Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/5 Table B Game 2
Futoshi Watanabe finished 1st (+56.3pt). The game was decided in South 1, 2 honba: Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori, which moved Futoshi Watanabe's expected points by +21.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 24% | 26% | +2.0 | +4.9 | -4.4 | -2.5 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 29% | 22% | 24% | -2.7 | +0.1 | +7.5 | -4.9 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 24% | 28% | 27% | 21% | -13.9 | -1.5 | -2.1 | +17.6 |
| East 3 | Aki Nikaido tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 27% | 25% | 33% | +23.3 | -4.5 | -14.6 | -4.3 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 32% | 23% | 16% | 30% | -2.5 | +9.1 | -1.0 | -5.6 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Aki Nikaido ron 5,800 from Sayaka Kayamori | 29% | 30% | 15% | 25% | +18.8 | -1.2 | -16.9 | -0.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 3,900 from Sayaka Kayamori | 45% | 26% | 7% | 22% | -4.8 | +21.0 | -11.5 | -4.7 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 44% | 4% | 17% | -0.3 | -2.7 | +0.6 | +2.3 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe ron 2,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 36% | 41% | 4% | 20% | -4.8 | +19.2 | -10.2 | -4.2 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 70% | 0% | 11% | -4.8 | +12.3 | +4.2 | -11.7 |