Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/9 Table B Game 2
Mari Takamiya finished 1st (+56.9pt). The game was decided in South 4: Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara, which moved Mari Takamiya's expected points by +41.5.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Mari Takamiya 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Kenji Katsumata 1st-place chance | Mari Takamiya Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Kenji Katsumata Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 2,700 | 23% | 25% | 26% | 27% | -5.3 | -1.2 | +8.2 | -1.7 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 24% | 32% | 25% | -2.9 | +5.1 | -0.1 | -2.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Kenji Katsumata ron 5,200 from Daisuke Suzuki | 18% | 26% | 32% | 24% | +0.7 | -19.7 | -0.6 | +19.7 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 17% | 14% | 31% | 38% | +3.9 | -2.8 | +2.4 | -3.6 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 13% | 33% | 34% | -1.2 | +4.7 | -2.9 | -0.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 20% | 15% | 30% | 35% | +6.3 | -0.1 | -2.5 | -3.7 |
| South 1, 3 honba | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 1,100 | 24% | 16% | 29% | 31% | -10.6 | -6.6 | +20.2 | -3.0 |
| South 2 | Daisuke Suzuki tsumo 12,000 | 13% | 11% | 48% | 28% | -14.4 | +41.7 | -14.6 | -12.7 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 1,500 from Mari Takamiya | 8% | 43% | 31% | 19% | -6.3 | +8.7 | -2.2 | -0.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Mari Takamiya tsumo 8,000 | 5% | 49% | 28% | 18% | +34.2 | -11.3 | -7.7 | -15.2 |
| South 3 | Mari Takamiya tsumo 2,700 | 24% | 39% | 24% | 13% | +13.6 | +1.0 | -7.9 | -6.7 |
| South 4 | Mari Takamiya ron 8,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 36% | 38% | 16% | 11% | +41.5 | -10.4 | -37.1 | +6.0 |