Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/13 Game 1
Kosuke Nagai finished 1st (+74.6pt). The game was decided in East 3, 1 honba: Kosuke Nagai ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara, which moved Kosuke Nagai's expected points by +31.9.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Akina Mizuhara 1st-place chance | Kosuke Nagai 1st-place chance | Sho Shiratori 1st-place chance | Megumu Aikawa 1st-place chance | Akina Mizuhara Expected pt change | Kosuke Nagai Expected pt change | Sho Shiratori Expected pt change | Megumu Aikawa Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,000 | 28% | 23% | 23% | 26% | -14.5 | +26.5 | -6.5 | -5.4 |
| East 2 | Sho Shiratori tsumo 12,000 | 17% | 43% | 20% | 21% | -7.2 | -18.6 | +31.8 | -5.9 |
| East 3 | Exhaustive draw | 13% | 27% | 44% | 17% | -4.1 | +4.5 | +4.0 | -4.4 |
| East 3, 1 honba | Kosuke Nagai ron 12,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 11% | 28% | 46% | 15% | -26.0 | +31.9 | -5.6 | -0.3 |
| East 4 | Kosuke Nagai tsumo 8,000 | 2% | 55% | 33% | 10% | -2.3 | +19.1 | -5.9 | -10.8 |
| South 1 | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 78% | 18% | 3% | +2.2 | +4.0 | -4.9 | -1.3 |
| South 1, 1 honba | Exhaustive draw | 1% | 83% | 13% | 3% | -5.2 | -0.2 | 0.0 | +5.3 |
| South 2, 2 honba | Sho Shiratori ron 1,000 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 85% | 12% | 2% | -3.1 | 0.0 | +1.6 | +1.5 |
| South 3 | Kosuke Nagai ron 1,300 from Akina Mizuhara | 0% | 88% | 10% | 2% | -2.1 | +5.8 | -3.2 | -0.4 |
| South 4 | Exhaustive draw | 0% | 97% | 1% | 1% | -1.7 | +4.4 | +0.6 | -3.2 |