Player · 59 career games · 2024-25–2025-26
Takaki Asai
Too little data yet to pin down the style. Career record: -5.6pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.
Actual / game
-5.6
59 career games
Skill estimate / game
-1.7
90% interval -7.9 to +4.5
Estimate, luck removed
-0.8
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
30%
share of the estimate from the record
Styleleague percentile, career
Color only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and tile efficiency match rate, are gray. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.
Placements59 career games, average placement 2.66
- 1st22.0%13×
- 2nd22.0%13×
- 3rd23.7%14×
- 4th32.2%19×
Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls
Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).
Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand
Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.
Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates
Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)
Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 142 | +2705.9 | +45.9 |
| Deal-ins | 68 | -1221.5 | -20.7 |
| Others' tsumo | 225 | -1708.6 | -29.0 |
| Ron between others | 164 | -72.1 | -1.2 |
| Exhaustive draws | 118 | -34.7 | -0.6 |
Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 12.0% | +1,063 | +919 | +144 |
| Wins with calls | 5.7% | +272 | +382 | -111 |
| Dama wins | 2.1% | +124 | +173 | -49 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 3.6% | -293 | -360 | +67 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 5.0% | -316 | -203 | -113 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 0.8% | -57 | -101 | +44 |
| Others' tsumo | 31.4% | -855 | -752 | -102 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 39.3% | -88 | -60 | -28 |
| Total (per hand) | -150 |
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.66 | 2.54 (2.39 to 2.70) | 29% | 11 | 59 games |
| Points per game | -5.6 | -1.7 (-7.9 to 4.5) | 30% | 15 | 59 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -2.0 | -0.8 (-6.3 to 4.8) | 37% | 35 | 59 games |
| 1st-place rate | 22.0% | 24.1% (18.1% to 30.1%) | 32% | 27 | 59 games |
| 4th-place rate | 32.2% | 27.3% (21.2% to 33.4%) | 33% | 9 | 59 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 19.8% | 19.9% (18.1% to 21.7%) | 47% | 49 | 717 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 9.5% | 10.3% (9.0% to 11.6%) | 43% | 88 | 717 hands |
| Riichi rate | 23.4% | 23.1% (21.2% to 25.0%) | 49% | 64 | 717 hands |
| Call rate | 25.0% | 24.8% (22.3% to 27.3%) | 92% | 64 | 717 hands |
| First riichi rate | 71.4% | 74.8% (71.3% to 78.2%) | 27% | 11 | 168 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.21 | 9.28 (8.98 to 9.58) | 50% | 62 | 168 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,517 | 6,564 (6,146 to 6,982) | 36% | 43 | 142 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 6,596 | 5,808 (5,352 to 6,264) | 19% | 7 | 68 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,458 | 1,473 (1,379 to 1,567) | 8% | 47 | 717 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 641 | 639 (555 to 724) | 24% | 45 | 717 hands |
| Net efficiency | 817 | 831 (659 to 1,002) | 27% | 45 | 717 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 37.5% | 39.5% (34.5% to 44.4%) | 41% | 23 | 128 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 29.3% | 27.9% (23.2% to 32.6%) | 62% | 70 | 150 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 27.9% | 27.3% (22.7% to 32.0%) | 74% | 62 | 179 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.78 | 12.39 (12.25 to 12.53) | 3% | 21 | 142 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 37.3% | 38.9% (33.9% to 44.0%) | 40% | 37 | 118 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 14.0% | 14.1% (12.5% to 15.6%) | 17% | 56 | 406 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 73.0% | 73.0% (71.8% to 74.1%) | 92% | 54 | 3,658 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.05 | 1.05 (0.98 to 1.13) | 86% | 49 | 3,511 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.6% | 1.7% (1.3% to 2.0%) | 79% | 13 | 3,658 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 7.99 | 8.15 (8.04 to 8.27) | 9% | 29 | 155 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 73.5% | 72.7% (68.1% to 77.3%) | 58% | 58 | 155 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 10.6% | 11.4% (7.5% to 15.3%) | 70% | 33 | 142 wins |
| Riichi income | 3,107 | 2,774 (2,188 to 3,360) | 31% | 82 | 168 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 51.2% | 48.5% (44.0% to 53.1%) | 49% | 92 | 168 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 13.7% | 14.3% (12.6% to 16.0%) | 6% | 58 | 168 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 10.7% | 11.0% (8.8% to 13.2%) | 16% | 56 | 168 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 53.0% | 50.9% (46.7% to 55.1%) | 36% | 70 | 168 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 14.3% | 17.2% (13.8% to 20.7%) | 41% | 17 | 168 riichi |
| Call income | -436 | 273 (-76.11 to 622) | 23% | 1 | 179 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 22.9% | 27.0% (23.1% to 30.8%) | 41% | 3 | 179 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 11.7% | 11.6% (8.9% to 14.3%) | 41% | 49 | 179 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | -0.00 | 37 | 717 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | -0.00 | 45 | 717 hands |
| Draw luck | -0.2% | 25 | 8,582 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | +0.00 | 41 | 86 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -4.6% | 7 | 86 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | -3.8% | 9 | 120 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 12.4% | 43 | 225 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -3.6 | 9 | 59 games |
By seasonRegular Season
2025-26 (25 games · skill estimate -0.5pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 59 | +1232.3 | +49.3 |
| Deal-ins | 27 | -429.7 | -17.2 |
| Others' tsumo | 103 | -836.1 | -33.4 |
| Ron between others | 72 | -35.4 | -1.4 |
| Exhaustive draws | 42 | -10.3 | -0.4 |
Luck
Every number for 2025-26
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.64 | 2.52 (2.32 to 2.71) | 15% | 34 | 25 games |
| Points per game | -3.3 | -0.5 (-8.6 to 7.6) | 16% | 44 | 25 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | 1.8 | 0.4 (-7.0 to 7.8) | 20% | 59 | 25 games |
| 1st-place rate | 24.0% | 24.9% (17.0% to 32.8%) | 16% | 45 | 25 games |
| 4th-place rate | 32.0% | 26.1% (18.1% to 34.1%) | 17% | 21 | 25 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 19.5% | 19.8% (17.4% to 22.2%) | 28% | 31 | 303 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 8.9% | 10.4% (8.6% to 12.2%) | 24% | 90 | 303 hands |
| Riichi rate | 22.8% | 22.8% (20.2% to 25.3%) | 29% | 47 | 303 hands |
| Call rate | 26.7% | 26.1% (22.5% to 29.7%) | 82% | 67 | 303 hands |
| First riichi rate | 71.0% | 75.3% (71.0% to 79.7%) | 13% | 19 | 69 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.77 | 9.46 (9.05 to 9.87) | 29% | 9 | 69 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,937 | 6,657 (6,095 to 7,219) | 19% | 75 | 59 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,144 | 5,585 (5,031 to 6,139) | 8% | 64 | 27 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,513 | 1,475 (1,372 to 1,579) | 3% | 52 | 303 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 471 | 619 (514 to 725) | 12% | 80 | 303 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,042 | 863 (645 to 1,081) | 13% | 70 | 303 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 35.6% | 39.8% (32.7% to 46.8%) | 20% | 24 | 45 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 31.3% | 27.9% (21.7% to 34.1%) | 41% | 72 | 64 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 28.4% | 27.2% (21.1% to 33.3%) | 57% | 80 | 81 first calls |
| Average win turn | 13.61 | 12.40 (12.25 to 12.55) | 1% | 1 | 59 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 40.5% | 40.1% (32.9% to 47.3%) | 19% | 47 | 42 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 14.6% | 14.1% (12.2% to 16.0%) | 8% | 59 | 171 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 73.2% | 73.1% (71.4% to 74.9%) | 82% | 34 | 1,493 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 0.99 | 1.01 (0.91 to 1.12) | 71% | 59 | 1,426 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.1% | 1.5% (1.0% to 2.0%) | 61% | 11 | 1,493 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.03 | 8.16 (8.03 to 8.29) | 4% | 47 | 61 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 69.6% | 70.9% (64.6% to 77.2%) | 35% | 37 | 61 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 8.5% | 11.0% (5.7% to 16.2%) | 49% | 45 | 59 wins |
| Riichi income | 3,639 | 2,782 (2,011 to 3,553) | 16% | 80 | 69 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 50.7% | 47.3% (41.1% to 53.6%) | 28% | 67 | 69 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 14.5% | 14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%) | 3% | 59 | 69 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 11.6% | 11.1% (8.5% to 13.6%) | 7% | 39 | 69 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 58.0% | 51.3% (45.6% to 57.0%) | 19% | 85 | 69 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 14.5% | 18.2% (13.5% to 22.9%) | 22% | 29 | 69 riichi |
| Call income | -511 | 367 (-60.44 to 794) | 12% | 6 | 81 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 23.5% | 28.3% (23.2% to 33.4%) | 24% | 14 | 81 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 11.1% | 11.4% (7.8% to 15.0%) | 24% | 59 | 81 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | -0.00 | 44 | 303 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.01 | 67 | 303 hands |
| Draw luck | -0.8% | 6 | 3,584 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | +0.11 | 75 | 35 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -8.3% | 9 | 35 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | -1.2% | 52 | 49 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 13.6% | 29 | 103 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -5.1 | 14 | 25 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 11.6% | +1,092 | +919 | +173 |
| Wins with calls | 6.3% | +318 | +382 | -64 |
| Dama wins | 1.7% | +103 | +173 | -70 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 2.6% | -237 | -360 | +123 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 5.3% | -184 | -203 | +19 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.0% | -76 | -101 | +25 |
| Others' tsumo | 34.0% | -965 | -752 | -213 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 37.6% | -73 | -60 | -13 |
| Total (per hand) | -22 |
2024-25 (23 games · skill estimate -1.4pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 55 | +961.0 | +41.8 |
| Deal-ins | 30 | -601.4 | -26.1 |
| Others' tsumo | 76 | -519.8 | -22.6 |
| Ron between others | 68 | -23.5 | -1.0 |
| Exhaustive draws | 53 | -34.6 | -1.5 |
Luck
Every number for 2024-25
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.74 | 2.53 (2.33 to 2.73) | 14% | 26 | 23 games |
| Points per game | -9.4 | -1.4 (-9.6 to 6.9) | 15% | 29 | 23 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -9.4 | -1.8 (-9.4 to 5.8) | 19% | 18 | 23 games |
| 1st-place rate | 21.7% | 24.6% (16.5% to 32.6%) | 15% | 43 | 23 games |
| 4th-place rate | 39.1% | 27.2% (19.0% to 35.3%) | 16% | 9 | 23 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 19.5% | 19.9% (17.4% to 22.3%) | 26% | 38 | 282 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 10.6% | 10.9% (9.0% to 12.7%) | 23% | 66 | 282 hands |
| Riichi rate | 26.2% | 23.7% (21.1% to 26.3%) | 28% | 89 | 282 hands |
| Call rate | 22.3% | 22.5% (18.8% to 26.2%) | 81% | 29 | 282 hands |
| First riichi rate | 71.6% | 75.4% (71.1% to 79.7%) | 14% | 24 | 74 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 8.84 | 9.18 (8.79 to 9.58) | 30% | 83 | 74 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,355 | 6,547 (5,975 to 7,120) | 18% | 55 | 55 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 8,017 | 5,847 (5,302 to 6,392) | 9% | 1 | 30 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,405 | 1,472 (1,367 to 1,576) | 3% | 35 | 282 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 869 | 664 (557 to 771) | 11% | 7 | 282 hands |
| Net efficiency | 536 | 798 (577 to 1,019) | 12% | 24 | 282 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 32.1% | 38.8% (32.2% to 45.4%) | 24% | 12 | 56 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 25.9% | 25.7% (19.3% to 32.1%) | 39% | 49 | 58 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 25.4% | 25.5% (18.9% to 32.2%) | 51% | 58 | 63 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.00 | 12.37 (12.23 to 12.52) | 1% | 77 | 55 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 35.8% | 39.1% (32.4% to 45.8%) | 23% | 12 | 53 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 11.5% | 13.9% (12.0% to 15.8%) | 7% | 18 | 157 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 73.2% | 73.1% (71.4% to 74.9%) | 82% | 24 | 1,489 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.08 | 1.08 (0.97 to 1.18) | 71% | 75 | 1,439 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.1% | 2.1% (1.6% to 2.5%) | 61% | 46 | 1,489 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 7.90 | 8.16 (8.03 to 8.29) | 4% | 15 | 67 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 79.9% | 74.7% (68.7% to 80.8%) | 38% | 92 | 67 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 7.3% | 10.5% (5.1% to 15.9%) | 47% | 29 | 55 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,750 | 2,644 (1,886 to 3,402) | 17% | 63 | 74 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 51.4% | 47.6% (41.5% to 53.7%) | 30% | 80 | 74 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 13.5% | 14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%) | 3% | 60 | 74 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 9.5% | 10.9% (8.4% to 13.4%) | 8% | 66 | 74 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 45.9% | 49.0% (43.4% to 54.6%) | 20% | 32 | 74 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 14.9% | 18.2% (13.6% to 22.8%) | 23% | 35 | 74 riichi |
| Call income | -889 | 355 (-93.05 to 803) | 10% | 1 | 63 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 20.6% | 28.0% (22.5% to 33.5%) | 20% | 2 | 63 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 15.9% | 12.4% (8.5% to 16.2%) | 20% | 21 | 63 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.01 | 63 | 282 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | -0.01 | 49 | 282 hands |
| Draw luck | +0.2% | 63 | 3,395 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.03 | 49 | 38 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | +1.3% | 77 | 38 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | -4.8% | 26 | 53 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 13.2% | 35 | 76 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +0.1 | 52 | 23 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 13.5% | +1,177 | +919 | +258 |
| Wins with calls | 4.6% | +161 | +382 | -221 |
| Dama wins | 1.4% | +67 | +173 | -106 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 6.0% | -445 | -360 | -85 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.3% | -424 | -203 | -221 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 0.4% | -24 | -101 | +77 |
| Others' tsumo | 27.0% | -723 | -752 | +29 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 42.9% | -108 | -60 | -48 |
| Total (per hand) | -320 |
Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first
- Arisa DateKONAMI MAH-JONG FIGHT CLUBIn common: Few deal-ins
- Yoshihiro MatsumotoShibuya ABEMAS
- Kazuma IshiiEARTH JETS
* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics supported more strongly by the data receive more weight. The comparison shows how similar the players' styles are, not which is better. Differences are often small, so the order may change.