Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/6 Table B Game 2
Kazuma Ishii finished 1st (+59.5pt). The game was decided in South 1: Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000, which moved Kazuma Ishii's expected points by +28.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 25% | 24% | +3.0 | -1.3 | -1.9 | +0.2 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 24% | 24% | 25% | -3.6 | +3.0 | +3.1 | -2.4 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 2,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 25% | 27% | 26% | 23% | -0.3 | +11.4 | -8.5 | -2.6 |
| East 2, 3 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 8,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 25% | 33% | 20% | 21% | +1.6 | -28.2 | -1.7 | +28.3 |
| East 3 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 4,000 | 25% | 15% | 19% | 42% | +13.8 | -4.8 | -7.4 | -1.7 |
| East 4 | Kazuma Ishii ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 35% | 12% | 13% | 41% | +0.4 | +23.2 | -22.0 | -1.6 |
| South 1 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000 | 34% | 23% | 6% | 37% | -15.9 | +28.8 | -6.8 | -6.1 |
| South 2 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 8,000 from Hiroshi Daigo | 18% | 50% | 4% | 28% | -27.9 | +5.0 | +19.1 | +3.8 |
| South 3 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 3,900 from Hiroshi Daigo | 3% | 60% | 8% | 29% | -12.1 | -0.9 | +12.8 | +0.2 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 4,000 | 1% | 60% | 11% | 28% | -3.2 | +17.4 | -9.6 | -4.6 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 85% | 1% | 14% | -2.5 | +6.6 | +0.9 | -5.0 |