Player · 128 career games · 2021-22–2024-25
Matsugase Takaya
Calls little and builds closed hands. Stands out for being noten at draws. Career record: -2.4pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.
Actual / game
-2.4
128 career games
Skill estimate / game
-0.6
90% interval -4.6 to +3.4
Estimate, luck removed
-0.2
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
24%
share of the estimate from the record
Styleleague percentile, career
Colour only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and efficiency match rate, are grey. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.
Placements128 career games, average placement 2.54
- 1st21.9%28×
- 2nd28.9%37×
- 3rd22.7%29×
- 4th26.6%34×
Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls
Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).
Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand
Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.
Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates
Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)
Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 295 | +5761.2 | +45.0 |
| Deal-ins | 156 | -2262.5 | -17.7 |
| Others' tsumo | 447 | -3382.8 | -26.4 |
| Ron between others | 328 | -299.7 | -2.3 |
| Draws | 324 | -113.3 | -0.9 |
Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 10.8% | +923 | +924 | -0 |
| Wins with calls | 5.2% | +287 | +381 | -94 |
| Dama wins | 3.1% | +211 | +175 | +35 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 4.3% | -301 | -361 | +59 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.4% | -221 | -203 | -18 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.4% | -80 | -102 | +22 |
| Others' tsumo | 28.8% | -805 | -757 | -48 |
| Other (draws etc.) | 42.1% | -90 | -59 | -31 |
| Total (per hand) | -76 |
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.54 | 2.51 (2.41 to 2.60) | 21% | 32 | 128 games |
| Points per game | -2.4 | -0.6 (-4.6 to 3.4) | 24% | 28 | 128 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -0.6 | -0.2 (-3.8 to 3.4) | 30% | 44 | 128 games |
| 1st-place rate | 21.9% | 24.8% (22.1% to 27.5%) | 8% | 20 | 128 games |
| 4th-place rate | 26.6% | 25.5% (21.3% to 29.7%) | 37% | 34 | 128 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 19.0% | 19.4% (18.1% to 20.7%) | 59% | 26 | 1,550 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 10.1% | 10.4% (9.4% to 11.4%) | 60% | 79 | 1,550 hands |
| Riichi rate | 23.2% | 23.1% (21.6% to 24.6%) | 72% | 59 | 1,550 hands |
| Call rate | 20.4% | 20.5% (18.8% to 22.2%) | 96% | 30 | 1,550 hands |
| First riichi rate | 75.0% | 75.5% (72.8% to 78.2%) | 49% | 30 | 360 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.13 | 9.23 (9.01 to 9.44) | 56% | 81 | 360 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,664 | 6,640 (6,317 to 6,963) | 52% | 59 | 295 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,490 | 5,592 (5,249 to 5,936) | 33% | 69 | 156 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,421 | 1,480 (1,429 to 1,531) | 0% | 50 | 1,550 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 577 | 613 (548 to 679) | 43% | 86 | 1,550 hands |
| Net efficiency | 845 | 841 (717 to 965) | 35% | 53 | 1,550 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 39.0% | 39.6% (35.7% to 43.5%) | 64% | 32 | 277 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 24.1% | 24.4% (21.1% to 27.8%) | 77% | 36 | 353 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 30.4% | 29.7% (25.9% to 33.4%) | 84% | 81 | 316 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.50 | 12.42 (12.22 to 12.62) | 26% | 32 | 295 wins |
| Tenpai rate at draws | 35.8% | 37.5% (33.9% to 41.0%) | 61% | 9 | 324 draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 13.2% | 13.9% (12.7% to 15.0%) | 18% | 32 | 821 hands facing riichi |
| Efficiency match rate | 71.3% | 71.3% (70.5% to 72.1%) | 96% | 24 | 8,202 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.17 | 1.16 (1.11 to 1.21) | 93% | 84 | 7,965 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.3% | 2.2% (2.0% to 2.5%) | 88% | 79 | 8,202 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.16 | 8.17 (8.07 to 8.28) | 22% | 57 | 342 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 71.0% | 71.0% (67.5% to 74.6%) | 79% | 42 | 342 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 16.3% | 15.8% (12.8% to 18.8%) | 83% | 77 | 295 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,209 | 2,429 (1,979 to 2,879) | 49% | 13 | 360 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 46.4% | 46.3% (42.8% to 49.8%) | 65% | 61 | 360 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 15.3% | 14.4% (13.3% to 15.4%) | 4% | 30 | 360 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 10.8% | 11.0% (9.6% to 12.4%) | 14% | 61 | 360 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 47.8% | 48.6% (45.2% to 52.0%) | 60% | 30 | 360 riichi |
| Riichi draw rate | 14.4% | 16.2% (13.5% to 18.9%) | 63% | 7 | 360 riichi |
| Call income | 399 | 463 (194 to 733) | 25% | 38 | 316 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 25.3% | 27.6% (24.5% to 30.7%) | 49% | 7 | 316 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 8.5% | 9.9% (7.7% to 12.1%) | 54% | 98 | 316 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.01 | 73 | 1,550 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | -0.00 | 42 | 1,550 hands |
| Draw luck | -0.2% | 22 | 19,146 draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.00 | 34 | 167 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | +0.6% | 63 | 167 riichi wins |
| Not being chased (/first riichi) | +1.2% | 73 | 270 first riichi |
| Painful dealer tsumo rate | 9.2% | 100 | 447 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -1.8 | 24 | 128 games |
By seasonRegular Season
2024-25 (25 games · skill estimate -0.8pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 60 | +1060.5 | +42.4 |
| Deal-ins | 34 | -560.1 | -22.4 |
| Others' tsumo | 86 | -742.4 | -29.7 |
| Ron between others | 70 | -34.1 | -1.4 |
| Draws | 63 | -48.5 | -1.9 |
Luck
Every number for 2024-25
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.84 | 2.51 (2.38 to 2.64) | 5% | 15 | 25 games |
| Points per game | -13.0 | -0.8 (-6.4 to 4.9) | 6% | 12 | 25 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -7.8 | -0.6 (-6.0 to 4.8) | 8% | 21 | 25 games |
| 1st-place rate | 12.0% | 24.9% (21.7% to 28.0%) | 2% | 7 | 25 games |
| 4th-place rate | 36.0% | 26.0% (19.3% to 32.8%) | 10% | 15 | 25 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 19.2% | 19.8% (17.6% to 22.1%) | 23% | 29 | 313 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 10.9% | 10.9% (9.1% to 12.7%) | 23% | 60 | 313 hands |
| Riichi rate | 23.3% | 22.9% (20.4% to 25.5%) | 35% | 58 | 313 hands |
| Call rate | 24.3% | 24.0% (20.5% to 27.6%) | 83% | 46 | 313 hands |
| First riichi rate | 75.3% | 75.9% (71.4% to 80.5%) | 17% | 52 | 73 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.19 | 9.31 (8.95 to 9.68) | 21% | 63 | 73 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,263 | 6,549 (5,998 to 7,100) | 18% | 49 | 60 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 6,103 | 5,689 (5,165 to 6,212) | 10% | 12 | 34 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,332 | 1,480 (1,424 to 1,537) | 0% | 50 | 313 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 688 | 647 (539 to 755) | 13% | 29 | 313 hands |
| Net efficiency | 644 | 820 (627 to 1,014) | 10% | 29 | 313 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 56.4% | 44.8% (38.0% to 51.6%) | 26% | 99 | 55 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 24.2% | 25.1% (19.1% to 31.1%) | 38% | 35 | 66 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 25.0% | 25.3% (19.0% to 31.6%) | 57% | 55 | 76 first calls |
| Average win turn | 13.20 | 12.44 (12.15 to 12.73) | 7% | 4 | 60 wins |
| Tenpai rate at draws | 34.9% | 38.8% (32.7% to 45.0%) | 23% | 7 | 63 draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 11.6% | 13.9% (12.4% to 15.4%) | 4% | 21 | 164 hands facing riichi |
| Efficiency match rate | 73.0% | 73.0% (71.3% to 74.6%) | 83% | 21 | 1,647 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.13 | 1.11 (1.01 to 1.21) | 73% | 86 | 1,593 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.9% | 1.9% (1.5% to 2.4%) | 60% | 32 | 1,647 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.28 | 8.18 (8.04 to 8.33) | 6% | 83 | 71 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 69.2% | 70.4% (64.3% to 76.5%) | 43% | 32 | 71 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 11.7% | 12.6% (7.3% to 17.9%) | 50% | 63 | 60 wins |
| Riichi income | 1,930 | 2,525 (1,764 to 3,285) | 16% | 26 | 73 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 49.3% | 47.0% (41.0% to 53.1%) | 27% | 69 | 73 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 19.2% | 14.4% (13.2% to 15.5%) | 1% | 21 | 73 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 16.4% | 11.2% (9.4% to 13.0%) | 3% | 12 | 73 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 38.4% | 47.2% (41.3% to 53.0%) | 23% | 4 | 73 riichi |
| Riichi draw rate | 11.0% | 17.1% (12.4% to 21.8%) | 25% | 1 | 73 riichi |
| Call income | -254 | 429 (54.78 to 804) | 8% | 9 | 76 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 22.4% | 28.4% (23.4% to 33.4%) | 19% | 7 | 76 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 11.8% | 11.6% (8.0% to 15.2%) | 22% | 49 | 76 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | -0.04 | 35 | 313 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.04 | 94 | 313 hands |
| Draw luck | -0.7% | 18 | 3,849 draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.10 | 18 | 36 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -5.9% | 18 | 36 riichi wins |
| Not being chased (/first riichi) | +3.5% | 80 | 55 first riichi |
| Painful dealer tsumo rate | 10.5% | 73 | 86 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -5.2 | 7 | 25 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 11.5% | +971 | +924 | +47 |
| Wins with calls | 5.4% | +218 | +381 | -163 |
| Dama wins | 2.2% | +142 | +175 | -33 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 4.8% | -393 | -361 | -32 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.8% | -186 | -203 | +17 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.3% | -148 | -102 | -46 |
| Others' tsumo | 27.5% | -795 | -757 | -38 |
| Other (draws etc.) | 42.5% | -101 | -59 | -41 |
| Total (per hand) | -290 |
2023-24 (25 games · skill estimate -0.6pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 54 | +1042.5 | +41.7 |
| Deal-ins | 39 | -499.6 | -20.0 |
| Others' tsumo | 93 | -694.9 | -27.8 |
| Ron between others | 67 | -75.9 | -3.0 |
| Draws | 46 | -43.8 | -1.8 |
Luck
Every number for 2023-24
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.68 | 2.51 (2.38 to 2.64) | 5% | 14 | 25 games |
| Points per game | -11.1 | -0.6 (-6.3 to 5.0) | 6% | 1 | 25 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -12.3 | -1.0 (-6.4 to 4.4) | 8% | 4 | 25 games |
| 1st-place rate | 16.0% | 24.9% (21.8% to 28.1%) | 2% | 21 | 25 games |
| 4th-place rate | 32.0% | 25.6% (18.9% to 32.4%) | 10% | 18 | 25 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 18.1% | 19.6% (17.3% to 21.9%) | 22% | 9 | 299 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 13.0% | 11.4% (9.6% to 13.2%) | 22% | 26 | 299 hands |
| Riichi rate | 25.8% | 23.8% (21.1% to 26.4%) | 34% | 80 | 299 hands |
| Call rate | 20.4% | 20.8% (17.2% to 24.5%) | 83% | 26 | 299 hands |
| First riichi rate | 68.8% | 74.8% (70.3% to 79.3%) | 17% | 9 | 77 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 8.95 | 9.26 (8.90 to 9.62) | 21% | 86 | 77 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,517 | 6,597 (6,031 to 7,163) | 17% | 49 | 54 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,100 | 5,583 (5,072 to 6,094) | 11% | 94 | 39 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,295 | 1,480 (1,424 to 1,537) | 0% | 50 | 299 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 699 | 648 (539 to 758) | 13% | 41 | 299 hands |
| Net efficiency | 596 | 817 (622 to 1,012) | 9% | 15 | 299 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 46.7% | 42.3% (35.7% to 49.0%) | 28% | 80 | 60 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 25.0% | 25.4% (19.3% to 31.4%) | 38% | 38 | 64 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 26.2% | 26.0% (19.2% to 32.8%) | 51% | 60 | 61 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.03 | 12.36 (12.07 to 12.66) | 6% | 66 | 54 wins |
| Tenpai rate at draws | 26.1% | 37.5% (30.7% to 44.3%) | 18% | 4 | 46 draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 10.4% | 13.9% (12.4% to 15.3%) | 4% | 7 | 163 hands facing riichi |
| Efficiency match rate | 69.8% | 70.4% (68.7% to 72.0%) | 82% | 7 | 1,544 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.27 | 1.22 (1.11 to 1.32) | 72% | 97 | 1,502 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.9% | 1.9% (1.5% to 2.4%) | 58% | 43 | 1,544 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 7.97 | 8.16 (8.02 to 8.31) | 5% | 15 | 67 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 76.9% | 73.7% (67.4% to 79.9%) | 42% | 77 | 67 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 11.1% | 12.4% (6.9% to 17.9%) | 47% | 34 | 54 wins |
| Riichi income | 1,322 | 2,416 (1,665 to 3,166) | 17% | 4 | 77 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 42.9% | 45.2% (39.3% to 51.2%) | 28% | 21 | 77 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 22.1% | 14.4% (13.2% to 15.6%) | 1% | 1 | 77 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 18.2% | 11.3% (9.5% to 13.1%) | 3% | 4 | 77 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 58.4% | 51.9% (46.1% to 57.6%) | 24% | 100 | 77 riichi |
| Riichi draw rate | 7.8% | 16.2% (11.6% to 20.8%) | 26% | 1 | 77 riichi |
| Call income | 221 | 469 (82.78 to 855) | 6% | 32 | 61 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 24.6% | 29.0% (23.7% to 34.2%) | 16% | 24 | 61 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 8.2% | 10.9% (7.1% to 14.8%) | 19% | 86 | 61 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.06 | 80 | 299 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | -0.10 | 1 | 299 hands |
| Draw luck | +0.4% | 77 | 3,552 draws |
| Ura-dora luck | +0.07 | 72 | 33 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | +10.6% | 100 | 33 riichi wins |
| Not being chased (/first riichi) | -6.8% | 18 | 53 first riichi |
| Painful dealer tsumo rate | 9.7% | 77 | 93 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +1.2 | 55 | 25 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 11.0% | +947 | +924 | +23 |
| Wins with calls | 5.0% | +238 | +381 | -144 |
| Dama wins | 2.0% | +111 | +175 | -65 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 5.0% | -302 | -361 | +59 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 6.4% | -337 | -203 | -134 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.7% | -107 | -102 | -5 |
| Others' tsumo | 31.1% | -889 | -757 | -132 |
| Other (draws etc.) | 37.8% | -112 | -59 | -53 |
| Total (per hand) | -452 |
2022-23 (27 games · skill estimate 0.5pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 63 | +1344.5 | +49.8 |
| Deal-ins | 28 | -392.1 | -14.5 |
| Others' tsumo | 97 | -616.1 | -22.8 |
| Ron between others | 72 | -108.7 | -4.0 |
| Draws | 70 | -10.6 | -0.4 |
Luck
Every number for 2022-23
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.26 | 2.48 (2.36 to 2.61) | 5% | 87 | 27 games |
| Points per game | 7.9 | 0.5 (-5.1 to 6.1) | 6% | 81 | 27 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | 9.3 | 0.8 (-4.6 to 6.1) | 8% | 94 | 27 games |
| 1st-place rate | 29.6% | 25.1% (22.0% to 28.3%) | 2% | 71 | 27 games |
| 4th-place rate | 22.2% | 24.6% (18.0% to 31.3%) | 11% | 62 | 27 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 19.1% | 19.8% (17.6% to 22.0%) | 24% | 43 | 330 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 8.5% | 10.3% (8.6% to 12.1%) | 24% | 94 | 330 hands |
| Riichi rate | 22.7% | 22.7% (20.2% to 25.3%) | 36% | 46 | 330 hands |
| Call rate | 17.0% | 17.9% (14.4% to 21.4%) | 84% | 17 | 330 hands |
| First riichi rate | 77.3% | 76.3% (71.7% to 80.8%) | 17% | 55 | 75 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.01 | 9.28 (8.91 to 9.64) | 21% | 84 | 75 riichi |
| Average win value | 7,294 | 6,742 (6,199 to 7,286) | 19% | 84 | 63 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,871 | 5,662 (5,122 to 6,203) | 8% | 33 | 28 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,555 | 1,480 (1,424 to 1,537) | 0% | 50 | 330 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 523 | 625 (517 to 732) | 14% | 84 | 330 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,032 | 859 (668 to 1,051) | 10% | 68 | 330 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 39.3% | 40.3% (33.7% to 46.9%) | 28% | 68 | 61 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 32.5% | 28.6% (23.0% to 34.2%) | 43% | 94 | 80 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 35.7% | 30.6% (23.6% to 37.6%) | 49% | 84 | 56 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.74 | 12.41 (12.13 to 12.70) | 7% | 23 | 63 wins |
| Tenpai rate at draws | 40.0% | 40.0% (34.0% to 46.0%) | 25% | 65 | 70 draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 15.2% | 14.1% (12.6% to 15.5%) | 4% | 84 | 171 hands facing riichi |
| Efficiency match rate | 69.2% | 69.8% (68.2% to 71.4%) | 84% | 4 | 1,785 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.26 | 1.21 (1.11 to 1.31) | 75% | 100 | 1,724 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 3.2% | 2.7% (2.3% to 3.2%) | 62% | 100 | 1,785 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.23 | 8.18 (8.04 to 8.32) | 6% | 62 | 76 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 65.8% | 68.8% (62.8% to 74.8%) | 45% | 17 | 76 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 25.4% | 19.6% (14.4% to 24.8%) | 51% | 97 | 63 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,397 | 2,600 (1,844 to 3,355) | 17% | 27 | 75 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 44.0% | 45.6% (39.6% to 51.6%) | 28% | 43 | 75 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 13.3% | 14.3% (13.2% to 15.5%) | 1% | 52 | 75 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 8.0% | 11.0% (9.2% to 12.7%) | 3% | 68 | 75 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 46.7% | 49.1% (43.3% to 54.9%) | 24% | 39 | 75 riichi |
| Riichi draw rate | 14.7% | 18.0% (13.3% to 22.7%) | 26% | 14 | 75 riichi |
| Call income | 813 | 503 (113 to 893) | 6% | 68 | 56 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 25.0% | 29.1% (23.7% to 34.4%) | 15% | 23 | 56 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 3.6% | 10.2% (6.2% to 14.1%) | 17% | 87 | 56 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | -0.01 | 52 | 330 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.04 | 65 | 330 hands |
| Draw luck | +0.1% | 58 | 4,112 draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.02 | 43 | 33 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | +4.5% | 71 | 33 riichi wins |
| Not being chased (/first riichi) | -2.3% | 27 | 58 first riichi |
| Painful dealer tsumo rate | 4.1% | 100 | 97 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -1.4 | 36 | 27 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 10.0% | +938 | +924 | +15 |
| Wins with calls | 4.2% | +261 | +381 | -120 |
| Dama wins | 4.8% | +355 | +175 | +180 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 3.3% | -246 | -361 | +115 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.5% | -285 | -203 | -82 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 0.6% | -10 | -102 | +92 |
| Others' tsumo | 29.4% | -771 | -757 | -14 |
| Other (draws etc.) | 43.0% | -70 | -59 | -10 |
| Total (per hand) | +173 |
2021-22 (28 games · skill estimate 0.5pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 70 | +1406.2 | +50.2 |
| Deal-ins | 33 | -439.5 | -15.7 |
| Others' tsumo | 87 | -697.4 | -24.9 |
| Ron between others | 64 | -27.8 | -1.0 |
| Draws | 75 | -20.8 | -0.7 |
Luck
Every number for 2021-22
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.39 | 2.49 (2.36 to 2.62) | 5% | 62 | 28 games |
| Points per game | 7.6 | 0.5 (-5.1 to 6.1) | 6% | 81 | 28 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | 6.2 | 0.5 (-4.8 to 5.8) | 9% | 78 | 28 games |
| 1st-place rate | 32.1% | 25.2% (22.1% to 28.3%) | 2% | 86 | 28 games |
| 4th-place rate | 25.0% | 24.9% (18.3% to 31.5%) | 11% | 47 | 28 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 21.3% | 20.3% (18.1% to 22.5%) | 23% | 74 | 329 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 10.0% | 10.7% (9.0% to 12.4%) | 24% | 65 | 329 hands |
| Riichi rate | 24.0% | 23.2% (20.7% to 25.7%) | 36% | 71 | 329 hands |
| Call rate | 17.9% | 18.7% (15.2% to 22.2%) | 84% | 30 | 329 hands |
| First riichi rate | 77.2% | 76.2% (71.8% to 80.7%) | 18% | 55 | 79 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.13 | 9.30 (8.94 to 9.66) | 22% | 81 | 79 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,994 | 6,692 (6,165 to 7,219) | 21% | 81 | 70 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 4,803 | 5,563 (5,037 to 6,089) | 10% | 100 | 33 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,701 | 1,480 (1,424 to 1,537) | 0% | 50 | 329 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 502 | 622 (515 to 729) | 14% | 90 | 329 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,199 | 876 (684 to 1,068) | 10% | 94 | 329 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 25.9% | 36.8% (30.0% to 43.7%) | 26% | 7 | 54 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 18.9% | 22.9% (17.1% to 28.6%) | 41% | 14 | 74 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 35.6% | 30.7% (23.8% to 37.5%) | 50% | 87 | 59 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.40 | 12.39 (12.11 to 12.67) | 8% | 65 | 70 wins |
| Tenpai rate at draws | 34.7% | 38.6% (32.8% to 44.4%) | 26% | 20 | 75 draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 17.9% | 14.2% (12.7% to 15.6%) | 4% | 97 | 173 hands facing riichi |
| Efficiency match rate | 73.9% | 73.8% (72.2% to 75.4%) | 84% | 90 | 1,731 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 0.96 | 0.98 (0.89 to 1.08) | 74% | 14 | 1,689 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.8% | 1.9% (1.4% to 2.3%) | 61% | 33 | 1,731 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.16 | 8.17 (8.03 to 8.32) | 6% | 36 | 75 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 71.1% | 71.2% (65.2% to 77.2%) | 45% | 46 | 75 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 17.1% | 15.5% (10.4% to 20.5%) | 54% | 68 | 70 wins |
| Riichi income | 3,924 | 2,864 (2,118 to 3,609) | 17% | 94 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 55.7% | 48.9% (43.0% to 54.8%) | 29% | 94 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 8.9% | 14.3% (13.1% to 15.4%) | 1% | 90 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 5.1% | 10.8% (9.1% to 12.6%) | 3% | 97 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 48.1% | 49.4% (43.7% to 55.1%) | 24% | 39 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi draw rate | 17.7% | 18.8% (14.2% to 23.4%) | 27% | 36 | 79 riichi |
| Call income | 324 | 475 (87.77 to 863) | 6% | 43 | 59 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 23.7% | 28.9% (23.6% to 34.2%) | 15% | 17 | 59 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 8.5% | 11.0% (7.1% to 14.9%) | 18% | 74 | 59 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.02 | 52 | 329 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.03 | 58 | 329 hands |
| Draw luck | +0.2% | 62 | 4,124 draws |
| Ura-dora luck | +0.06 | 65 | 44 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | +3.0% | 68 | 44 riichi wins |
| Not being chased (/first riichi) | +7.3% | 90 | 61 first riichi |
| Painful dealer tsumo rate | 10.3% | 65 | 87 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +1.5 | 71 | 28 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 13.4% | +1,191 | +924 | +268 |
| Wins with calls | 4.3% | +270 | +381 | -112 |
| Dama wins | 3.6% | +240 | +175 | +65 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 4.0% | -275 | -361 | +86 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.3% | -191 | -203 | +11 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.8% | -47 | -102 | +55 |
| Others' tsumo | 26.4% | -729 | -757 | +28 |
| Other (draws etc.) | 42.2% | -105 | -59 | -46 |
| Total (per hand) | +353 |
Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first
- Hinata AikoShibuya ABEMASIn common: Often noten at draws, Shape and value first, Dama often
- Matsumoto YoshihiroShibuya ABEMASIn common: Often noten at draws
- Kayamori SayakaSEGA SAMMY PhoenixIn common: Often noten at draws
* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics the data can vouch for weigh more. It shows only how close the styles are, not which is better. The differences are often slight, and the order could change.