Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/6 Table B Game 1
Kei Nakabayashi finished 1st (+59.2pt). The game was decided in East 3: Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 18,000, which moved Kei Nakabayashi's expected points by +47.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Genta Takeuchi ron 12,000 from HIRO Shibata | 26% | 23% | 25% | 25% | -4.5 | +32.5 | 0.0 | -28.0 |
| East 2 | HIRO Shibata ron 8,000 from Genta Takeuchi | 18% | 49% | 22% | 11% | +0.1 | -20.0 | +0.2 | +19.7 |
| East 3 | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 18,000 | 21% | 33% | 25% | 21% | -14.5 | -16.6 | +47.0 | -15.9 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 9% | 15% | 66% | 10% | -1.6 | -4.0 | +6.9 | -1.3 |
| East 3, 2 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 3,900 from Kosuke Nagai | 8% | 11% | 73% | 8% | -13.8 | +0.3 | +0.5 | +13.0 |
| East 4 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 7,800 | 3% | 10% | 76% | 11% | -5.1 | -5.1 | -7.9 | +18.1 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 2,000 | 4% | 10% | 65% | 21% | -2.9 | -2.3 | +9.9 | -4.7 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 3% | 6% | 79% | 13% | +3.5 | -2.0 | +0.9 | -2.4 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 12,000 | 3% | 6% | 79% | 12% | +32.4 | -11.3 | -8.4 | -12.7 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 5% | 72% | 10% | +7.1 | -2.1 | -3.2 | -1.8 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 4,000 | 18% | 5% | 68% | 9% | -8.9 | -4.2 | +17.2 | -4.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 3% | 89% | 5% | +4.3 | +3.5 | -2.5 | -5.3 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 6% | 3% | 87% | 4% | +1.1 | +1.1 | -4.9 | +2.7 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 8% | 4% | 82% | 6% | -1.7 | -7.3 | +6.5 | +2.5 |
| South 3, 3 honba | HIRO Shibata ron 2,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 4% | 0% | 91% | 5% | +1.1 | -4.6 | -3.9 | +7.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 0% | 93% | 6% | -5.4 | +1.8 | -2.9 | +6.5 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 5,200 | 1% | 0% | 90% | 9% | +17.4 | -5.4 | +3.6 | -15.6 |