Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

11/5 Table B Game 1

Aki Nikaido finished 1st (+61.8pt). The game was decided in South 2: Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Hinako Sano, which moved Aki Nikaido's expected points by +31.8.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Aki Nikaido● Takaharu Ooi● Hinako Sano● Ken Sonoda0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 4End● Aki● Takaharu● Hinako● Ken
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultTakaharu Ooi
1st-place chance
Hinako Sano
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
1st-place chance
Aki Nikaido
1st-place chance
Takaharu Ooi
Expected pt change
Hinako Sano
Expected pt change
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
Aki Nikaido
Expected pt change
East 1Exhaustive draw25%26%25%24%+2.9+0.9-7.5+3.6
East 1, 1 honbaKen Sonoda ron 8,000 from Takaharu Ooi26%26%21%27%-23.9+1.6+21.7+0.6
East 2Ken Sonoda tsumo 5,20013%27%35%26%-2.6-13.0+20.5-4.9
East 3Exhaustive draw10%15%54%21%-2.9-0.6-3.6+7.1
East 4, 1 honbaAki Nikaido ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda9%14%51%26%0.0-2.3-13.8+16.1
East 4, 2 honbaTakaharu Ooi ron 5,200 from Aki Nikaido9%14%37%40%+20.8-1.6+2.4-21.5
South 1Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,10019%16%40%25%-4.8-4.2+7.4+1.6
South 2Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Hinako Sano14%13%49%25%-1.2-26.7-3.9+31.8
South 3Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda9%1%37%53%+1.3-1.2-27.5+27.4
South 4Takaharu Ooi ron 1,300 from Hinako Sano1%0%2%96%+15.4-4.1-11.6+0.3

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)