Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/9 Table B Game 1
Hisato Sasaki finished 1st (+65.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Geki Shimoishi, which moved Hisato Sasaki's expected points by +24.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Geki Shimoishi 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change | Geki Shimoishi Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 27% | 24% | 24% | 26% | +5.3 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -2.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Hisato Sasaki ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 30% | 23% | 23% | 24% | -17.3 | +1.8 | +17.1 | -1.6 |
| East 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 2,000 | 18% | 23% | 36% | 23% | -1.2 | -7.1 | +10.2 | -1.9 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 16% | 18% | 45% | 21% | +6.0 | -0.3 | -0.6 | -5.1 |
| East 4 | Naoki Setokuma ron 3,900 from Kosuke Nagai | 19% | 17% | 45% | 18% | +12.3 | +1.8 | -0.1 | -14.0 |
| South 1 | Naoki Setokuma ron 2,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 25% | 19% | 45% | 11% | +5.7 | -6.6 | +1.0 | -0.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 31% | 14% | 45% | 10% | +0.2 | -4.7 | -2.3 | +6.9 |
| South 2 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 4,000 | 32% | 13% | 43% | 12% | -2.5 | -10.8 | +16.6 | -3.3 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki ron 12,000 from Geki Shimoishi | 22% | 3% | 65% | 10% | -5.4 | -23.2 | +24.4 | +4.1 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai ron 2,600 from Hisato Sasaki | 5% | 0% | 91% | 4% | +0.8 | -1.8 | -3.3 | +4.2 |
| South 4 | Hisato Sasaki ron 1,000 from Kosuke Nagai | 2% | 0% | 93% | 4% | +2.9 | -0.4 | +4.4 | -6.9 |