Player · 128 career games · 2021-22–2024-25
Takaya Matsugase
Calls little and builds closed hands. Stands out for being noten at draws. Career record: -2.4pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.
Actual / game
-2.4
128 career games
Skill estimate / game
-1.2
90% interval -5.9 to +3.6
Estimate, luck removed
-0.4
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
49%
share of the estimate from the record
Styleleague percentile, career
Color only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and tile efficiency match rate, are gray. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.
Placements128 career games, average placement 2.54
- 1st21.9%28×
- 2nd28.9%37×
- 3rd22.7%29×
- 4th26.6%34×
Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls
Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).
Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand
Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.
Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates
Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)
Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 295 | +5747.2 | +44.9 |
| Deal-ins | 156 | -2264.8 | -17.7 |
| Others' tsumo | 447 | -3376.0 | -26.4 |
| Ron between others | 328 | -316.5 | -2.5 |
| Exhaustive draws | 324 | -76.5 | -0.6 |
Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 10.8% | +923 | +919 | +5 |
| Wins with calls | 5.2% | +287 | +382 | -95 |
| Dama wins | 3.1% | +211 | +173 | +38 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 4.3% | -301 | -360 | +59 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.4% | -221 | -203 | -18 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.4% | -80 | -101 | +21 |
| Others' tsumo | 28.8% | -805 | -752 | -53 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 42.1% | -90 | -60 | -30 |
| Total (per hand) | -76 |
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.54 | 2.52 (2.40 to 2.63) | 47% | 29 | 128 games |
| Points per game | -2.4 | -1.2 (-5.9 to 3.6) | 49% | 29 | 128 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -0.6 | -0.4 (-4.6 to 3.9) | 57% | 41 | 128 games |
| 1st-place rate | 21.9% | 23.5% (18.9% to 28.1%) | 50% | 19 | 128 games |
| 4th-place rate | 26.6% | 25.8% (21.1% to 30.4%) | 52% | 31 | 128 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 19.0% | 19.4% (18.0% to 20.7%) | 66% | 27 | 1,550 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 10.1% | 10.4% (9.3% to 11.4%) | 62% | 78 | 1,550 hands |
| Riichi rate | 23.2% | 23.1% (21.6% to 24.5%) | 68% | 60 | 1,550 hands |
| Call rate | 20.4% | 20.5% (18.8% to 22.2%) | 96% | 25 | 1,550 hands |
| First riichi rate | 75.0% | 75.6% (73.0% to 78.2%) | 44% | 29 | 360 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.13 | 9.20 (8.97 to 9.43) | 68% | 78 | 360 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,664 | 6,630 (6,304 to 6,957) | 54% | 54 | 295 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,490 | 5,579 (5,233 to 5,925) | 35% | 70 | 156 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,421 | 1,466 (1,385 to 1,547) | 15% | 27 | 1,550 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 577 | 614 (550 to 678) | 40% | 86 | 1,550 hands |
| Net efficiency | 845 | 839 (709 to 970) | 44% | 54 | 1,550 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 39.0% | 39.7% (35.9% to 43.5%) | 60% | 31 | 277 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 24.1% | 24.4% (21.0% to 27.8%) | 80% | 37 | 353 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 30.4% | 29.6% (25.9% to 33.3%) | 84% | 82 | 316 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.50 | 12.39 (12.26 to 12.52) | 7% | 33 | 295 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 35.8% | 37.3% (33.7% to 40.9%) | 64% | 11 | 324 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 13.2% | 13.8% (12.5% to 15.1%) | 29% | 29 | 821 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 71.3% | 71.3% (70.5% to 72.1%) | 96% | 23 | 8,202 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.17 | 1.16 (1.11 to 1.21) | 93% | 80 | 7,965 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.3% | 2.3% (2.0% to 2.5%) | 90% | 78 | 8,202 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.16 | 8.17 (8.07 to 8.26) | 17% | 56 | 342 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 71.3% | 71.4% (67.9% to 74.8%) | 75% | 41 | 342 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 16.3% | 15.8% (12.8% to 18.7%) | 83% | 80 | 295 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,209 | 2,419 (1,970 to 2,868) | 49% | 15 | 360 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 46.4% | 46.3% (42.7% to 49.8%) | 67% | 60 | 360 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 15.3% | 14.4% (12.9% to 16.0%) | 12% | 27 | 360 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 10.8% | 11.0% (9.3% to 12.7%) | 28% | 58 | 360 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 48.1% | 48.8% (45.6% to 52.1%) | 55% | 33 | 360 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 14.4% | 16.4% (13.7% to 19.1%) | 60% | 5 | 360 riichi |
| Call income | 399 | 456 (170 to 743) | 35% | 35 | 316 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 25.3% | 27.3% (24.1% to 30.5%) | 55% | 7 | 316 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 8.5% | 9.9% (7.6% to 12.1%) | 55% | 98 | 316 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.01 | 74 | 1,550 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | -0.00 | 41 | 1,550 hands |
| Draw luck | -0.2% | 23 | 19,146 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.00 | 37 | 167 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | +0.6% | 68 | 167 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | +1.3% | 76 | 270 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 9.2% | 100 | 447 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -1.8 | 23 | 128 games |
By seasonRegular Season
2024-25 (25 games · skill estimate -2.0pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 60 | +1074.7 | +43.0 |
| Deal-ins | 34 | -563.4 | -22.5 |
| Others' tsumo | 86 | -741.4 | -29.7 |
| Ron between others | 70 | -53.6 | -2.1 |
| Exhaustive draws | 63 | -41.5 | -1.7 |
Luck
Every number for 2024-25
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.84 | 2.55 (2.35 to 2.74) | 15% | 15 | 25 games |
| Points per game | -13.0 | -2.0 (-10.1 to 6.0) | 16% | 12 | 25 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -7.8 | -1.6 (-9.0 to 5.8) | 20% | 21 | 25 games |
| 1st-place rate | 12.0% | 22.9% (15.1% to 30.8%) | 16% | 7 | 25 games |
| 4th-place rate | 36.0% | 26.8% (18.8% to 34.8%) | 17% | 15 | 25 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 19.2% | 19.7% (17.4% to 22.1%) | 28% | 32 | 313 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 10.9% | 10.9% (9.1% to 12.7%) | 25% | 60 | 313 hands |
| Riichi rate | 23.3% | 22.9% (20.4% to 25.4%) | 30% | 58 | 313 hands |
| Call rate | 24.3% | 24.1% (20.5% to 27.6%) | 83% | 46 | 313 hands |
| First riichi rate | 75.3% | 75.9% (71.6% to 80.2%) | 14% | 52 | 73 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.19 | 9.29 (8.89 to 9.69) | 30% | 63 | 73 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,263 | 6,527 (5,967 to 7,086) | 20% | 49 | 60 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 6,103 | 5,675 (5,142 to 6,208) | 10% | 12 | 34 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,332 | 1,469 (1,366 to 1,573) | 4% | 29 | 313 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 688 | 645 (540 to 749) | 12% | 29 | 313 hands |
| Net efficiency | 644 | 809 (593 to 1,026) | 14% | 29 | 313 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 56.4% | 44.4% (37.8% to 51.1%) | 23% | 99 | 55 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 24.2% | 25.0% (18.9% to 31.1%) | 42% | 35 | 66 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 25.0% | 25.3% (19.0% to 31.5%) | 55% | 55 | 76 first calls |
| Average win turn | 13.20 | 12.39 (12.24 to 12.54) | 1% | 4 | 60 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 34.9% | 38.7% (32.4% to 45.0%) | 26% | 7 | 63 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 11.6% | 13.9% (12.0% to 15.8%) | 7% | 21 | 164 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 73.0% | 73.0% (71.3% to 74.6%) | 83% | 21 | 1,647 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.13 | 1.11 (1.01 to 1.21) | 73% | 86 | 1,593 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.9% | 1.9% (1.5% to 2.4%) | 63% | 32 | 1,647 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.28 | 8.17 (8.04 to 8.30) | 4% | 83 | 71 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 69.5% | 70.8% (64.9% to 76.8%) | 39% | 35 | 71 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 11.7% | 12.5% (7.3% to 17.8%) | 49% | 63 | 60 wins |
| Riichi income | 1,930 | 2,509 (1,749 to 3,269) | 16% | 26 | 73 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 49.3% | 47.0% (40.8% to 53.1%) | 29% | 69 | 73 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 19.2% | 14.5% (12.6% to 16.3%) | 3% | 21 | 73 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 16.4% | 11.4% (8.9% to 14.0%) | 7% | 12 | 73 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 38.4% | 47.5% (41.9% to 53.1%) | 20% | 4 | 73 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 11.0% | 17.3% (12.7% to 21.9%) | 23% | 1 | 73 riichi |
| Call income | -254 | 403 (-30.21 to 836) | 11% | 9 | 76 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 22.4% | 28.1% (22.9% to 33.3%) | 23% | 7 | 76 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 11.8% | 11.6% (7.9% to 15.2%) | 23% | 49 | 76 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | -0.04 | 32 | 313 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.04 | 94 | 313 hands |
| Draw luck | -0.7% | 18 | 3,849 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.10 | 18 | 36 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -5.9% | 18 | 36 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | +3.5% | 80 | 55 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 10.5% | 73 | 86 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -5.2 | 9 | 25 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 11.5% | +971 | +919 | +52 |
| Wins with calls | 5.4% | +218 | +382 | -164 |
| Dama wins | 2.2% | +142 | +173 | -30 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 4.8% | -393 | -360 | -33 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.8% | -186 | -203 | +17 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.3% | -148 | -101 | -47 |
| Others' tsumo | 27.5% | -795 | -752 | -43 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 42.5% | -101 | -60 | -41 |
| Total (per hand) | -290 |
2023-24 (25 games · skill estimate -1.7pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 54 | +1038.2 | +41.5 |
| Deal-ins | 39 | -496.3 | -19.9 |
| Others' tsumo | 93 | -694.4 | -27.8 |
| Ron between others | 67 | -64.7 | -2.6 |
| Exhaustive draws | 46 | -45.5 | -1.8 |
Luck
Every number for 2023-24
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.68 | 2.52 (2.33 to 2.72) | 15% | 14 | 25 games |
| Points per game | -11.1 | -1.7 (-9.8 to 6.3) | 16% | 4 | 25 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -12.3 | -2.5 (-9.9 to 4.9) | 20% | 4 | 25 games |
| 1st-place rate | 16.0% | 23.6% (15.7% to 31.5%) | 16% | 21 | 25 games |
| 4th-place rate | 32.0% | 26.1% (18.1% to 34.1%) | 17% | 18 | 25 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 18.1% | 19.5% (17.1% to 21.9%) | 27% | 12 | 299 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 13.0% | 11.4% (9.6% to 13.3%) | 24% | 26 | 299 hands |
| Riichi rate | 25.8% | 23.6% (21.1% to 26.2%) | 29% | 80 | 299 hands |
| Call rate | 20.4% | 20.9% (17.2% to 24.5%) | 82% | 26 | 299 hands |
| First riichi rate | 68.8% | 75.0% (70.7% to 79.2%) | 15% | 9 | 77 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 8.96 | 9.22 (8.83 to 9.61) | 31% | 86 | 77 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,517 | 6,577 (6,002 to 7,152) | 18% | 49 | 54 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,100 | 5,564 (5,045 to 6,083) | 12% | 94 | 39 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,295 | 1,468 (1,364 to 1,572) | 3% | 7 | 299 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 699 | 646 (540 to 751) | 12% | 41 | 299 hands |
| Net efficiency | 596 | 804 (585 to 1,023) | 13% | 15 | 299 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 46.7% | 42.3% (35.8% to 48.7%) | 25% | 80 | 60 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 25.0% | 25.3% (19.1% to 31.5%) | 41% | 38 | 64 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 26.2% | 25.9% (19.2% to 32.6%) | 50% | 60 | 61 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.03 | 12.37 (12.23 to 12.52) | 1% | 66 | 54 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 26.1% | 37.2% (30.2% to 44.2%) | 20% | 4 | 46 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 10.4% | 13.8% (11.9% to 15.7%) | 7% | 7 | 163 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 69.8% | 70.4% (68.7% to 72.1%) | 82% | 7 | 1,544 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.27 | 1.21 (1.11 to 1.32) | 72% | 97 | 1,502 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.9% | 1.9% (1.5% to 2.4%) | 62% | 43 | 1,544 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 7.96 | 8.16 (8.03 to 8.29) | 4% | 15 | 67 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 77.2% | 73.7% (67.7% to 79.8%) | 38% | 77 | 67 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 11.1% | 12.3% (6.9% to 17.7%) | 47% | 34 | 54 wins |
| Riichi income | 1,322 | 2,400 (1,650 to 3,149) | 17% | 4 | 77 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 42.9% | 45.0% (39.0% to 51.1%) | 31% | 21 | 77 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 22.1% | 14.5% (12.7% to 16.4%) | 3% | 1 | 77 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 18.2% | 11.6% (9.1% to 14.1%) | 8% | 4 | 77 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 59.7% | 51.8% (46.3% to 57.3%) | 20% | 100 | 77 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 7.8% | 16.5% (11.9% to 21.0%) | 24% | 1 | 77 riichi |
| Call income | 221 | 462 (11.53 to 912) | 9% | 35 | 61 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 24.6% | 28.8% (23.2% to 34.4%) | 19% | 26 | 61 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 8.2% | 10.9% (7.0% to 14.8%) | 19% | 86 | 61 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.06 | 80 | 299 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | -0.10 | 1 | 299 hands |
| Draw luck | +0.4% | 77 | 3,552 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | +0.07 | 72 | 33 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | +10.6% | 100 | 33 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | -6.7% | 18 | 53 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 9.7% | 77 | 93 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +1.1 | 55 | 25 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 11.0% | +947 | +919 | +28 |
| Wins with calls | 5.0% | +238 | +382 | -144 |
| Dama wins | 2.0% | +111 | +173 | -62 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 5.0% | -302 | -360 | +58 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 6.4% | -337 | -203 | -134 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.7% | -107 | -101 | -6 |
| Others' tsumo | 31.1% | -889 | -752 | -137 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 37.8% | -112 | -60 | -52 |
| Total (per hand) | -452 |
2022-23 (27 games · skill estimate 1.3pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 63 | +1341.3 | +49.7 |
| Deal-ins | 28 | -402.1 | -14.9 |
| Others' tsumo | 97 | -615.9 | -22.8 |
| Ron between others | 72 | -102.5 | -3.8 |
| Exhaustive draws | 70 | -8.0 | -0.3 |
Luck
Every number for 2022-23
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.26 | 2.46 (2.27 to 2.65) | 16% | 87 | 27 games |
| Points per game | 7.9 | 1.3 (-6.6 to 9.2) | 17% | 81 | 27 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | 9.3 | 2.0 (-5.2 to 9.2) | 22% | 94 | 27 games |
| 1st-place rate | 29.6% | 25.9% (18.1% to 33.6%) | 17% | 71 | 27 games |
| 4th-place rate | 22.2% | 24.4% (16.6% to 32.2%) | 18% | 62 | 27 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 19.1% | 19.7% (17.4% to 22.0%) | 29% | 43 | 330 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 8.5% | 10.3% (8.5% to 12.0%) | 26% | 94 | 330 hands |
| Riichi rate | 22.7% | 22.7% (20.3% to 25.2%) | 31% | 46 | 330 hands |
| Call rate | 17.0% | 18.0% (14.5% to 21.4%) | 83% | 17 | 330 hands |
| First riichi rate | 77.3% | 76.2% (71.9% to 80.5%) | 14% | 55 | 75 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.01 | 9.24 (8.84 to 9.63) | 31% | 84 | 75 riichi |
| Average win value | 7,294 | 6,733 (6,182 to 7,284) | 20% | 84 | 63 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,871 | 5,647 (5,096 to 6,198) | 9% | 33 | 28 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,555 | 1,477 (1,374 to 1,580) | 4% | 58 | 330 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 523 | 624 (521 to 728) | 13% | 84 | 330 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,032 | 863 (649 to 1,077) | 14% | 68 | 330 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 39.3% | 40.5% (34.1% to 46.9%) | 25% | 68 | 61 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 32.5% | 28.8% (23.1% to 34.5%) | 47% | 94 | 80 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 35.7% | 30.4% (23.5% to 37.3%) | 48% | 84 | 56 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.74 | 12.38 (12.24 to 12.53) | 2% | 23 | 63 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 40.0% | 40.0% (33.9% to 46.1%) | 28% | 65 | 70 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 15.2% | 14.2% (12.3% to 16.0%) | 8% | 84 | 171 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 69.2% | 69.8% (68.2% to 71.4%) | 84% | 4 | 1,785 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.26 | 1.21 (1.11 to 1.31) | 74% | 100 | 1,724 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 3.2% | 2.8% (2.3% to 3.2%) | 65% | 100 | 1,785 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.22 | 8.17 (8.04 to 8.30) | 4% | 62 | 76 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 66.1% | 69.4% (63.6% to 75.2%) | 41% | 17 | 76 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 25.4% | 19.4% (14.3% to 24.6%) | 50% | 97 | 63 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,397 | 2,585 (1,830 to 3,340) | 17% | 27 | 75 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 44.0% | 45.4% (39.3% to 51.5%) | 30% | 43 | 75 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 13.3% | 14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%) | 3% | 52 | 75 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 8.0% | 10.8% (8.3% to 13.3%) | 8% | 68 | 75 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 46.7% | 49.1% (43.6% to 54.7%) | 20% | 39 | 75 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 14.7% | 18.2% (13.6% to 22.7%) | 24% | 14 | 75 riichi |
| Call income | 813 | 515 (57.78 to 971) | 9% | 68 | 56 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 25.0% | 28.9% (23.2% to 34.7%) | 18% | 23 | 56 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 3.6% | 10.1% (6.1% to 14.1%) | 18% | 87 | 56 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | -0.01 | 52 | 330 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.04 | 65 | 330 hands |
| Draw luck | +0.1% | 58 | 4,112 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.02 | 43 | 33 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | +4.5% | 71 | 33 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | -2.2% | 30 | 58 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 4.1% | 100 | 97 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -1.4 | 36 | 27 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 10.0% | +938 | +919 | +19 |
| Wins with calls | 4.2% | +261 | +382 | -121 |
| Dama wins | 4.8% | +355 | +173 | +183 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 3.3% | -246 | -360 | +114 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.5% | -285 | -203 | -82 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 0.6% | -10 | -101 | +91 |
| Others' tsumo | 29.4% | -771 | -752 | -18 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 43.0% | -70 | -60 | -10 |
| Total (per hand) | +173 |
2021-22 (28 games · skill estimate 1.3pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 70 | +1390.7 | +49.7 |
| Deal-ins | 33 | -437.2 | -15.6 |
| Others' tsumo | 87 | -696.3 | -24.9 |
| Ron between others | 64 | -39.0 | -1.4 |
| Exhaustive draws | 75 | -0.1 | 0.0 |
Luck
Every number for 2021-22
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.39 | 2.48 (2.29 to 2.67) | 16% | 62 | 28 games |
| Points per game | 7.6 | 1.3 (-6.5 to 9.1) | 17% | 81 | 28 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | 6.2 | 1.4 (-5.8 to 8.5) | 22% | 78 | 28 games |
| 1st-place rate | 32.1% | 26.3% (18.7% to 34.0%) | 18% | 86 | 28 games |
| 4th-place rate | 25.0% | 24.9% (17.2% to 32.7%) | 19% | 47 | 28 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 21.3% | 20.4% (18.0% to 22.7%) | 29% | 74 | 329 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 10.0% | 10.7% (8.9% to 12.5%) | 26% | 65 | 329 hands |
| Riichi rate | 24.0% | 23.1% (20.7% to 25.6%) | 31% | 71 | 329 hands |
| Call rate | 17.9% | 18.8% (15.3% to 22.3%) | 83% | 30 | 329 hands |
| First riichi rate | 77.2% | 76.2% (71.9% to 80.4%) | 15% | 55 | 79 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.13 | 9.27 (8.88 to 9.66) | 32% | 84 | 79 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,994 | 6,679 (6,145 to 7,214) | 22% | 81 | 70 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 4,803 | 5,543 (5,007 to 6,078) | 10% | 100 | 33 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,701 | 1,482 (1,379 to 1,586) | 4% | 90 | 329 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 502 | 622 (518 to 725) | 13% | 90 | 329 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,199 | 887 (673 to 1,101) | 14% | 94 | 329 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 25.9% | 37.4% (30.8% to 44.1%) | 23% | 7 | 54 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 18.9% | 22.6% (16.7% to 28.5%) | 45% | 14 | 74 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 35.6% | 30.5% (23.7% to 37.3%) | 49% | 87 | 59 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.40 | 12.38 (12.23 to 12.53) | 2% | 65 | 70 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 34.7% | 38.4% (32.5% to 44.4%) | 29% | 20 | 75 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 17.9% | 14.4% (12.5% to 16.2%) | 8% | 97 | 173 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 73.9% | 73.8% (72.2% to 75.4%) | 84% | 90 | 1,731 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 0.96 | 0.98 (0.89 to 1.08) | 74% | 14 | 1,689 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.8% | 1.9% (1.4% to 2.3%) | 64% | 33 | 1,731 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.15 | 8.17 (8.04 to 8.29) | 4% | 36 | 75 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 71.4% | 71.5% (65.7% to 77.4%) | 40% | 46 | 75 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 17.1% | 15.4% (10.4% to 20.4%) | 53% | 68 | 70 wins |
| Riichi income | 3,924 | 2,851 (2,106 to 3,596) | 18% | 94 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 55.7% | 49.0% (43.0% to 55.0%) | 31% | 94 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 8.9% | 14.2% (12.3% to 16.0%) | 3% | 90 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 5.1% | 10.6% (8.1% to 13.1%) | 8% | 97 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 48.1% | 49.4% (43.9% to 54.9%) | 21% | 39 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 17.7% | 18.9% (14.4% to 23.4%) | 25% | 36 | 79 riichi |
| Call income | 324 | 472 (18.93 to 925) | 9% | 43 | 59 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 23.7% | 28.7% (23.0% to 34.3%) | 19% | 17 | 59 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 8.5% | 10.9% (7.0% to 14.9%) | 19% | 74 | 59 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.02 | 52 | 329 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.03 | 62 | 329 hands |
| Draw luck | +0.2% | 62 | 4,124 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | +0.06 | 65 | 44 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | +3.0% | 68 | 44 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | +7.3% | 90 | 61 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 10.3% | 65 | 87 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +1.5 | 71 | 28 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 13.4% | +1,191 | +919 | +272 |
| Wins with calls | 4.3% | +270 | +382 | -113 |
| Dama wins | 3.6% | +240 | +173 | +67 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 4.0% | -275 | -360 | +85 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.3% | -191 | -203 | +12 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.8% | -47 | -101 | +53 |
| Others' tsumo | 26.4% | -729 | -752 | +24 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 42.2% | -105 | -60 | -45 |
| Total (per hand) | +353 |
Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first
- Yoshihiro MatsumotoShibuya ABEMASIn common: Often noten at exhaustive draws
- Aiko HinataShibuya ABEMASIn common: Often noten at exhaustive draws, Shape and value first, Dama-heavy
- Aki NikaidoEX FurinkazanIn common: Few deal-ins, Early riichi, Dama-heavy
* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics supported more strongly by the data receive more weight. The comparison shows how similar the players' styles are, not which is better. Differences are often small, so the order may change.