Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/12 Game 2
Arisa Date finished 1st (+57.6pt). The game was decided in South 2, 3 honba: Arisa Date ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi, which moved Arisa Date's expected points by +43.4.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Hiroshi Daigo 1st-place chance | Takaharu Ooi 1st-place chance | Arisa Date 1st-place chance | Yu Suzuki 1st-place chance | Hiroshi Daigo Expected pt change | Takaharu Ooi Expected pt change | Arisa Date Expected pt change | Yu Suzuki Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Arisa Date tsumo 8,000 | 24% | 26% | 25% | 26% | -10.9 | -8.9 | +24.7 | -4.9 |
| East 2 | Hiroshi Daigo tsumo 8,000 | 16% | 19% | 44% | 21% | +21.7 | -12.8 | -4.4 | -4.5 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 30% | 12% | 40% | 19% | +0.8 | -3.5 | -3.7 | +6.4 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Hiroshi Daigo ron 2,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 32% | 11% | 36% | 22% | +4.6 | -6.3 | +0.7 | +1.0 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 35% | 8% | 37% | 21% | -3.8 | +2.5 | +6.2 | -4.9 |
| South 2, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi ron 7,700 from Yu Suzuki | 30% | 9% | 42% | 19% | -1.9 | +27.1 | +0.5 | -25.8 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 1,500 | 29% | 22% | 42% | 7% | -1.0 | +7.9 | -4.7 | -2.1 |
| South 2, 3 honba | Arisa Date ron 12,000 from Takaharu Ooi | 28% | 27% | 38% | 7% | -3.8 | -41.4 | +43.4 | +1.9 |
| South 3 | Hiroshi Daigo ron 1,600 from Takaharu Ooi | 6% | 0% | 91% | 3% | +4.6 | -4.1 | +0.6 | -1.1 |
| South 4 | Yu Suzuki tsumo 18,000 | 4% | 0% | 94% | 2% | -22.7 | -16.3 | -12.0 | +51.0 |
| South 4, 1 honba | Takaharu Ooi tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 0% | 80% | 18% | -6.4 | +10.4 | +6.8 | -10.8 |