Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/10 Game 2
Shingo Hori finished 1st (+65.8pt). The game was decided in South 1, 1 honba: Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +36.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Futoshi Watanabe 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Kazunori Takizawa 1st-place chance | Shingo Hori 1st-place chance | Futoshi Watanabe Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change | Kazunori Takizawa Expected pt change | Shingo Hori Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 12,000 | 26% | 24% | 26% | 24% | +29.1 | -10.0 | -12.0 | -7.1 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Futoshi Watanabe tsumo 7,800 | 48% | 17% | 17% | 18% | +19.7 | -5.6 | -5.9 | -8.2 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 66% | 12% | 11% | 11% | -1.7 | -2.9 | +5.8 | -1.2 |
| East 1, 3 honba | Yu Suzuki tsumo 2,000 | 65% | 11% | 13% | 11% | 0.0 | +7.7 | -5.0 | -2.7 |
| East 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 1,100 | 66% | 13% | 11% | 10% | +1.1 | -4.5 | +0.5 | +2.9 |
| East 3 | Shingo Hori tsumo 8,000 | 69% | 10% | 12% | 10% | -3.0 | -6.8 | -12.8 | +22.6 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 67% | 7% | 6% | 20% | +3.0 | +0.2 | -1.2 | -2.0 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 71% | 7% | 5% | 17% | -22.0 | -8.5 | -6.4 | +36.9 |
| South 2 | Shingo Hori tsumo 12,000 | 37% | 4% | 4% | 55% | -13.7 | -11.8 | -2.7 | +28.2 |
| South 3 | Exhaustive draw | 7% | 0% | 1% | 92% | +2.0 | +0.4 | +2.4 | -4.9 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 11% | 0% | 2% | 87% | -1.2 | -0.6 | -2.2 | +4.0 |
| South 4, 2 honba | Kazunori Takizawa ron 1,000 from Shingo Hori | 4% | 0% | 0% | 95% | -1.5 | -8.0 | +10.7 | -1.2 |