Game · 2026-27 Regular Season
11/13 Table B Game 2
Sayaka Kayamori finished 1st (+71.1pt). The game was decided in East 2, 1 honba: Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000, which moved Sayaka Kayamori's expected points by +38.7.
1st-place probabilityat the start of each hand
Hand by handexpected pt change = how much the hand's result moved the expected final points
| Hands | Result | Sayaka Kayamori 1st-place chance | Rio Tojyo 1st-place chance | Masato Hagiwara 1st-place chance | Shota Akutsu 1st-place chance | Sayaka Kayamori Expected pt change | Rio Tojyo Expected pt change | Masato Hagiwara Expected pt change | Shota Akutsu Expected pt change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East 1 | Rio Tojyo ron 2,600 from Sayaka Kayamori | 25% | 26% | 26% | 24% | -9.6 | +5.4 | +1.6 | +2.6 |
| East 2 | Exhaustive draw | 19% | 28% | 27% | 26% | +3.6 | +4.7 | -5.2 | -3.1 |
| East 2, 1 honba | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 20% | 32% | 24% | 23% | +38.7 | -20.8 | -9.1 | -8.8 |
| East 3 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 8,000 | 53% | 15% | 15% | 17% | +21.6 | -4.4 | -12.4 | -4.8 |
| East 4 | Rio Tojyo ron 8,000 from Sayaka Kayamori | 76% | 9% | 5% | 10% | -15.5 | +20.8 | -0.4 | -4.8 |
| South 1 | Masato Hagiwara tsumo 12,000 | 60% | 23% | 8% | 10% | -18.1 | -7.2 | +35.4 | -10.1 |
| South 2 | Sayaka Kayamori tsumo 12,000 | 42% | 22% | 28% | 8% | +38.1 | -19.8 | -11.2 | -7.1 |
| South 3 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 2,000 from Masato Hagiwara | 87% | 2% | 9% | 3% | +6.4 | +0.4 | -4.7 | -2.1 |
| South 4 | Sayaka Kayamori ron 3,900 from Rio Tojyo | 97% | 0% | 0% | 2% | +5.9 | -4.3 | +8.3 | -9.9 |