Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Game · 2026-27 Regular Season

11/13 Game 2

Koshin Asakura finished 1st (+62.6pt). The game was decided in South 3, 1 honba: Koshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata, which moved Koshin Asakura's expected points by +28.0.

1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand

0%25%50%75%100%East 1East 3South 2End● Koshin Asakura● Yoshihiro Matsumoto● Kenji Katsumata● Kazuma Ishii0%25%50%75%100%East 1South 1End● Koshin● Yoshihiro● Kenji● Kazuma
The chance of finishing 1st, at the start of each hand (estimated by simulation). Shaded: the hand that decided this game.

Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points

HandsResultKoshin Asakura
1st-place chance
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
1st-place chance
Kenji Katsumata
1st-place chance
Kazuma Ishii
1st-place chance
Koshin Asakura
Expected pt change
Yoshihiro Matsumoto
Expected pt change
Kenji Katsumata
Expected pt change
Kazuma Ishii
Expected pt change
East 1Yoshihiro Matsumoto ron 3,900 from Kenji Katsumata25%24%25%26%-2.1+13.4-11.0-0.3
East 2Koshin Asakura ron 6,400 from Kazuma Ishii22%34%19%25%+21.9-1.2-3.6-17.2
East 3Exhaustive draw39%31%15%16%-8.2+0.9+6.1+1.2
East 3, 1 honbaYoshihiro Matsumoto ron 8,000 from Kazuma Ishii32%32%20%17%-1.0+24.9-5.0-18.9
East 4Exhaustive draw27%55%12%7%+6.2+3.6-2.7-7.1
South 1, 1 honbaKazuma Ishii tsumo 2,00029%59%9%3%-4.4+1.9-2.3+4.8
South 2Exhaustive draw23%64%9%4%+9.4-3.6-3.0-2.7
South 3, 1 honbaKoshin Asakura ron 8,000 from Kenji Katsumata31%60%6%3%+28.0-11.7-20.7+4.5
South 4Exhaustive draw72%26%0%2%+13.0-10.8+13.6-15.8

All 2026-27 games / This game's record (M League Haifu)