Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/3 Table B Game 2
Naoki Setokuma finished 1st (+66.1pt). The game was decided in East 4: Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe, which moved Naoki Setokuma's expected points by +36.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +2.7 | -1.4 | -1.7 | +0.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 5,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 27% | 25% | 22% | 26% | -3.3 | -15.5 | -2.0 | +20.8 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 22% | 15% | 20% | 43% | -0.1 | +30.7 | +1.3 | -31.8 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 35% | 22% | 19% | -5.5 | -13.0 | +26.7 | -8.1 |
| East 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 19% | 23% | 43% | 15% | +25.4 | -5.6 | -14.0 | -5.8 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 12,000 from Futoshi Watanabe | 40% | 19% | 29% | 12% | -5.1 | -2.3 | +36.5 | -29.1 |
| South 1 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 8,000 from Naoki Setokuma | 24% | 12% | 63% | 1% | +0.2 | +22.7 | -21.5 | -1.4 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 29% | 30% | 39% | 2% | -5.0 | +7.9 | -4.9 | +2.0 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 39% | 34% | 2% | -3.4 | +4.5 | -3.8 | +2.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Naoki Setokuma tsumo 8,000 | 22% | 45% | 30% | 3% | -9.8 | -18.5 | +31.6 | -3.2 |
| South 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 7,700 from Hiroshi Daigo | 10% | 18% | 71% | 2% | +3.4 | -23.0 | +19.6 | 0.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,200 from Hiroshi Daigo | 3% | 1% | 95% | 1% | +3.0 | -8.1 | +0.7 | +4.5 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 0% | 98% | 1% | -18.1 | +29.4 | -0.8 | -10.5 |