Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/9 Game 2
Hinako Sano finished 1st (+71.7pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Hinako Sano ron 16,000 from Kei Nakabayashi, which moved Hinako Sano's expected points by +45.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Taro Suzuki 1st-place chance | Wataru Shirinashihama 1st-place chance | Kei Nakabayashi 1st-place chance | Hinako Sano 1st-place chance | Taro Suzuki Expected pt change | Wataru Shirinashihama Expected pt change | Kei Nakabayashi Expected pt change | Hinako Sano Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 26% | 23% | 26% | +3.3 | -4.1 | +5.4 | -4.6 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 28% | 22% | 27% | 23% | +5.9 | -4.2 | +0.1 | -1.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 31% | 20% | 28% | 21% | +0.4 | -4.9 | +1.7 | +2.8 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Kei Nakabayashi ron 5,200 from Hinako Sano | 31% | 18% | 28% | 23% | -2.2 | -1.5 | +18.5 | -14.8 |
| East 2 | Kei Nakabayashi ron 2,000 from Wataru Shirinashihama | 28% | 16% | 42% | 15% | -1.0 | -6.9 | +8.5 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 26% | 12% | 50% | 13% | -1.0 | -1.8 | -3.7 | +6.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hinako Sano tsumo 6,000 | 25% | 11% | 49% | 16% | -8.5 | -7.3 | -5.6 | +21.4 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Wataru Shirinashihama ron 1,300 from Kei Nakabayashi | 20% | 8% | 42% | 30% | 0.0 | +3.5 | -2.7 | -0.7 |
| South 1 | Hinako Sano ron 2,000 from Taro Suzuki | 21% | 10% | 40% | 29% | -11.4 | -1.3 | -3.4 | +16.1 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 9% | 34% | 45% | -3.7 | +0.9 | -2.6 | +5.4 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 8% | 32% | 51% | -4.8 | +5.7 | +5.7 | -6.6 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 1,500 | 8% | 12% | 37% | 43% | -6.5 | +10.0 | -1.3 | -2.2 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Hinako Sano ron 16,000 from Kei Nakabayashi | 6% | 16% | 38% | 41% | +5.0 | +2.0 | -52.9 | +45.9 |
| South 3 | Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 1% | 2% | 96% | -3.4 | +19.3 | -13.8 | -2.1 |
| South 4 | Hinako Sano ron 5,800 from Taro Suzuki | 0% | 4% | 0% | 96% | -14.5 | -0.6 | +7.8 | +7.3 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Taro Suzuki ron 1,000 from Wataru Shirinashihama | 0% | 1% | 0% | 99% | +12.1 | -0.6 | -10.7 | -0.8 |