Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/12 Table B Game 1
Wataru Shirinashihama finished 1st (+73.4pt). The game was decided in South 4: Wataru Shirinashihama ron 5,200 from Kazuma Ishii, which moved Wataru Shirinashihama's expected points by +34.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Wataru Shirinashihama 1st-place chance | Kazuma Ishii 1st-place chance | Aki Nikaido 1st-place chance | Maki Asami 1st-place chance | Wataru Shirinashihama Expected pt change | Kazuma Ishii Expected pt change | Aki Nikaido Expected pt change | Maki Asami Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Wataru Shirinashihama ron 5,800 from Kazuma Ishii | 24% | 26% | 24% | 26% | +16.2 | -13.6 | -1.4 | -1.3 |
| East 1, 1 honba | Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 12,000 | 36% | 17% | 23% | 23% | +29.9 | -12.3 | -8.8 | -8.8 |
| East 1, 2 honba | Kazuma Ishii ron 3,900 from Aki Nikaido | 61% | 9% | 15% | 15% | -2.4 | +12.3 | -10.9 | +0.9 |
| East 2 | Wataru Shirinashihama ron 12,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 60% | 14% | 11% | 16% | +29.2 | -29.6 | +0.3 | +0.1 |
| East 3 | Wataru Shirinashihama tsumo 1,500 | 87% | 1% | 4% | 8% | +2.9 | +0.9 | -2.8 | -1.0 |
| East 4 | Exhaustive draw | 90% | 1% | 3% | 6% | -1.7 | -3.6 | -2.2 | +7.5 |
| East 4, 1 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 12,000 | 89% | 1% | 2% | 8% | -9.3 | -8.2 | -8.5 | +26.0 |
| East 4, 2 honba | Exhaustive draw | 76% | 1% | 1% | 22% | +0.4 | -3.1 | +1.2 | +1.5 |
| East 4, 3 honba | Exhaustive draw | 75% | 1% | 2% | 23% | -2.9 | -2.4 | +1.8 | +3.5 |
| East 4, 4 honba | Exhaustive draw | 71% | 1% | 2% | 27% | +0.9 | -4.9 | +1.7 | +2.3 |
| East 4, 5 honba | Maki Asami tsumo 12,000 | 70% | 0% | 2% | 28% | -18.4 | -4.5 | -7.2 | +30.2 |
| East 4, 6 honba | Exhaustive draw | 36% | 0% | 1% | 63% | +6.6 | -1.2 | +0.2 | -5.5 |
| South 1, 7 honba | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 5,200 | 44% | 0% | 1% | 55% | -5.7 | +12.1 | -6.2 | -0.1 |
| South 2 | Aki Nikaido ron 8,000 from Kazuma Ishii | 40% | 0% | 1% | 59% | -1.3 | -15.6 | +14.8 | +2.1 |
| South 3 | Kazuma Ishii tsumo 8,000 | 36% | 0% | 1% | 63% | -4.5 | +11.0 | -8.8 | +2.3 |
| South 4 | Wataru Shirinashihama ron 5,200 from Kazuma Ishii | 28% | 0% | 0% | 72% | +34.9 | -8.0 | +2.9 | -29.8 |