Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/9 Game 1
Shota Akutsu finished 1st (+65.8pt). The game was decided in East 2: Shota Akutsu tsumo 12,000, which moved Shota Akutsu's expected points by +32.6.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Genta Takeuchi 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Genta Takeuchi Expected pt change | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Shota Akutsu ron 1,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 25% | 25% | 26% | 25% | -1.5 | +3.7 | -5.2 | +3.0 |
| East 2 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 12,000 | 24% | 27% | 22% | 26% | -11.9 | +32.6 | -8.7 | -12.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi ron 3,900 from Kei Nakabayashi | 14% | 54% | 16% | 16% | +12.5 | -1.4 | -10.7 | -0.4 |
| East 3 | Ken Sonoda ron 8,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 20% | 53% | 11% | 16% | -0.3 | +1.2 | -22.5 | +21.6 |
| East 4 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 8,000 | 18% | 52% | 3% | 28% | -5.6 | +22.3 | -3.0 | -13.7 |
| South 1 | Genta Takeuchi ron 5,800 from Kei Nakabayashi | 9% | 80% | 1% | 10% | +11.5 | -2.2 | -7.7 | -1.7 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 75% | 1% | 10% | +31.9 | -14.4 | -6.3 | -11.1 |
| South 1, 2 honba | Kei Nakabayashi tsumo 5,200 | 44% | 50% | 1% | 6% | -5.1 | +0.1 | +8.0 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Genta Takeuchi tsumo 2,700 | 40% | 54% | 1% | 5% | +10.3 | -8.3 | -1.0 | -0.9 |
| South 3 | Shota Akutsu tsumo 2,700 | 55% | 39% | 1% | 4% | -9.5 | +15.6 | -6.2 | +0.1 |
| South 4 | Shota Akutsu ron 1,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 32% | 65% | 0% | 3% | -12.0 | +16.9 | -1.5 | -3.5 |