Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/10 Game 1
Sayaka Okada finished 1st (+82.8pt). The game was decided in East 3, 2 honba: Sayaka Okada tsumo 18,000, which moved Sayaka Okada's expected points by +36.8.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Koshin Asakura 1st-place chance | Ken Sonoda 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Koshin Asakura Expected pt change | Ken Sonoda Expected pt change | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Ken Sonoda ron 5,200 from Koshin Asakura | 25% | 24% | 25% | 25% | -18.4 | +15.1 | +2.4 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Sayaka Okada ron 8,000 from Koshin Asakura | 14% | 34% | 26% | 25% | -18.1 | -2.5 | +20.9 | -0.3 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Okada ron 4,800 from Koshin Asakura | 6% | 30% | 40% | 24% | -8.8 | +0.2 | +10.1 | -1.5 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 4% | 28% | 48% | 20% | +2.6 | -5.1 | +4.2 | -1.7 |
| East 3, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 18,000 | 4% | 24% | 54% | 19% | -8.5 | -14.3 | +36.8 | -14.1 |
| East 3, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 1,100 | 1% | 6% | 89% | 4% | -3.4 | +9.0 | -2.1 | -3.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 7% | 88% | 4% | -1.9 | -1.8 | 0.0 | +3.7 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 3,900 from Arisa Date | 1% | 7% | 89% | 4% | -0.2 | +2.1 | +7.2 | -9.1 |
| South 1 | Koshin Asakura tsumo 12,000 | 1% | 4% | 94% | 1% | +23.4 | -7.4 | -4.7 | -11.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Ken Sonoda ron 3,900 from Arisa Date | 1% | 5% | 93% | 1% | -1.9 | +9.4 | +1.4 | -8.8 |
| South 2 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 5% | 95% | 1% | -2.1 | -3.4 | +1.1 | +4.5 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Sayaka Okada tsumo 6,000 | 0% | 1% | 99% | 1% | -2.5 | -2.1 | +7.8 | -3.2 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Sayaka Okada ron 3,900 from Koshin Asakura | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -8.9 | +1.1 | +4.1 | +3.7 |
| South 3, 3 honba | Ken Sonoda tsumo 8,000 | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | -4.1 | +12.7 | -6.2 | -2.3 |
| South 4 | Koshin Asakura ron 3,900 from Arisa Date | 0% | 0% | 100% | 0% | +16.5 | +0.9 | +0.8 | -18.2 |