Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/13 Table B Game 1
Hinako Sano finished 1st (+63.3pt). The game was decided in South 3, 2 honba: Hinako Sano tsumo 16,000, which moved Hinako Sano's expected points by +60.0.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Okada 1st-place chance | Hinako Sano 1st-place chance | Daisuke Suzuki 1st-place chance | Naoki Setokuma 1st-place chance | Sayaka Okada Expected pt change | Hinako Sano Expected pt change | Daisuke Suzuki Expected pt change | Naoki Setokuma Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Exhaustive draw | 25% | 24% | 26% | 26% | -6.4 | -3.3 | +5.7 | +4.0 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Hinako Sano ron 3,900 from Sayaka Okada | 20% | 22% | 30% | 28% | -12.9 | +16.9 | -4.7 | +0.7 |
| East 2, 2 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 3,900 from Sayaka Okada | 13% | 34% | 24% | 29% | -9.6 | -5.2 | +18.6 | -3.9 |
| East 3 | Naoki Setokuma ron 6,400 from Sayaka Okada | 9% | 27% | 38% | 25% | -16.9 | +1.5 | -3.2 | +18.6 |
| East 4 | Sayaka Okada ron 2,000 from Daisuke Suzuki | 3% | 26% | 33% | 37% | +3.8 | +1.1 | -3.4 | -1.5 |
| South 1 | Hinako Sano tsumo 2,000 | 5% | 28% | 30% | 37% | -7.0 | +5.4 | -0.4 | +2.0 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Okada tsumo 8,000 | 1% | 31% | 30% | 38% | +16.1 | -11.6 | -5.0 | +0.4 |
| South 3 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 2,900 from Sayaka Okada | 6% | 24% | 27% | 43% | -8.9 | -2.9 | +17.5 | -5.6 |
| South 3, 1 honba | Daisuke Suzuki ron 12,000 from Sayaka Okada | 3% | 19% | 46% | 32% | -17.9 | -6.3 | +30.9 | -6.7 |
| South 3, 2 honba | Hinako Sano tsumo 16,000 | 0% | 5% | 80% | 14% | -4.3 | +60.0 | -38.8 | -17.0 |
| South 4 | Daisuke Suzuki ron 5,200 from Naoki Setokuma | 0% | 81% | 12% | 7% | 0.0 | +8.9 | +3.4 | -12.2 |