Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/6 Game 2
Taro Suzuki finished 1st (+63.8pt). The game was decided in South 4, 2 honba: Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya, which moved Taro Suzuki's expected points by +44.3.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | +4.0 | +3.6 | -3.0 | -4.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 27% | 24% | 22% | +1.5 | +3.7 | -0.8 | -4.3 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya ron 2,600 from Taro Suzuki | 28% | 30% | 22% | 20% | -13.6 | -0.9 | -0.2 | +14.8 |
| East 2 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 12,000 | 18% | 29% | 23% | 30% | -7.2 | -18.0 | -8.7 | +33.8 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Mari Takamiya | 12% | 13% | 15% | 60% | +0.9 | -0.6 | +34.1 | -34.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 15% | 15% | 42% | 28% | +1.4 | -27.5 | +32.8 | -6.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 2,000 from Mari Takamiya | 9% | 4% | 72% | 15% | +5.8 | -1.8 | +0.4 | -4.5 |
| East 4 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 6,000 | 11% | 2% | 74% | 13% | -5.3 | -4.3 | -5.6 | +15.2 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 9% | 3% | 67% | 21% | +30.3 | -6.0 | -5.2 | -19.1 |
| South 1 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 27% | 2% | 61% | 10% | -1.3 | -0.4 | -22.3 | +24.0 |
| South 2 | Taro Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 31% | 2% | 37% | 31% | +37.4 | -11.4 | -12.5 | -13.5 |
| South 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 12,000 from Taro Suzuki | 75% | 0% | 13% | 11% | -41.4 | +0.3 | +42.1 | -1.0 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 16% | 0% | 72% | 12% | +7.7 | -0.7 | -2.0 | -4.9 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 8,000 from Mari Takamiya | 18% | 0% | 72% | 9% | +44.3 | +0.4 | -27.6 | -17.1 |