | -11.1 | +29.9 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Maki Asami ron 3,900 from Masato Hagiwara | 4% | 10% | 8% | 77% | -1.7 | +12.0 | -9.4 | -0.9 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 5% | 13% | 5% | 78% | -18.1 | -8.7 | +30.5 | -3.8 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 0% | 10% | 15% | 75% | +1.8 | -5.6 | +1.2 | +2.7 |
| South 3 | Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 1% | 4% | 14% | 82% | -12.1 | +23.4 | -15.9 | +4.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 7% | 2% | 91% | +0.6 | -0.2 | -3.1 | +2.7 |