Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/12 Game 1
Hiroshi Daigo finished 1st (+53.7pt). The game was decided in South 4: Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 5,200, which moved Hiroshi Daigo's expected points by +43.2.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Hisato Sasaki 1st-place chance | Yoshihiro Matsumoto 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Hisato Sasaki Expected pt change | Yoshihiro Matsumoto Expected pt change | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 27% | 26% | 22% | -18.2 | -7.9 | +30.9 | -4.8 |
| East 2 | Akina Mizuhara ron 8,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 13% | 19% | 50% | 19% | +1.2 | -2.6 | -21.8 | +23.2 |
| East 3 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 12,000 | 15% | 18% | 31% | 37% | -9.6 | -12.0 | +34.8 | -13.2 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Hisato Sasaki | 8% | 9% | 62% | 22% | +7.6 | -6.5 | -2.2 | +1.1 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 10% | 7% | 62% | 22% | -2.4 | -2.0 | -1.0 | +5.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Akina Mizuhara tsumo 7,800 | 8% | 6% | 61% | 25% | -5.9 | -5.7 | -11.9 | +23.5 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,600 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 6% | 5% | 42% | 46% | +7.5 | -0.7 | -8.6 | +1.8 |
| South 1 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 12,000 from Yoshihiro Matsumoto | 9% | 5% | 34% | 52% | +40.2 | -4.1 | -35.3 | -0.8 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Hisato Sasaki | 35% | 4% | 11% | 50% | -3.3 | -8.6 | +9.6 | +2.4 |
| South 2 | Yoshihiro Matsumoto tsumo 5,200 | 30% | 2% | 14% | 54% | -3.2 | -8.5 | +13.6 | -1.9 |
| South 3 | Hisato Sasaki tsumo 12,000 | 25% | 0% | 22% | 52% | -3.8 | +15.2 | -18.5 | +7.2 |
| South 4 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 5,200 | 19% | 1% | 8% | 72% | +43.2 | -4.2 | -7.4 | -31.6 |