Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

11/12 Table B Game 2

Shingo Hori finished 1st (+79.3pt). The game was decided in East 2: Shingo Hori tsumo 18,000, which moved Shingo Hori's expected points by +43.3.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 2South 1End● Shingo Hori● Ken Sonoda● Megumu Aikawa● Kotaro Uchikawa0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3End● Shingo● Ken● Megumu● Kotaro
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKen Sonoda
1st-place chance
Shingo Hori
1st-place chance
Megumu Aikawa
1st-place chance
Kotaro Uchikawa
1st-place chance
Ken Sonoda
Expected pt change
Shingo Hori
Expected pt change
Megumu Aikawa
Expected pt change
Kotaro Uchikawa
Expected pt change
East 1Exhaustive draw27%23%25%25%+4.9+0.6-3.1-2.3
East 1, 1 honbaExhaustive draw30%23%23%24%+2.9-3.5+3.4-2.8
East 1, 2 honbaShingo Hori ron 8,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa31%22%25%22%-3.1+29.2-2.1-24.1
East 2Shingo Hori tsumo 18,00026%41%22%11%-18.6+43.3-15.7-9.0
East 2, 1 honbaMegumu Aikawa ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa7%82%7%4%+3.0-1.5+3.3-4.7
East 3Megumu Aikawa ron 12,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa8%83%7%3%-3.9-2.8+26.1-19.4
East 3, 1 honbaShingo Hori ron 2,000 from Kotaro Uchikawa6%76%17%1%-0.1+6.3-3.5-2.7
East 4Exhaustive draw5%83%11%1%+3.0+3.0-1.9-4.1
South 1, 1 honbaShingo Hori tsumo 1,1005%87%8%0%-4.7+5.4+0.1-0.8
South 2Exhaustive draw1%94%5%0%-2.8-1.0+4.7-0.9
South 3, 1 honbaKotaro Uchikawa ron 8,000 from Ken Sonoda0%94%6%0%-12.3+2.5-0.6+10.4
South 4Megumu Aikawa ron 3,900 from Ken Sonoda0%100%0%0%-2.3+0.6+4.9-3.2

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)