Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Player · 223 career games · 2018-19–2026-27

Kayamori Sayaka

Builds closed hands and fights with riichi. Stands out for big wins. Career record: -2.1pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.

Actual / game
-2.1
223 career games
Skill estimate / game
-0.7
90% interval -4.0 to +2.6
Estimate, luck removed
-1.6
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
35%
share of the estimate from the record

Styleleague percentile, career

  • Average win value6,850
  • Riichi rate23.2%
  • Deal-in rate11.2%
  • Win rate19.5%
  • First riichi rate76.0%
  • Average riichi turn9.33
  • Call rate20.5%
  • Tenpai rate at draws38.3%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.6%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.3%
  • Efficiency match rate73.0%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.14
  • Immediate riichi rate74.9%
  • Dama rate13.1%

Colour only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and efficiency match rate, are grey. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.

Placements223 career games, average placement 2.57

  • 1st22.4%50×
  • 2nd25.1%56×
  • 3rd26.0%58×
  • 4th26.5%59×

Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls

  • Riichi income2,733
  • Riichi win rate46.2%
  • Riichi deal-in rate A14.3%
  • Riichi deal-in rate B11.1%
  • Riichi good-wait rate49.3%
  • Riichi draw rate20.1%
  • Call income516
  • Win rate after calling29.5%
  • Deal-in rate after calling12.3%
  • Tenpai rate after the first call28.5%

Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).

Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand

  • Net efficiency834
  • Deal-in loss664
  • Average win turn12.34

Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.

Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates

  • Points per game-0.7
  • Points per game, luck removed-1.6
  • Average placement2.52

Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)

  • Points from luck (/game)+1.7
  • Draw luck-0.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.01
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.02
  • Ura-dora luck+0.07
  • Ippatsu rate+0.3%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)+0.1%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate10.5%

Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages

  • Own wins+47.2
  • Deal-ins-22.3
  • Others' tsumo-23.4
  • Ron between others-2.5
  • Draws-1.0
Change in expected points per game. Total -2.1pt/game (223 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins535+10517.3+47.2
Deal-ins313-4970.0-22.3
Others' tsumo736-5229.0-23.4
Ron between others591-559.3-2.5
Draws597-230.4-1.0

Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages

CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.8%+969+924+46
Wins with calls6.0%+362+381-19
Dama wins2.5%+177+175+2
Deal-ins to riichi5.3%-387-361-26
Deal-ins to open hands4.2%-238-203-35
Deal-ins to dama1.7%-83-102+19
Others' tsumo26.6%-729-757+28
Other (draws etc.)42.9%-84-59-24
Total (per hand)-12
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.572.52 (2.44 to 2.60)31%11223 games
Points per game-2.1-0.7 (-4.0 to 2.6)35%20223 games
Points per game, luck removed-3.8-1.6 (-4.6 to 1.3)43%9223 games
1st-place rate22.4%24.7% (22.3% to 27.2%)13%11223 games
4th-place rate26.5%25.7% (22.2% to 29.2%)50%24223 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate19.3%19.5% (18.4% to 20.6%)72%322,772 hands
Deal-in rate11.3%11.2% (10.4% to 12.0%)73%322,772 hands
Riichi rate23.3%23.2% (22.0% to 24.4%)82%692,772 hands
Call rate20.4%20.5% (19.2% to 21.8%)98%282,772 hands
First riichi rate76.0%76.0% (73.8% to 78.3%)64%55647 riichi
Average riichi turn9.339.33 (9.16 to 9.51)70%46647 riichi
Average win value6,9696,850 (6,585 to 7,115)67%90535 wins
Average deal-in value5,7935,719 (5,448 to 5,989)50%22313 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,5091,480 (1,433 to 1,528)0%502,772 hands
Deal-in loss681664 (609 to 718)57%172,772 hands
Net efficiency828834 (733 to 935)49%422,772 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.6%40.6% (37.5% to 43.7%)78%48542 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.1%24.3% (21.6% to 27.1%)84%32573 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call28.8%28.5% (25.6% to 31.4%)91%75566 first calls
Average win turn12.2712.34 (12.18 to 12.50)39%75535 wins
Tenpai rate at draws37.7%38.3% (35.4% to 41.1%)74%20597 draws
Staying in vs riichi13.4%13.9% (12.9% to 14.8%)28%281,481 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate73.0%73.0% (72.4% to 73.6%)98%5914,606 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.021.02 (0.98 to 1.06)96%4014,015 discards
Breaking shape for value2.3%2.2% (2.1% to 2.4%)93%7714,606 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.068.14 (8.05 to 8.23)33%11594 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate75.4%74.9% (72.0% to 77.7%)86%84594 tenpai hands
Dama rate13.1%13.1% (10.8% to 15.4%)90%50535 wins
Riichi income2,7862,733 (2,362 to 3,104)63%69647 riichi
Riichi win rate46.2%46.2% (43.4% to 49.0%)77%59647 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A14.4%14.3% (13.4% to 15.3%)7%44647 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B11.4%11.1% (9.9% to 12.4%)22%30647 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate49.1%49.3% (46.6% to 52.1%)73%42647 riichi
Riichi draw rate20.4%20.1% (17.9% to 22.3%)75%73647 riichi
Call income568516 (297 to 735)38%65566 calls
Win rate after calling29.3%29.5% (27.0% to 32.0%)63%46566 calls
Deal-in rate after calling12.7%12.3% (10.5% to 14.2%)68%26566 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.01242,772 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.02842,772 hands
Draw luck-0.1%3634,073 draws
Ura-dora luck+0.0786299 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+0.3%57299 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)+0.1%53492 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate10.5%92736 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+1.786223 games

By seasonRegular Season

2026-27 (2 games · skill estimate 0.1pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,668
  • Riichi rate22.6%
  • Deal-in rate10.9%
  • Win rate20.0%
  • First riichi rate75.8%
  • Average riichi turn9.34
  • Call rate24.3%
  • Tenpai rate at draws40.0%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)43.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)25.8%
  • Efficiency match rate72.3%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate71.0%
  • Dama rate12.5%

* Hatched metrics have no league rank: too few games (10 in a season, 40 in a career). The values on the right are estimates pulled toward the league average as far as the data is thin.

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+62.5
  • Deal-ins-23.1
  • Others' tsumo-22.1
  • Ron between others-2.4
  • Draws+4.6
Change in expected points per game. Total +19.5pt/game (2 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins5+125.0+62.5
Deal-ins3-46.1-23.1
Others' tsumo7-44.3-22.1
Ron between others5-4.9-2.4
Draws5+9.2+4.6

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+24.4
  • Draw luck+3.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.19
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.01
  • Ura-dora luck+1.75
  • Ippatsu rate+46.9%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)-8.0%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate14.3%

* Hatched metrics have no league rank: too few games (10 in a season, 40 in a career). The values on the right are estimates pulled toward the league average as far as the data is thin.

Every number for 2026-27
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.002.50 (2.34 to 2.65)0%—2 games
Points per game20.10.1 (-6.5 to 6.7)0%—2 games
Points per game, luck removed-4.3-0.0 (-6.6 to 6.5)1%—2 games
1st-place rate50.0%25.1% (23.1% to 27.1%)0%—2 games
4th-place rate0.0%24.7% (16.2% to 33.2%)1%—2 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate20.0%20.0% (16.6% to 23.4%)2%—25 hands
Deal-in rate12.0%10.9% (8.3% to 13.6%)2%—25 hands
Riichi rate20.0%22.6% (18.1% to 27.2%)4%—25 hands
Call rate28.0%24.3% (15.5% to 33.1%)28%—25 hands
First riichi rate60.0%75.8% (69.5% to 82.2%)1%—5 riichi
Average riichi turn9.009.34 (8.80 to 9.88)2%—5 riichi
Average win value9,6406,668 (5,890 to 7,447)2%—5 wins
Average deal-in value5,9675,647 (4,993 to 6,300)1%—3 deal-ins
Win efficiency2,2521,480 (1,454 to 1,506)0%—25 hands
Deal-in loss728642 (499 to 784)1%—25 hands
Net efficiency1,524845 (604 to 1,087)1%—25 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)87.5%43.0% (32.8% to 53.2%)5%—8 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)33.3%25.8% (14.3% to 37.4%)3%—3 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call42.9%27.6% (14.5% to 40.7%)11%—7 first calls
Average win turn10.8012.38 (12.03 to 12.72)1%—5 wins
Tenpai rate at draws40.0%40.0% (30.6% to 49.4%)2%—5 draws
Staying in vs riichi25.0%14.1% (12.4% to 15.7%)0%—16 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate71.0%72.3% (68.3% to 76.3%)29%—138 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.891.03 (0.80 to 1.27)18%—129 discards
Breaking shape for value1.4%2.0% (1.0% to 2.9%)11%—138 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)6.268.17 (8.03 to 8.31)0%—3 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate59.8%71.0% (58.4% to 83.6%)3%—3 tenpai hands
Dama rate0.0%12.5% (1.8% to 23.2%)8%—5 wins
Riichi income9,7402,734 (1,678 to 3,790)1%—5 riichi
Riichi win rate60.0%46.5% (36.7% to 56.4%)3%—5 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A20.0%14.3% (13.8% to 14.8%)0%—5 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B20.0%11.1% (9.5% to 12.6%)0%—5 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate80.0%50.4% (41.5% to 59.4%)2%—5 riichi
Riichi draw rate20.0%19.2% (11.8% to 26.6%)2%—5 riichi
Call income-1,371471 (20.61 to 922)1%—7 calls
Win rate after calling28.6%29.8% (22.7% to 36.8%)2%—7 calls
Deal-in rate after calling14.3%11.6% (6.3% to 17.0%)3%—7 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.19—25 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.01—25 hands
Draw luck+3.1%—320 draws
Ura-dora luck+1.75—3 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+46.9%—3 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)-8.0%—3 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate14.3%—7 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+24.4—2 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi12.0%+2,060+924+1,136
Wins with calls8.0%+192+381-189
Dama wins0.0%0+175-175
Deal-ins to riichi8.0%-612-361-251
Deal-ins to open hands4.0%-156-203+47
Deal-ins to dama0.0%0-102+102
Others' tsumo28.0%-1,032-757-275
Other (draws etc.)40.0%-40-59+19
Total (per hand)+412
2025-26 (25 games · skill estimate -0.1pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,589
  • Riichi rate21.7%
  • Deal-in rate11.0%
  • Win rate20.8%
  • First riichi rate75.5%
  • Average riichi turn9.30
  • Call rate23.3%
  • Tenpai rate at draws37.7%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)39.4%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)26.9%
  • Efficiency match rate73.2%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.18
  • Immediate riichi rate72.6%
  • Dama rate12.8%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+43.1
  • Deal-ins-19.3
  • Others' tsumo-21.5
  • Ron between others-2.5
  • Draws-2.4
Change in expected points per game. Total -2.6pt/game (25 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins66+1078.4+43.1
Deal-ins31-483.1-19.3
Others' tsumo79-536.7-21.5
Ron between others54-63.7-2.5
Draws47-59.4-2.4

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+1.8
  • Draw luck+0.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.01
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.01
  • Ura-dora luck+0.29
  • Ippatsu rate-9.4%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)+4.8%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate11.4%
Every number for 2025-26
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.682.51 (2.38 to 2.64)5%2425 games
Points per game-2.4-0.1 (-5.8 to 5.5)6%4925 games
Points per game, luck removed-4.1-0.3 (-5.7 to 5.1)8%3725 games
1st-place rate24.0%25.0% (21.9% to 28.2%)2%4825 games
4th-place rate24.0%24.8% (18.1% to 31.6%)10%5725 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate23.8%20.8% (18.5% to 23.1%)21%87277 hands
Deal-in rate11.2%11.0% (9.2% to 12.8%)21%57277 hands
Riichi rate19.5%21.7% (19.0% to 24.4%)32%14277 hands
Call rate23.5%23.3% (19.6% to 27.1%)81%31277 hands
First riichi rate72.2%75.5% (70.7% to 80.4%)13%3154 riichi
Average riichi turn9.049.30 (8.90 to 9.69)16%5454 riichi
Average win value6,4926,589 (6,053 to 7,126)20%5066 wins
Average deal-in value5,8355,661 (5,129 to 6,193)9%3931 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,6941,480 (1,424 to 1,537)0%50277 hands
Deal-in loss674645 (534 to 756)12%52277 hands
Net efficiency1,020855 (658 to 1,052)9%67277 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)36.2%39.4% (32.7% to 46.1%)27%2158 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)29.3%26.9% (20.7% to 33.2%)35%5958 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call27.7%26.8% (20.1% to 33.4%)53%7265 first calls
Average win turn12.0812.36 (12.08 to 12.65)7%6266 wins
Tenpai rate at draws27.7%37.7% (31.0% to 44.5%)18%947 draws
Staying in vs riichi13.3%14.0% (12.5% to 15.5%)4%39158 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate73.3%73.2% (71.4% to 75.0%)80%371,381 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.981.01 (0.90 to 1.11)69%571,325 discards
Breaking shape for value2.4%2.2% (1.8% to 2.7%)56%801,381 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.218.18 (8.03 to 8.33)4%7549 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate75.1%72.6% (65.6% to 79.6%)34%5249 tenpai hands
Dama rate12.1%12.8% (7.6% to 17.9%)52%7766 wins
Riichi income2,8832,671 (1,856 to 3,486)13%6254 riichi
Riichi win rate53.7%47.8% (41.1% to 54.5%)22%7754 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A14.8%14.3% (13.2% to 15.5%)1%5754 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B11.1%11.1% (9.2% to 12.9%)2%5254 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate46.3%49.2% (42.8% to 55.6%)18%3954 riichi
Riichi draw rate18.5%19.0% (13.9% to 24.2%)20%7554 riichi
Call income1,460548 (166 to 931)7%9765 calls
Win rate after calling44.6%32.2% (27.1% to 37.4%)16%9765 calls
Deal-in rate after calling12.3%11.7% (7.9% to 15.5%)20%4765 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0147277 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0177277 hands
Draw luck+0.1%443,273 draws
Ura-dora luck+0.2910029 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-9.4%529 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)+4.8%8039 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate11.4%5979 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+1.86225 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.5%+824+924-99
Wins with calls10.5%+616+381+235
Dama wins2.9%+253+175+78
Deal-ins to riichi6.9%-463-361-102
Deal-ins to open hands2.9%-138-203+65
Deal-ins to dama1.4%-95-102+7
Others' tsumo28.5%-745-757+11
Other (draws etc.)36.5%-123-59-63
Total (per hand)+130
2024-25 (21 games · skill estimate -0.5pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,589
  • Riichi rate23.3%
  • Deal-in rate11.3%
  • Win rate20.3%
  • First riichi rate76.0%
  • Average riichi turn9.33
  • Call rate21.6%
  • Tenpai rate at draws41.1%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.6%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)25.4%
  • Efficiency match rate73.7%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate70.5%
  • Dama rate16.8%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+45.8
  • Deal-ins-24.1
  • Others' tsumo-29.7
  • Ron between others-2.6
  • Draws-0.2
Change in expected points per game. Total -10.9pt/game (21 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins54+961.8+45.8
Deal-ins33-506.8-24.1
Others' tsumo67-624.4-29.7
Ron between others51-54.8-2.6
Draws48-3.6-0.2

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+0.8
  • Draw luck+0.2%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.10
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.05
  • Ura-dora luck-0.11
  • Ippatsu rate+4.4%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)-4.5%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate17.9%
Every number for 2024-25
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.902.51 (2.38 to 2.65)4%1221 games
Points per game-10.6-0.5 (-6.3 to 5.2)5%2621 games
Points per game, luck removed-11.4-0.8 (-6.3 to 4.8)7%1521 games
1st-place rate14.3%24.9% (21.7% to 28.1%)1%2121 games
4th-place rate47.6%26.9% (20.0% to 33.8%)9%721 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate21.3%20.3% (17.9% to 22.7%)19%58253 hands
Deal-in rate13.0%11.3% (9.5% to 13.2%)19%21253 hands
Riichi rate24.5%23.3% (20.5% to 26.1%)30%72253 hands
Call rate21.3%21.6% (17.8% to 25.5%)80%24253 hands
First riichi rate75.8%76.0% (71.3% to 80.7%)14%6062 riichi
Average riichi turn9.249.33 (8.94 to 9.71)18%5562 riichi
Average win value6,4706,589 (6,023 to 7,155)17%6654 wins
Average deal-in value5,0485,587 (5,060 to 6,113)10%6633 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,5761,480 (1,423 to 1,537)0%50253 hands
Deal-in loss679645 (532 to 758)11%32253 hands
Net efficiency898844 (644 to 1,044)8%58253 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.4%40.6% (33.6% to 47.5%)25%2952 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)25.0%25.4% (18.7% to 32.1%)31%4348 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call25.9%25.8% (18.8% to 32.9%)48%6054 first calls
Average win turn12.3212.38 (12.09 to 12.67)6%5254 wins
Tenpai rate at draws45.8%41.1% (34.4% to 47.8%)19%7548 draws
Staying in vs riichi14.2%14.0% (12.5% to 15.5%)3%52134 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate73.9%73.7% (71.9% to 75.5%)79%351,274 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.061.06 (0.95 to 1.17)68%661,228 discards
Breaking shape for value2.6%2.3% (1.8% to 2.8%)54%861,274 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.138.17 (8.03 to 8.32)5%5564 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate69.4%70.5% (64.2% to 76.9%)41%3864 tenpai hands
Dama rate20.4%16.8% (11.3% to 22.3%)47%9754 wins
Riichi income2,9402,683 (1,892 to 3,474)14%7762 riichi
Riichi win rate46.8%46.3% (39.9% to 52.7%)24%5562 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A14.5%14.3% (13.2% to 15.5%)1%4962 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B14.5%11.1% (9.3% to 12.9%)3%2662 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate56.5%51.2% (45.0% to 57.3%)20%8062 riichi
Riichi draw rate21.0%19.6% (14.6% to 24.5%)22%7262 riichi
Call income311475 (83.67 to 867)5%4654 calls
Win rate after calling25.9%29.2% (23.8% to 34.6%)14%2654 calls
Deal-in rate after calling13.0%11.8% (7.8% to 15.8%)17%4154 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.104253 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0518253 hands
Draw luck+0.2%603,025 draws
Ura-dora luck-0.11929 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+4.4%8629 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)-4.5%3247 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate17.9%967 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+0.86621 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi11.5%+1,032+924+108
Wins with calls5.5%+302+381-80
Dama wins4.3%+243+175+67
Deal-ins to riichi5.5%-358-361+3
Deal-ins to open hands7.5%-356-203-153
Deal-ins to dama0.0%0-102+102
Others' tsumo26.5%-859-757-102
Other (draws etc.)39.1%-36-59+24
Total (per hand)-33
2023-24 (24 games · skill estimate -0.4pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,487
  • Riichi rate24.0%
  • Deal-in rate11.4%
  • Win rate20.2%
  • First riichi rate75.5%
  • Average riichi turn9.41
  • Call rate21.3%
  • Tenpai rate at draws41.1%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)41.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)22.6%
  • Efficiency match rate75.0%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.18
  • Immediate riichi rate74.2%
  • Dama rate12.4%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+48.2
  • Deal-ins-22.7
  • Others' tsumo-29.2
  • Ron between others-3.1
  • Draws-0.1
Change in expected points per game. Total -7.1pt/game (24 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins62+1156.8+48.2
Deal-ins38-545.7-22.7
Others' tsumo85-701.8-29.2
Ron between others45-75.5-3.1
Draws65-3.4-0.1

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+5.9
  • Draw luck-0.4%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.05
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.09
  • Ura-dora luck+0.14
  • Ippatsu rate-4.0%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)-4.5%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate15.3%
Every number for 2023-24
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.632.50 (2.37 to 2.63)5%3224 games
Points per game-6.9-0.4 (-6.1 to 5.3)6%2424 games
Points per game, luck removed-12.8-1.0 (-6.4 to 4.5)7%124 games
1st-place rate20.8%25.0% (21.8% to 28.2%)2%4124 games
4th-place rate29.2%25.3% (18.5% to 32.1%)10%3124 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate21.0%20.2% (17.9% to 22.5%)22%69295 hands
Deal-in rate12.9%11.4% (9.6% to 13.1%)22%32295 hands
Riichi rate26.4%24.0% (21.3% to 26.6%)33%86295 hands
Call rate21.0%21.3% (17.7% to 25.0%)82%35295 hands
First riichi rate73.1%75.5% (71.0% to 80.0%)18%2678 riichi
Average riichi turn9.659.41 (9.05 to 9.77)22%1578 riichi
Average win value5,9426,487 (5,941 to 7,033)19%762 wins
Average deal-in value5,7505,655 (5,142 to 6,168)11%3838 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,4481,480 (1,424 to 1,537)0%50295 hands
Deal-in loss765656 (547 to 766)13%24295 hands
Net efficiency683825 (630 to 1,020)9%26295 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)42.9%41.2% (34.5% to 48.0%)27%5256 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)17.5%22.6% (16.5% to 28.7%)37%763 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call21.0%23.3% (16.5% to 30.0%)52%2962 first calls
Average win turn12.3712.39 (12.10 to 12.67)7%4962 wins
Tenpai rate at draws44.6%41.1% (35.0% to 47.2%)24%8065 draws
Staying in vs riichi18.4%14.2% (12.7% to 15.7%)4%94158 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate75.4%75.0% (73.3% to 76.6%)83%721,625 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.940.97 (0.87 to 1.07)73%241,569 discards
Breaking shape for value2.2%2.1% (1.7% to 2.6%)60%691,625 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.248.18 (8.03 to 8.32)5%7566 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate78.1%74.2% (67.9% to 80.4%)41%8666 tenpai hands
Dama rate11.3%12.4% (7.1% to 17.7%)51%4262 wins
Riichi income2,5012,616 (1,868 to 3,364)17%5278 riichi
Riichi win rate48.7%46.9% (41.0% to 52.8%)29%6978 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A12.8%14.3% (13.2% to 15.5%)1%7778 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B12.8%11.1% (9.3% to 12.9%)3%2278 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate39.7%47.4% (41.7% to 53.1%)24%478 riichi
Riichi draw rate24.4%20.6% (16.0% to 25.2%)27%8978 riichi
Call income174466 (80.40 to 851)6%2662 calls
Win rate after calling27.4%29.4% (24.2% to 34.6%)16%4162 calls
Deal-in rate after calling17.7%12.7% (8.9% to 16.6%)19%962 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0563295 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.094295 hands
Draw luck-0.4%383,674 draws
Ura-dora luck+0.148338 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-4.0%2938 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)-4.5%4157 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate15.3%1885 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+5.99224 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi12.9%+1,002+924+78
Wins with calls5.8%+335+381-46
Dama wins2.4%+111+175-64
Deal-ins to riichi5.1%-359-361+2
Deal-ins to open hands5.8%-328-203-126
Deal-ins to dama2.0%-111-102-9
Others' tsumo28.8%-879-757-122
Other (draws etc.)37.3%-61-59-2
Total (per hand)-291
2022-23 (25 games · skill estimate -0.4pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,748
  • Riichi rate23.2%
  • Deal-in rate11.2%
  • Win rate19.7%
  • First riichi rate76.6%
  • Average riichi turn9.32
  • Call rate21.3%
  • Tenpai rate at draws39.5%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.7%
  • Efficiency match rate72.7%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate71.1%
  • Dama rate12.2%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+51.1
  • Deal-ins-32.0
  • Others' tsumo-23.7
  • Ron between others-2.6
  • Draws-0.4
Change in expected points per game. Total -7.6pt/game (25 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins64+1277.2+51.1
Deal-ins42-799.4-32.0
Others' tsumo77-591.8-23.7
Ron between others74-66.0-2.6
Draws86-9.0-0.4

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+1.5
  • Draw luck-0.6%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.04
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.03
  • Ura-dora luck-0.12
  • Ippatsu rate+19.1%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)-2.4%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate9.1%
Every number for 2022-23
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.722.51 (2.38 to 2.64)5%1725 games
Points per game-7.5-0.4 (-6.1 to 5.2)6%1725 games
Points per game, luck removed-8.9-0.7 (-6.1 to 4.7)8%725 games
1st-place rate16.0%24.9% (21.8% to 28.1%)2%1425 games
4th-place rate28.0%25.2% (18.5% to 32.0%)10%3925 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate18.7%19.7% (17.5% to 21.9%)24%33343 hands
Deal-in rate12.2%11.2% (9.5% to 13.0%)25%11343 hands
Riichi rate23.9%23.2% (20.7% to 25.7%)37%71343 hands
Call rate21.0%21.3% (17.8% to 24.7%)84%43343 hands
First riichi rate79.3%76.6% (72.2% to 81.1%)18%7482 riichi
Average riichi turn9.239.32 (8.97 to 9.67)22%5882 riichi
Average win value7,3136,748 (6,207 to 7,289)19%8764 wins
Average deal-in value6,9505,799 (5,295 to 6,302)12%142 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,5751,480 (1,424 to 1,536)0%50343 hands
Deal-in loss879675 (569 to 781)14%1343 hands
Net efficiency696824 (634 to 1,014)11%23343 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)31.7%38.1% (31.6% to 44.6%)29%1463 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)23.4%24.7% (19.0% to 30.3%)42%3077 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call29.2%27.6% (21.2% to 34.1%)55%6072 first calls
Average win turn12.3412.38 (12.10 to 12.67)7%5864 wins
Tenpai rate at draws38.4%39.5% (34.0% to 45.1%)29%4386 draws
Staying in vs riichi13.0%14.0% (12.5% to 15.4%)4%23177 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate72.7%72.7% (71.1% to 74.3%)84%621,755 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.151.13 (1.03 to 1.23)74%741,683 discards
Breaking shape for value2.2%2.1% (1.7% to 2.5%)61%711,755 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.988.16 (8.02 to 8.31)6%1772 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate70.9%71.1% (65.0% to 77.2%)44%5272 tenpai hands
Dama rate10.9%12.2% (7.0% to 17.4%)52%3064 wins
Riichi income2,3342,585 (1,847 to 3,324)18%2382 riichi
Riichi win rate43.9%45.5% (39.7% to 51.3%)30%3982 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A17.1%14.3% (13.2% to 15.5%)1%482 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B12.2%11.1% (9.3% to 12.9%)4%1482 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate46.3%48.9% (43.3% to 54.6%)25%2782 riichi
Riichi draw rate20.7%19.6% (15.1% to 24.1%)28%5282 riichi
Call income1,135531 (154 to 909)7%8772 calls
Win rate after calling29.2%29.7% (24.6% to 34.7%)18%3972 calls
Deal-in rate after calling9.7%11.2% (7.5% to 14.9%)21%5572 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0417343 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0358343 hands
Draw luck-0.6%144,261 draws
Ura-dora luck-0.121436 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+19.1%10036 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)-2.4%2365 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate9.1%7977 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+1.55825 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.5%+990+924+67
Wins with calls6.1%+441+381+60
Dama wins2.0%+143+175-32
Deal-ins to riichi5.5%-435-361-74
Deal-ins to open hands5.2%-388-203-185
Deal-ins to dama1.5%-85-102+18
Others' tsumo22.4%-662-757+95
Other (draws etc.)46.6%-67-59-8
Total (per hand)-62
2021-22 (26 games · skill estimate 0.6pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,911
  • Riichi rate24.7%
  • Deal-in rate11.4%
  • Win rate20.0%
  • First riichi rate76.0%
  • Average riichi turn9.40
  • Call rate20.0%
  • Tenpai rate at draws40.4%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.7%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)25.5%
  • Efficiency match rate73.7%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate73.2%
  • Dama rate14.2%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+57.4
  • Deal-ins-25.0
  • Others' tsumo-20.1
  • Ron between others-1.7
  • Draws-0.8
Change in expected points per game. Total +9.8pt/game (26 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins68+1492.9+57.4
Deal-ins43-649.3-25.0
Others' tsumo92-522.5-20.1
Ron between others71-45.4-1.7
Draws65-19.6-0.8

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+8.4
  • Draw luck+0.7%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.10
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.08
  • Ura-dora luck+0.01
  • Ippatsu rate-3.5%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)+8.6%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate6.5%
Every number for 2021-22
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.232.48 (2.35 to 2.61)5%8726 games
Points per game9.70.6 (-5.0 to 6.2)6%8726 games
Points per game, luck removed1.30.1 (-5.3 to 5.5)8%5226 games
1st-place rate30.8%25.2% (22.0% to 28.3%)2%7426 games
4th-place rate19.2%24.3% (17.6% to 31.0%)11%7426 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate20.1%20.0% (17.8% to 22.2%)24%46339 hands
Deal-in rate12.7%11.4% (9.6% to 13.1%)25%7339 hands
Riichi rate28.0%24.7% (22.2% to 27.2%)37%97339 hands
Call rate19.5%20.0% (16.6% to 23.4%)84%46339 hands
First riichi rate75.8%76.0% (71.7% to 80.2%)21%4695 riichi
Average riichi turn9.579.40 (9.06 to 9.74)25%4395 riichi
Average win value8,0846,911 (6,379 to 7,442)20%10068 wins
Average deal-in value5,5705,635 (5,134 to 6,136)12%4343 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,7651,480 (1,424 to 1,536)0%50339 hands
Deal-in loss750656 (550 to 763)14%11339 hands
Net efficiency1,015858 (667 to 1,048)10%74339 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)33.3%38.7% (31.9% to 45.4%)27%2057 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)25.4%25.5% (19.6% to 31.5%)39%6567 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call31.8%29.0% (22.4% to 35.6%)53%7166 first calls
Average win turn12.6212.40 (12.12 to 12.69)8%3968 wins
Tenpai rate at draws41.5%40.4% (34.3% to 46.5%)24%5265 draws
Staying in vs riichi12.3%13.9% (12.5% to 15.4%)4%36171 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate73.9%73.7% (72.2% to 75.3%)84%871,824 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.930.96 (0.87 to 1.06)75%71,749 discards
Breaking shape for value2.4%2.3% (1.8% to 2.7%)62%741,824 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.948.16 (8.02 to 8.30)7%486 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate75.2%73.2% (67.4% to 78.9%)48%8186 tenpai hands
Dama rate14.7%14.2% (9.1% to 19.3%)53%3968 wins
Riichi income2,9172,696 (1,988 to 3,405)20%4995 riichi
Riichi win rate45.3%45.9% (40.4% to 51.4%)33%3695 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A17.9%14.4% (13.2% to 15.5%)1%1495 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B12.6%11.1% (9.4% to 12.9%)4%1795 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate52.6%50.6% (45.3% to 56.0%)28%7195 riichi
Riichi draw rate15.8%18.1% (13.8% to 22.4%)31%2095 riichi
Call income34.85455 (73.19 to 837)7%3066 calls
Win rate after calling22.7%28.6% (23.5% to 33.8%)17%1166 calls
Deal-in rate after calling12.1%11.7% (7.9% to 15.4%)20%4366 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.1097339 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0897339 hands
Draw luck+0.7%784,186 draws
Ura-dora luck+0.015843 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-3.5%3943 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)+8.6%10072 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate6.5%10092 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+8.48726 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi12.7%+1,250+924+327
Wins with calls4.4%+324+381-57
Dama wins2.9%+190+175+15
Deal-ins to riichi5.6%-414-361-53
Deal-ins to open hands3.5%-178-203+25
Deal-ins to dama3.5%-194-102-91
Others' tsumo27.1%-676-757+81
Other (draws etc.)40.1%-66-59-7
Total (per hand)+238
2020-21 (23 games · skill estimate 0.3pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,677
  • Riichi rate22.1%
  • Deal-in rate10.7%
  • Win rate19.5%
  • First riichi rate76.6%
  • Average riichi turn9.36
  • Call rate19.0%
  • Tenpai rate at draws37.1%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)41.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.3%
  • Efficiency match rate72.4%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.19
  • Immediate riichi rate74.1%
  • Dama rate13.6%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+45.6
  • Deal-ins-15.6
  • Others' tsumo-18.7
  • Ron between others-4.2
  • Draws-2.2
Change in expected points per game. Total +4.8pt/game (23 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins51+1047.8+45.6
Deal-ins29-359.8-15.6
Others' tsumo78-430.7-18.7
Ron between others67-96.0-4.2
Draws62-50.7-2.2

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-4.3
  • Draw luck-0.5%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.09
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.03
  • Ura-dora luck+0.19
  • Ippatsu rate-9.0%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)+8.6%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate7.7%
Every number for 2020-21
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.392.49 (2.36 to 2.62)4%6623 games
Points per game4.80.3 (-5.5 to 6.0)5%6923 games
Points per game, luck removed9.10.7 (-4.8 to 6.1)7%8623 games
1st-place rate34.8%25.2% (22.0% to 28.4%)1%9323 games
4th-place rate26.1%25.0% (18.2% to 31.9%)9%4923 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate17.8%19.5% (17.2% to 21.8%)21%28287 hands
Deal-in rate10.1%10.7% (8.9% to 12.6%)22%73287 hands
Riichi rate20.9%22.1% (19.5% to 24.8%)33%39287 hands
Call rate18.1%19.0% (15.3% to 22.7%)82%28287 hands
First riichi rate80.0%76.6% (71.8% to 81.4%)14%6660 riichi
Average riichi turn9.439.36 (8.97 to 9.75)17%4260 riichi
Average win value7,0146,677 (6,103 to 7,251)16%6951 wins
Average deal-in value4,6145,556 (5,018 to 6,094)9%9729 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,3721,480 (1,424 to 1,537)0%50287 hands
Deal-in loss487622 (512 to 732)12%93287 hands
Net efficiency885844 (647 to 1,040)9%66287 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)42.0%41.0% (34.0% to 48.0%)25%4950 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)21.8%24.3% (17.9% to 30.7%)34%4255 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call32.7%29.0% (21.9% to 36.2%)47%7652 first calls
Average win turn12.1412.37 (12.08 to 12.67)6%7351 wins
Tenpai rate at draws27.4%37.1% (30.9% to 43.3%)23%862 draws
Staying in vs riichi12.4%14.0% (12.5% to 15.5%)3%28137 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate72.3%72.4% (70.7% to 74.1%)82%591,562 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.071.07 (0.96 to 1.17)72%321,496 discards
Breaking shape for value1.4%1.7% (1.2% to 2.1%)59%111,562 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.428.19 (8.04 to 8.33)5%6659 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate78.5%74.1% (67.5% to 80.6%)39%8059 tenpai hands
Dama rate13.7%13.6% (8.0% to 19.2%)46%3551 wins
Riichi income2,6932,648 (1,851 to 3,444)14%5960 riichi
Riichi win rate46.7%46.3% (39.8% to 52.8%)24%6260 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A15.0%14.3% (13.2% to 15.5%)1%5060 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B10.0%11.0% (9.2% to 12.8%)3%6660 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate38.3%47.6% (41.4% to 53.7%)20%460 riichi
Riichi draw rate16.7%18.6% (13.6% to 23.6%)22%3060 riichi
Call income1,465537 (143 to 930)5%9052 calls
Win rate after calling30.8%29.9% (24.5% to 35.4%)14%6952 calls
Deal-in rate after calling11.5%11.6% (7.5% to 15.6%)16%5252 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.091287 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0366287 hands
Draw luck-0.5%323,547 draws
Ura-dora luck+0.199328 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-9.0%1528 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)+8.6%9048 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate7.7%9078 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-4.31523 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.8%+797+924-127
Wins with calls5.6%+404+381+23
Dama wins2.4%+172+175-3
Deal-ins to riichi4.5%-301-361+60
Deal-ins to open hands3.8%-171-203+32
Deal-ins to dama1.7%-36-102+66
Others' tsumo27.2%-660-757+97
Other (draws etc.)44.9%-152-59-92
Total (per hand)+53
2019-20 (26 games · skill estimate -0.4pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,591
  • Riichi rate22.6%
  • Deal-in rate10.5%
  • Win rate19.5%
  • First riichi rate76.8%
  • Average riichi turn9.34
  • Call rate20.5%
  • Tenpai rate at draws41.4%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)42.4%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)28.3%
  • Efficiency match rate72.7%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.15
  • Immediate riichi rate73.5%
  • Dama rate12.8%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+42.6
  • Deal-ins-20.0
  • Others' tsumo-26.5
  • Ron between others-0.5
  • Draws-1.8
Change in expected points per game. Total -6.3pt/game (26 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins58+1106.5+42.6
Deal-ins30-520.8-20.0
Others' tsumo91-688.9-26.5
Ron between others70-12.2-0.5
Draws75-48.0-1.8

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-4.7
  • Draw luck-0.7%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.02
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.03
  • Ura-dora luck+0.03
  • Ippatsu rate+14.9%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)-2.3%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate7.7%
Every number for 2019-20
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.622.50 (2.37 to 2.63)5%2426 games
Points per game-6.1-0.4 (-6.0 to 5.3)6%2226 games
Points per game, luck removed-1.4-0.1 (-5.5 to 5.3)8%5826 games
1st-place rate15.4%24.9% (21.8% to 28.0%)2%1226 games
4th-place rate30.8%25.5% (18.8% to 32.2%)11%1926 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate17.9%19.5% (17.3% to 21.7%)23%12324 hands
Deal-in rate9.3%10.5% (8.8% to 12.3%)24%75324 hands
Riichi rate22.2%22.6% (20.0% to 25.1%)35%65324 hands
Call rate20.1%20.5% (17.0% to 24.0%)84%47324 hands
First riichi rate80.6%76.8% (72.2% to 81.4%)16%6872 riichi
Average riichi turn9.329.34 (8.97 to 9.71)20%4372 riichi
Average win value6,4916,591 (6,036 to 7,147)18%4058 wins
Average deal-in value6,0875,682 (5,148 to 6,217)9%4030 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,3241,480 (1,424 to 1,537)0%50324 hands
Deal-in loss589634 (526 to 741)14%68324 hands
Net efficiency735829 (637 to 1,021)10%40324 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)46.8%42.4% (35.9% to 49.0%)29%7962 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)32.0%28.3% (22.5% to 34.0%)42%8975 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call36.9%31.6% (25.0% to 38.3%)53%7965 first calls
Average win turn12.4912.39 (12.10 to 12.68)7%3658 wins
Tenpai rate at draws45.3%41.4% (35.6% to 47.3%)26%7975 draws
Staying in vs riichi12.4%13.9% (12.5% to 15.4%)4%36178 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate72.7%72.7% (71.1% to 74.3%)84%751,732 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.021.03 (0.94 to 1.13)74%151,658 discards
Breaking shape for value2.0%2.0% (1.6% to 2.5%)61%541,732 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.648.15 (8.00 to 8.30)5%161 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate76.8%73.5% (67.0% to 80.0%)40%7961 tenpai hands
Dama rate12.1%12.8% (7.4% to 18.2%)49%2058 wins
Riichi income2,1832,567 (1,804 to 3,330)16%2672 riichi
Riichi win rate36.1%43.4% (37.4% to 49.5%)27%572 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A12.5%14.3% (13.1% to 15.5%)1%7272 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B9.7%11.0% (9.2% to 12.8%)3%7572 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate51.4%50.2% (44.3% to 56.0%)23%4072 riichi
Riichi draw rate30.6%22.0% (17.3% to 26.8%)25%9672 riichi
Call income565490 (107 to 873)7%5465 calls
Win rate after calling38.5%31.2% (26.0% to 36.4%)16%9665 calls
Deal-in rate after calling10.8%11.4% (7.6% to 15.2%)20%5065 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0254324 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0322324 hands
Draw luck-0.7%53,969 draws
Ura-dora luck+0.033626 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+14.9%9626 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)-2.3%2258 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate7.7%8691 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-4.71926 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi8.0%+744+924-179
Wins with calls7.7%+422+381+41
Dama wins2.2%+157+175-18
Deal-ins to riichi4.3%-334-361+27
Deal-ins to open hands2.8%-199-203+4
Deal-ins to dama2.2%-77-102+25
Others' tsumo28.1%-772-757-15
Other (draws etc.)44.8%-62-59-2
Total (per hand)-120
2018-19 (29 games · skill estimate -0.1pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,840
  • Riichi rate23.3%
  • Deal-in rate11.1%
  • Win rate19.2%
  • First riichi rate75.5%
  • Average riichi turn9.38
  • Call rate18.9%
  • Tenpai rate at draws39.1%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)44.5%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.8%
  • Efficiency match rate73.0%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate76.1%
  • Dama rate10.2%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+46.0
  • Deal-ins-23.1
  • Others' tsumo-22.2
  • Ron between others-2.6
  • Draws-0.1
Change in expected points per game. Total -2.0pt/game (29 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins59+1334.8+46.0
Deal-ins41-671.1-23.1
Others' tsumo92-644.1-22.2
Ron between others86-75.6-2.6
Draws74-3.0-0.1

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+3.9
  • Draw luck0.0%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.00
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.14
  • Ura-dora luck+0.11
  • Ippatsu rate-7.8%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)-5.3%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate8.7%
Every number for 2018-19
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.592.50 (2.37 to 2.63)6%3629 games
Points per game-2.3-0.1 (-5.7 to 5.4)7%3629 games
Points per game, luck removed-6.2-0.6 (-5.8 to 4.7)9%3129 games
1st-place rate24.1%25.0% (21.9% to 28.2%)2%5029 games
4th-place rate20.7%24.4% (17.9% to 31.0%)12%6529 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate16.8%19.2% (17.0% to 21.4%)25%6352 hands
Deal-in rate11.6%11.1% (9.4% to 12.8%)25%46352 hands
Riichi rate24.1%23.3% (20.8% to 25.7%)37%75352 hands
Call rate18.2%18.9% (15.5% to 22.3%)85%31352 hands
First riichi rate72.9%75.5% (71.1% to 79.8%)19%2685 riichi
Average riichi turn9.499.38 (9.03 to 9.73)23%5585 riichi
Average win value7,8736,840 (6,287 to 7,393)18%10059 wins
Average deal-in value5,5415,632 (5,126 to 6,137)12%6541 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,4611,480 (1,424 to 1,536)0%50352 hands
Deal-in loss675646 (540 to 751)15%46352 hands
Net efficiency786834 (644 to 1,023)11%46352 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)51.9%44.5% (38.6% to 50.5%)34%10081 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)23.5%24.8% (18.9% to 30.7%)39%4168 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call31.3%28.6% (21.9% to 35.3%)52%7064 first calls
Average win turn12.1912.37 (12.09 to 12.66)7%8559 wins
Tenpai rate at draws36.5%39.1% (33.2% to 44.9%)26%3674 draws
Staying in vs riichi12.2%13.9% (12.5% to 15.4%)5%16196 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate73.0%73.0% (71.4% to 74.6%)85%551,861 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.920.95 (0.86 to 1.05)75%61,795 discards
Breaking shape for value2.8%2.5% (2.1% to 2.9%)63%1001,861 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.138.17 (8.03 to 8.31)6%3182 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate81.4%76.1% (70.2% to 81.9%)47%9582 tenpai hands
Dama rate6.8%10.2% (4.8% to 15.5%)50%159 wins
Riichi income3,4462,789 (2,058 to 3,521)18%8085 riichi
Riichi win rate49.4%47.2% (41.4% to 52.9%)31%6585 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A11.8%14.3% (13.1% to 15.4%)1%8085 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B10.6%11.0% (9.3% to 12.8%)4%4385 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate50.6%50.0% (44.5% to 55.6%)26%5585 riichi
Riichi draw rate16.5%18.4% (13.9% to 22.9%)28%3185 riichi
Call income-211440 (56.76 to 824)6%1664 calls
Win rate after calling20.3%28.2% (23.1% to 33.4%)16%1164 calls
Deal-in rate after calling17.2%12.6% (8.8% to 16.5%)19%1664 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0075352 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.14100352 hands
Draw luck0.0%464,386 draws
Ura-dora luck+0.117042 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-7.8%142 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)-5.3%2162 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate8.7%8092 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+3.97529 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi11.9%+1,146+924+223
Wins with calls3.7%+208+381-174
Dama wins1.1%+107+175-68
Deal-ins to riichi5.7%-389-361-28
Deal-ins to open hands4.5%-228-203-25
Deal-ins to dama1.4%-84-102+18
Others' tsumo26.1%-716-757+41
Other (draws etc.)45.5%-74-59-15
Total (per hand)-30

Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first

  1. Matsumoto YoshihiroShibuya ABEMASIn common: Big hands, Often noten at draws
  2. Takamiya MariKONAMI Mahjong Fight Club
  3. Okada SayakaKADOKAWA Sakura Knights

* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics the data can vouch for weigh more. It shows only how close the styles are, not which is better. The differences are often slight, and the order could change.