Player · 59 career games · 2024-25–2025-26
Asai Takaki
Calls and riichi close to the league average. Career record: -5.6pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.
Actual / game
-5.6
59 career games
Skill estimate / game
-0.7
90% interval -5.6 to +4.2
Estimate, luck removed
-0.3
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
13%
share of the estimate from the record
Styleleague percentile, career
Colour only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and efficiency match rate, are grey. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.
Placements59 career games, average placement 2.66
- 1st22.0%13×
- 2nd22.0%13×
- 3rd23.7%14×
- 4th32.2%19×
Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls
Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).
Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand
Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.
Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates
Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)
Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 142 | +2700.8 | +45.8 |
| Deal-ins | 68 | -1206.7 | -20.5 |
| Others' tsumo | 225 | -1719.1 | -29.1 |
| Ron between others | 164 | -78.7 | -1.3 |
| Draws | 118 | -33.0 | -0.6 |
Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 12.0% | +1,063 | +924 | +139 |
| Wins with calls | 5.7% | +272 | +381 | -110 |
| Dama wins | 2.1% | +124 | +175 | -51 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 3.6% | -293 | -361 | +68 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 5.0% | -316 | -203 | -113 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 0.8% | -57 | -102 | +45 |
| Others' tsumo | 31.4% | -855 | -757 | -98 |
| Other (draws etc.) | 39.3% | -88 | -59 | -29 |
| Total (per hand) | -150 |
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.66 | 2.52 (2.40 to 2.63) | 11% | 20 | 59 games |
| Points per game | -5.6 | -0.7 (-5.6 to 4.2) | 13% | 22 | 59 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -2.0 | -0.3 (-4.9 to 4.2) | 17% | 36 | 59 games |
| 1st-place rate | 22.0% | 25.0% (22.0% to 27.9%) | 4% | 34 | 59 games |
| 4th-place rate | 32.2% | 26.5% (20.9% to 32.0%) | 21% | 17 | 59 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 19.8% | 19.9% (18.2% to 21.6%) | 40% | 53 | 717 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 9.5% | 10.3% (9.0% to 11.7%) | 41% | 86 | 717 hands |
| Riichi rate | 23.4% | 23.1% (21.2% to 25.1%) | 55% | 63 | 717 hands |
| Call rate | 25.0% | 24.8% (22.3% to 27.3%) | 92% | 63 | 717 hands |
| First riichi rate | 71.4% | 74.6% (71.1% to 78.1%) | 31% | 9 | 168 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.21 | 9.30 (9.02 to 9.57) | 37% | 61 | 168 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,517 | 6,580 (6,165 to 6,994) | 35% | 42 | 142 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 6,596 | 5,814 (5,364 to 6,265) | 18% | 7 | 68 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,458 | 1,480 (1,426 to 1,534) | 0% | 50 | 717 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 641 | 641 (555 to 727) | 26% | 48 | 717 hands |
| Net efficiency | 817 | 835 (675 to 995) | 20% | 46 | 717 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 37.5% | 39.2% (34.2% to 44.3%) | 45% | 26 | 128 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 29.3% | 27.8% (23.2% to 32.4%) | 59% | 71 | 150 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 27.9% | 27.4% (22.7% to 32.1%) | 75% | 59 | 179 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.78 | 12.44 (12.20 to 12.69) | 15% | 20 | 142 wins |
| Tenpai rate at draws | 37.3% | 39.0% (34.1% to 44.0%) | 36% | 32 | 118 draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 14.0% | 14.0% (12.7% to 15.3%) | 10% | 61 | 406 hands facing riichi |
| Efficiency match rate | 73.0% | 73.0% (71.8% to 74.1%) | 92% | 55 | 3,658 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.05 | 1.05 (0.98 to 1.13) | 86% | 46 | 3,511 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.6% | 1.7% (1.4% to 2.0%) | 77% | 11 | 3,658 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.00 | 8.16 (8.03 to 8.28) | 11% | 24 | 155 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 73.2% | 72.5% (67.7% to 77.2%) | 62% | 67 | 155 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 10.6% | 11.4% (7.5% to 15.4%) | 70% | 36 | 142 wins |
| Riichi income | 3,107 | 2,785 (2,198 to 3,372) | 31% | 79 | 168 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 51.2% | 48.5% (44.0% to 53.0%) | 46% | 92 | 168 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 13.7% | 14.3% (13.2% to 15.4%) | 2% | 55 | 168 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 10.7% | 11.0% (9.4% to 12.7%) | 7% | 59 | 168 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 53.0% | 51.1% (46.7% to 55.5%) | 41% | 71 | 168 riichi |
| Riichi draw rate | 14.3% | 17.0% (13.5% to 20.5%) | 44% | 20 | 168 riichi |
| Call income | -436 | 337 (18.98 to 655) | 16% | 1 | 179 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 22.9% | 27.4% (23.6% to 31.1%) | 35% | 3 | 179 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 11.7% | 11.6% (8.9% to 14.3%) | 40% | 46 | 179 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | -0.00 | 40 | 717 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | -0.00 | 48 | 717 hands |
| Draw luck | -0.2% | 26 | 8,582 draws |
| Ura-dora luck | +0.00 | 36 | 86 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -4.6% | 5 | 86 riichi wins |
| Not being chased (/first riichi) | -3.9% | 7 | 120 first riichi |
| Painful dealer tsumo rate | 12.4% | 40 | 225 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -3.6 | 5 | 59 games |
By seasonRegular Season
2025-26 (25 games · skill estimate -0.2pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 59 | +1232.1 | +49.3 |
| Deal-ins | 27 | -431.0 | -17.2 |
| Others' tsumo | 103 | -839.6 | -33.6 |
| Ron between others | 72 | -32.1 | -1.3 |
| Draws | 42 | -14.0 | -0.6 |
Luck
Every number for 2025-26
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.64 | 2.50 (2.37 to 2.63) | 5% | 34 | 25 games |
| Points per game | -3.3 | -0.2 (-5.8 to 5.5) | 6% | 44 | 25 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | 1.9 | 0.1 (-5.3 to 5.5) | 8% | 59 | 25 games |
| 1st-place rate | 24.0% | 25.0% (21.9% to 28.2%) | 2% | 48 | 25 games |
| 4th-place rate | 32.0% | 25.6% (18.9% to 32.4%) | 10% | 21 | 25 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 19.5% | 19.9% (17.6% to 22.2%) | 22% | 31 | 303 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 8.9% | 10.5% (8.7% to 12.2%) | 22% | 87 | 303 hands |
| Riichi rate | 22.8% | 22.8% (20.1% to 25.4%) | 34% | 47 | 303 hands |
| Call rate | 26.7% | 26.1% (22.4% to 29.7%) | 83% | 67 | 303 hands |
| First riichi rate | 71.0% | 75.2% (70.6% to 79.9%) | 16% | 19 | 69 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.77 | 9.43 (9.06 to 9.80) | 20% | 11 | 69 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,937 | 6,671 (6,118 to 7,225) | 18% | 75 | 59 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,144 | 5,604 (5,060 to 6,147) | 8% | 64 | 27 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,513 | 1,480 (1,424 to 1,537) | 0% | 50 | 303 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 471 | 619 (510 to 728) | 13% | 80 | 303 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,042 | 859 (664 to 1,053) | 9% | 70 | 303 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 35.6% | 39.5% (32.2% to 46.8%) | 23% | 24 | 45 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 31.3% | 27.7% (21.7% to 33.8%) | 38% | 72 | 64 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 28.4% | 27.3% (21.1% to 33.5%) | 58% | 80 | 81 first calls |
| Average win turn | 13.61 | 12.47 (12.18 to 12.76) | 7% | 1 | 59 wins |
| Tenpai rate at draws | 40.5% | 40.1% (33.2% to 47.0%) | 17% | 47 | 42 draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 14.6% | 14.0% (12.6% to 15.5%) | 4% | 59 | 171 hands facing riichi |
| Efficiency match rate | 73.2% | 73.1% (71.4% to 74.8%) | 81% | 34 | 1,493 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 0.99 | 1.01 (0.91 to 1.12) | 71% | 59 | 1,426 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.1% | 1.5% (1.1% to 2.0%) | 58% | 11 | 1,493 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.04 | 8.17 (8.02 to 8.32) | 5% | 47 | 61 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 69.3% | 70.5% (64.0% to 77.0%) | 40% | 37 | 61 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 8.5% | 11.0% (5.7% to 16.4%) | 50% | 45 | 59 wins |
| Riichi income | 3,639 | 2,796 (2,024 to 3,567) | 16% | 80 | 69 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 50.7% | 47.4% (41.2% to 53.5%) | 26% | 67 | 69 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 14.5% | 14.3% (13.2% to 15.5%) | 1% | 59 | 69 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 11.6% | 11.1% (9.3% to 12.9%) | 3% | 39 | 69 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 58.0% | 51.6% (45.7% to 57.6%) | 22% | 85 | 69 riichi |
| Riichi draw rate | 14.5% | 18.0% (13.2% to 22.8%) | 24% | 29 | 69 riichi |
| Call income | -511 | 405 (34.38 to 777) | 8% | 6 | 81 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 23.5% | 28.5% (23.7% to 33.4%) | 20% | 14 | 81 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 11.1% | 11.5% (7.9% to 15.0%) | 23% | 59 | 81 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | -0.00 | 44 | 303 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.01 | 67 | 303 hands |
| Draw luck | -0.8% | 6 | 3,584 draws |
| Ura-dora luck | +0.11 | 75 | 35 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -8.3% | 9 | 35 riichi wins |
| Not being chased (/first riichi) | -1.2% | 47 | 49 first riichi |
| Painful dealer tsumo rate | 13.6% | 29 | 103 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -5.1 | 14 | 25 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 11.6% | +1,092 | +924 | +168 |
| Wins with calls | 6.3% | +318 | +381 | -63 |
| Dama wins | 1.7% | +103 | +175 | -72 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 2.6% | -237 | -361 | +124 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 5.3% | -184 | -203 | +18 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.0% | -76 | -102 | +26 |
| Others' tsumo | 34.0% | -965 | -757 | -208 |
| Other (draws etc.) | 37.6% | -73 | -59 | -13 |
| Total (per hand) | -22 |
2024-25 (23 games · skill estimate -0.5pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 55 | +963.8 | +41.9 |
| Deal-ins | 30 | -582.9 | -25.3 |
| Others' tsumo | 76 | -533.7 | -23.2 |
| Ron between others | 68 | -43.2 | -1.9 |
| Draws | 53 | -21.5 | -0.9 |
Luck
Every number for 2024-25
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.74 | 2.51 (2.38 to 2.64) | 4% | 26 | 23 games |
| Points per game | -9.4 | -0.5 (-6.2 to 5.2) | 5% | 29 | 23 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -9.5 | -0.7 (-6.1 to 4.8) | 7% | 18 | 23 games |
| 1st-place rate | 21.7% | 25.0% (21.9% to 28.2%) | 1% | 38 | 23 games |
| 4th-place rate | 39.1% | 26.3% (19.4% to 33.1%) | 9% | 9 | 23 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 19.5% | 19.9% (17.6% to 22.2%) | 21% | 35 | 282 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 10.6% | 10.9% (9.0% to 12.7%) | 21% | 66 | 282 hands |
| Riichi rate | 26.2% | 23.9% (21.2% to 26.6%) | 32% | 89 | 282 hands |
| Call rate | 22.3% | 22.4% (18.7% to 26.1%) | 82% | 29 | 282 hands |
| First riichi rate | 71.6% | 75.3% (70.7% to 79.8%) | 17% | 24 | 74 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 8.84 | 9.24 (8.88 to 9.61) | 21% | 83 | 74 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,355 | 6,569 (6,006 to 7,132) | 17% | 58 | 55 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 8,017 | 5,852 (5,317 to 6,387) | 9% | 1 | 30 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,405 | 1,480 (1,424 to 1,537) | 0% | 50 | 282 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 869 | 668 (558 to 779) | 12% | 7 | 282 hands |
| Net efficiency | 536 | 813 (616 to 1,009) | 9% | 24 | 282 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 32.1% | 38.4% (31.6% to 45.2%) | 27% | 12 | 56 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 25.9% | 25.7% (19.4% to 32.0%) | 35% | 49 | 58 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 25.4% | 25.6% (18.8% to 32.3%) | 52% | 58 | 63 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.00 | 12.36 (12.07 to 12.65) | 6% | 77 | 55 wins |
| Tenpai rate at draws | 35.8% | 39.2% (32.7% to 45.7%) | 20% | 12 | 53 draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 11.5% | 13.9% (12.4% to 15.4%) | 4% | 18 | 157 hands facing riichi |
| Efficiency match rate | 73.2% | 73.1% (71.4% to 74.8%) | 81% | 24 | 1,489 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.08 | 1.08 (0.97 to 1.18) | 71% | 75 | 1,439 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.1% | 2.1% (1.6% to 2.5%) | 58% | 46 | 1,489 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 7.90 | 8.16 (8.02 to 8.31) | 5% | 15 | 67 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 79.5% | 74.8% (68.5% to 81.0%) | 42% | 92 | 67 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 7.3% | 10.5% (5.1% to 16.0%) | 48% | 29 | 55 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,750 | 2,658 (1,900 to 3,417) | 16% | 63 | 74 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 51.4% | 47.6% (41.6% to 53.6%) | 28% | 80 | 74 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 13.5% | 14.3% (13.2% to 15.5%) | 1% | 60 | 74 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 9.5% | 11.0% (9.2% to 12.8%) | 3% | 66 | 74 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 45.9% | 48.9% (43.1% to 54.7%) | 23% | 32 | 74 riichi |
| Riichi draw rate | 14.9% | 18.1% (13.4% to 22.8%) | 26% | 35 | 74 riichi |
| Call income | -889 | 398 (13.77 to 782) | 6% | 1 | 63 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 20.6% | 28.3% (23.1% to 33.5%) | 16% | 2 | 63 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 15.9% | 12.4% (8.5% to 16.2%) | 19% | 21 | 63 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.01 | 66 | 282 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | -0.01 | 49 | 282 hands |
| Draw luck | +0.2% | 63 | 3,395 draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.03 | 49 | 38 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | +1.3% | 77 | 38 riichi wins |
| Not being chased (/first riichi) | -4.9% | 26 | 53 first riichi |
| Painful dealer tsumo rate | 13.2% | 35 | 76 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +0.1 | 58 | 23 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 13.5% | +1,177 | +924 | +254 |
| Wins with calls | 4.6% | +161 | +381 | -220 |
| Dama wins | 1.4% | +67 | +175 | -109 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 6.0% | -445 | -361 | -84 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.3% | -424 | -203 | -222 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 0.4% | -24 | -102 | +78 |
| Others' tsumo | 27.0% | -723 | -757 | +33 |
| Other (draws etc.) | 42.9% | -108 | -59 | -49 |
| Total (per hand) | -320 |
Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first
- Date ArisaKONAMI Mahjong Fight ClubIn common: Few deal-ins
- Uchikawa KotaroEX FurinkazanIn common: Chasing riichi often
- Matsumoto YoshihiroShibuya ABEMAS
* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics the data can vouch for weigh more. It shows only how close the styles are, not which is better. The differences are often slight, and the order could change.