Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

11/6 Game 1

Maki Asami finished 1st (+53.9pt). The game was decided in South 2: Maki Asami tsumo 12,000, which moved Maki Asami's expected points by +47.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Maki Asami● Daisuke Suzuki● Arisa Date● Sho Shiratori0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Maki● Daisuke● Arisa● Sho
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultDaisuke Suzuki
1st-place chance
Arisa Date
1st-place chance
Sho Shiratori
1st-place chance
Maki Asami
1st-place chance
Daisuke Suzuki
Expected pt change
Arisa Date
Expected pt change
Sho Shiratori
Expected pt change
Maki Asami
Expected pt change
East 1Sho Shiratori tsumo 8,00024%27%25%24%-11.8-6.0+21.7-3.9
East 2Arisa Date tsumo 12,00016%21%42%22%-7.8+30.7-13.1-9.8
East 2, 1 honbaDaisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,00012%43%29%16%+33.7-19.5-6.4-7.8
East 3Maki Asami ron 8,000 from Sho Shiratori34%28%25%14%+2.8+1.2-27.0+23.1
East 4Arisa Date ron 2,000 from Daisuke Suzuki36%28%10%26%-6.1+8.9-1.7-1.2
South 1Sho Shiratori ron 12,000 from Daisuke Suzuki30%37%9%24%-40.2-2.8+43.7-0.6
South 2Maki Asami tsumo 12,0007%33%37%23%-9.0-25.1-13.2+47.3
South 3Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,0002%7%16%75%+45.0-18.9-25.7-0.4
South 4Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Arisa Date13%3%4%80%+0.8-12.4+4.4+7.2

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)