Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/10 Table B Game 2
HIRO Shibata finished 1st (+59.3pt). The game was decided in South 3: HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,000, which moved HIRO Shibata's expected points by +36.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | HIRO Shibata 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Kana Nakada 1st-place chance | Saki Kurosawa 1st-place chance | HIRO Shibata Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Kana Nakada Expected pt change | Saki Kurosawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | HIRO Shibata ron 2,000 from Kana Nakada | 28% | 22% | 24% | 26% | +6.0 | +2.3 | -8.0 | -0.4 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 2,000 from Kana Nakada | 30% | 25% | 20% | 25% | -1.8 | +8.9 | -7.5 | +0.5 |
| East 2 | Kana Nakada tsumo 1,100 | 27% | 31% | 17% | 25% | +0.8 | -3.2 | +3.1 | -0.6 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 27% | 17% | 26% | -1.6 | -0.5 | -6.4 | +8.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 8,000 from HIRO Shibata | 26% | 27% | 14% | 32% | -24.4 | +29.6 | -1.4 | -3.8 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 12% | 54% | 10% | 24% | +2.0 | -5.3 | -2.8 | +6.1 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 5,200 from HIRO Shibata | 12% | 49% | 9% | 30% | -18.3 | +22.0 | +0.3 | -4.0 |
| South 2 | HIRO Shibata ron 8,000 from Kana Nakada | 2% | 75% | 6% | 18% | +23.2 | +1.5 | -23.0 | -1.7 |
| South 3 | HIRO Shibata tsumo 12,000 | 4% | 80% | 3% | 14% | +36.7 | -9.4 | -12.0 | -15.4 |
| South 4 | HIRO Shibata ron 3,900 from Sho Shiratori | 28% | 64% | 0% | 8% | +34.8 | -28.2 | +0.3 | -6.9 |