Player · 152 career games · 2021-22–2026-27
Date Arisa
Riichis a lot. Stands out for few deal-ins. Career record: +5.5pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.
Actual / game
+5.5
152 career games
Skill estimate / game
+1.5
90% interval -2.3 to +5.3
Estimate, luck removed
-0.3
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
27%
share of the estimate from the record
Styleleague percentile, career
Colour only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and efficiency match rate, are grey. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.
Placements152 career games, average placement 2.39
- 1st31.6%48×
- 2nd22.4%34×
- 3rd21.1%32×
- 4th25.0%38×
Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls
Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).
Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand
Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.
Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates
Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)
Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 385 | +7502.8 | +49.4 |
| Deal-ins | 186 | -2649.4 | -17.4 |
| Others' tsumo | 491 | -3668.1 | -24.1 |
| Ron between others | 430 | -329.8 | -2.2 |
| Draws | 373 | -31.9 | -0.2 |
Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 11.7% | +995 | +924 | +71 |
| Wins with calls | 6.8% | +399 | +381 | +17 |
| Dama wins | 2.2% | +156 | +175 | -20 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 4.6% | -290 | -361 | +71 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.0% | -214 | -203 | -11 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.4% | -66 | -102 | +36 |
| Others' tsumo | 26.3% | -728 | -757 | +29 |
| Other (draws etc.) | 43.1% | -73 | -59 | -14 |
| Total (per hand) | +178 |
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.39 | 2.47 (2.38 to 2.56) | 24% | 81 | 152 games |
| Points per game | 5.5 | 1.5 (-2.3 to 5.3) | 27% | 98 | 152 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -0.8 | -0.3 (-3.6 to 3.1) | 34% | 38 | 152 games |
| 1st-place rate | 31.6% | 25.7% (23.0% to 28.3%) | 9% | 98 | 152 games |
| 4th-place rate | 25.0% | 24.9% (21.0% to 28.9%) | 41% | 46 | 152 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 20.6% | 20.4% (19.2% to 21.6%) | 63% | 67 | 1,865 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 10.0% | 10.3% (9.4% to 11.3%) | 64% | 88 | 1,865 hands |
| Riichi rate | 24.9% | 24.4% (23.0% to 25.8%) | 76% | 92 | 1,865 hands |
| Call rate | 23.4% | 23.4% (21.8% to 24.9%) | 97% | 55 | 1,865 hands |
| First riichi rate | 76.7% | 76.4% (73.9% to 78.9%) | 56% | 67 | 464 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.25 | 9.29 (9.09 to 9.48) | 62% | 67 | 464 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,717 | 6,674 (6,378 to 6,970) | 59% | 63 | 385 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,251 | 5,497 (5,174 to 5,819) | 37% | 88 | 186 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,549 | 1,480 (1,430 to 1,530) | 0% | 50 | 1,865 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 544 | 595 (533 to 657) | 47% | 94 | 1,865 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,005 | 904 (788 to 1,020) | 39% | 96 | 1,865 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 39.8% | 40.1% (36.4% to 43.8%) | 68% | 40 | 334 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 22.8% | 23.4% (20.1% to 26.8%) | 78% | 22 | 364 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 23.0% | 23.3% (20.1% to 26.6%) | 88% | 22 | 435 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.22 | 12.33 (12.15 to 12.51) | 32% | 81 | 385 wins |
| Tenpai rate at draws | 38.9% | 39.3% (35.9% to 42.6%) | 64% | 38 | 373 draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 12.5% | 13.7% (12.6% to 14.8%) | 20% | 11 | 951 hands facing riichi |
| Efficiency match rate | 71.9% | 72.0% (71.2% to 72.7%) | 97% | 30 | 10,163 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.11 | 1.11 (1.06 to 1.15) | 94% | 65 | 9,791 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.0% | 2.0% (1.8% to 2.3%) | 90% | 61 | 10,163 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.39 | 8.23 (8.13 to 8.33) | 27% | 94 | 437 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 73.4% | 73.1% (69.8% to 76.3%) | 82% | 71 | 437 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 10.6% | 11.0% (8.4% to 13.7%) | 87% | 32 | 385 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,649 | 2,645 (2,231 to 3,059) | 55% | 50 | 464 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 47.0% | 46.7% (43.5% to 50.0%) | 71% | 65 | 464 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 13.4% | 14.3% (13.3% to 15.3%) | 5% | 73 | 464 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 10.1% | 10.9% (9.6% to 12.2%) | 17% | 81 | 464 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 46.6% | 47.7% (44.6% to 50.8%) | 66% | 15 | 464 riichi |
| Riichi draw rate | 17.2% | 17.9% (15.4% to 20.3%) | 68% | 24 | 464 riichi |
| Call income | 660 | 541 (300 to 782) | 32% | 79 | 436 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 28.9% | 29.3% (26.5% to 32.0%) | 57% | 34 | 436 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 10.3% | 10.8% (8.8% to 12.8%) | 62% | 79 | 436 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.02 | 88 | 1,865 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.01 | 71 | 1,865 hands |
| Draw luck | +0.5% | 96 | 22,889 draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.03 | 18 | 218 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -2.3% | 26 | 218 riichi wins |
| Not being chased (/first riichi) | -1.9% | 24 | 356 first riichi |
| Painful dealer tsumo rate | 12.6% | 32 | 491 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +6.3 | 98 | 152 games |
By seasonRegular Season
2026-27 (2 games · skill estimate -0.3pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 2 | +33.1 | +16.5 |
| Deal-ins | 9 | -101.0 | -50.5 |
| Others' tsumo | 3 | -34.6 | -17.3 |
| Ron between others | 1 | +1.8 | +0.9 |
| Draws | 6 | -3.1 | -1.6 |
Luck
Every number for 2026-27
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 4.00 | 2.50 (2.35 to 2.65) | 0% | — | 2 games |
| Points per game | -51.3 | -0.3 (-6.9 to 6.4) | 0% | — | 2 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -41.1 | -0.3 (-6.8 to 6.3) | 1% | — | 2 games |
| 1st-place rate | 0.0% | 25.0% (23.0% to 27.1%) | 0% | — | 2 games |
| 4th-place rate | 100.0% | 25.6% (17.1% to 34.1%) | 1% | — | 2 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 9.5% | 19.8% (16.4% to 23.2%) | 2% | — | 21 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 42.9% | 11.6% (8.9% to 14.2%) | 2% | — | 21 hands |
| Riichi rate | 42.9% | 23.4% (18.8% to 28.1%) | 3% | — | 21 hands |
| Call rate | 28.6% | 24.3% (14.9% to 33.6%) | 25% | — | 21 hands |
| First riichi rate | 66.7% | 75.8% (69.7% to 82.0%) | 2% | — | 9 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.56 | 9.35 (8.83 to 9.87) | 3% | — | 9 riichi |
| Average win value | 5,200 | 6,602 (5,790 to 7,415) | 1% | — | 2 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 3,911 | 5,595 (4,982 to 6,208) | 3% | — | 9 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 776 | 1,480 (1,456 to 1,504) | 0% | — | 21 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 1,733 | 652 (508 to 795) | 1% | — | 21 hands |
| Net efficiency | -957 | 827 (583 to 1,070) | 1% | — | 21 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 50.0% | 40.9% (30.0% to 51.8%) | 3% | — | 4 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 33.3% | 25.8% (14.3% to 37.4%) | 3% | — | 3 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 0.0% | 23.3% (9.9% to 36.8%) | 9% | — | 6 first calls |
| Average win turn | 13.13 | 12.39 (12.10 to 12.67) | 0% | — | 2 wins |
| Tenpai rate at draws | 50.0% | 40.3% (31.1% to 49.5%) | 3% | — | 6 draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 9.1% | 14.0% (12.5% to 15.5%) | 0% | — | 11 hands facing riichi |
| Efficiency match rate | 66.2% | 71.0% (66.9% to 75.0%) | 28% | — | 130 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.31 | 1.11 (0.87 to 1.34) | 18% | — | 126 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.3% | 2.0% (1.1% to 3.0%) | 11% | — | 130 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 7.98 | 8.17 (8.01 to 8.34) | 1% | — | 8 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 80.7% | 72.1% (60.8% to 83.3%) | 8% | — | 8 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 0.0% | 13.1% (1.2% to 25.0%) | 3% | — | 2 wins |
| Riichi income | -2,056 | 2,530 (1,510 to 3,550) | 2% | — | 9 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 11.1% | 44.6% (35.3% to 54.0%) | 4% | — | 9 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 55.6% | 14.4% (13.7% to 15.1%) | 0% | — | 9 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 44.4% | 11.2% (9.2% to 13.2%) | 0% | — | 9 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 44.4% | 49.6% (41.1% to 58.2%) | 4% | — | 9 riichi |
| Riichi draw rate | 33.3% | 19.7% (12.7% to 26.8%) | 4% | — | 9 riichi |
| Call income | -817 | 477 (23.56 to 930) | 1% | — | 6 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 16.7% | 29.5% (22.5% to 36.6%) | 2% | — | 6 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 50.0% | 12.4% (7.0% to 17.8%) | 2% | — | 6 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.06 | — | 21 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.14 | — | 21 hands |
| Draw luck | -0.3% | — | 282 draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.36 | — | 1 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -19.7% | — | 1 riichi wins |
| Not being chased (/first riichi) | -8.0% | — | 6 first riichi |
| Painful dealer tsumo rate | 33.3% | — | 3 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -10.2 | — | 2 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 4.8% | +405 | +924 | -519 |
| Wins with calls | 4.8% | +371 | +381 | -10 |
| Dama wins | 0.0% | 0 | +175 | -175 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 28.6% | -1,581 | -361 | -1,220 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 9.5% | -281 | -203 | -78 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 4.8% | -62 | -102 | +40 |
| Others' tsumo | 14.3% | -357 | -757 | +400 |
| Other (draws etc.) | 33.3% | -48 | -59 | +12 |
| Total (per hand) | -1,552 |
2025-26 (30 games · skill estimate 0.2pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 79 | +1401.8 | +46.7 |
| Deal-ins | 32 | -424.2 | -14.1 |
| Others' tsumo | 99 | -784.5 | -26.2 |
| Ron between others | 93 | -105.5 | -3.5 |
| Draws | 71 | +0.5 | 0.0 |
Luck
Every number for 2025-26
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.47 | 2.50 (2.37 to 2.62) | 6% | 57 | 30 games |
| Points per game | 3.0 | 0.2 (-5.3 to 5.7) | 7% | 57 | 30 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -0.2 | -0.0 (-5.3 to 5.2) | 9% | 52 | 30 games |
| 1st-place rate | 26.7% | 25.1% (22.0% to 28.2%) | 2% | 54 | 30 games |
| 4th-place rate | 26.7% | 25.1% (18.6% to 31.6%) | 12% | 44 | 30 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 21.1% | 20.3% (18.2% to 22.4%) | 26% | 54 | 374 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 8.6% | 10.3% (8.6% to 12.0%) | 26% | 97 | 374 hands |
| Riichi rate | 25.4% | 23.8% (21.4% to 26.2%) | 39% | 80 | 374 hands |
| Call rate | 25.1% | 24.8% (21.5% to 28.1%) | 86% | 49 | 374 hands |
| First riichi rate | 73.7% | 75.6% (71.3% to 79.8%) | 21% | 37 | 95 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 8.96 | 9.25 (8.91 to 9.59) | 25% | 77 | 95 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,320 | 6,546 (6,038 to 7,055) | 23% | 39 | 79 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 4,775 | 5,563 (5,034 to 6,092) | 9% | 85 | 32 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,481 | 1,480 (1,424 to 1,536) | 0% | 50 | 374 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 432 | 609 (505 to 713) | 15% | 92 | 374 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,049 | 863 (676 to 1,050) | 11% | 80 | 374 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 40.6% | 40.7% (34.2% to 47.1%) | 29% | 49 | 64 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 22.7% | 24.4% (18.7% to 30.1%) | 42% | 29 | 75 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 23.4% | 24.3% (18.4% to 30.2%) | 62% | 57 | 94 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.06 | 12.36 (12.08 to 12.63) | 9% | 75 | 79 wins |
| Tenpai rate at draws | 39.4% | 39.9% (33.9% to 45.8%) | 25% | 39 | 71 draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 13.4% | 14.0% (12.5% to 15.4%) | 5% | 34 | 194 hands facing riichi |
| Efficiency match rate | 73.1% | 73.1% (71.6% to 74.6%) | 86% | 31 | 2,018 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.14 | 1.12 (1.03 to 1.21) | 77% | 87 | 1,949 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.6% | 1.8% (1.4% to 2.2%) | 65% | 31 | 2,018 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.30 | 8.18 (8.04 to 8.32) | 7% | 100 | 90 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 80.0% | 75.6% (69.9% to 81.2%) | 49% | 96 | 90 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 7.6% | 10.2% (5.3% to 15.0%) | 57% | 29 | 79 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,703 | 2,653 (1,944 to 3,362) | 20% | 54 | 95 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 48.4% | 46.9% (41.4% to 52.4%) | 33% | 54 | 95 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 8.4% | 14.3% (13.1% to 15.4%) | 1% | 97 | 95 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 8.4% | 10.9% (9.2% to 12.7%) | 4% | 87 | 95 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 38.9% | 46.8% (41.4% to 52.1%) | 28% | 4 | 95 riichi |
| Riichi draw rate | 15.8% | 18.1% (13.8% to 22.4%) | 31% | 37 | 95 riichi |
| Call income | 652 | 500 (138 to 863) | 9% | 64 | 94 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 28.7% | 29.5% (24.9% to 34.2%) | 22% | 44 | 94 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 9.6% | 11.0% (7.6% to 14.4%) | 26% | 70 | 94 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.03 | 72 | 374 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.05 | 92 | 374 hands |
| Draw luck | +0.6% | 80 | 4,517 draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.07 | 24 | 46 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -4.5% | 29 | 46 riichi wins |
| Not being chased (/first riichi) | +5.3% | 84 | 70 first riichi |
| Painful dealer tsumo rate | 15.2% | 14 | 99 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +3.2 | 75 | 30 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 12.3% | +991 | +924 | +68 |
| Wins with calls | 7.2% | +407 | +381 | +26 |
| Dama wins | 1.6% | +83 | +175 | -93 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 3.5% | -202 | -361 | +159 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.0% | -203 | -203 | -0 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.1% | -48 | -102 | +54 |
| Others' tsumo | 26.5% | -811 | -757 | -54 |
| Other (draws etc.) | 43.9% | -59 | -59 | +1 |
| Total (per hand) | +158 |
2024-25 (23 games · skill estimate 0.2pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 67 | +1276.0 | +55.5 |
| Deal-ins | 34 | -423.4 | -18.4 |
| Others' tsumo | 83 | -711.1 | -30.9 |
| Ron between others | 58 | -2.1 | -0.1 |
| Draws | 55 | -47.1 | -2.0 |
Luck
Every number for 2024-25
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.43 | 2.49 (2.36 to 2.63) | 4% | 55 | 23 games |
| Points per game | 4.3 | 0.2 (-5.5 to 5.9) | 5% | 60 | 23 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -1.4 | -0.1 (-5.6 to 5.4) | 7% | 52 | 23 games |
| 1st-place rate | 30.4% | 25.1% (22.0% to 28.3%) | 1% | 66 | 23 games |
| 4th-place rate | 30.4% | 25.4% (18.6% to 32.3%) | 9% | 36 | 23 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 22.6% | 20.6% (18.3% to 22.8%) | 22% | 75 | 297 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 11.4% | 11.0% (9.2% to 12.8%) | 22% | 46 | 297 hands |
| Riichi rate | 26.6% | 24.0% (21.4% to 26.7%) | 33% | 94 | 297 hands |
| Call rate | 25.6% | 25.1% (21.5% to 28.7%) | 82% | 52 | 297 hands |
| First riichi rate | 73.4% | 75.6% (71.1% to 80.0%) | 18% | 32 | 79 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.32 | 9.34 (8.98 to 9.70) | 22% | 43 | 79 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,325 | 6,555 (6,021 to 7,090) | 20% | 52 | 67 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,074 | 5,587 (5,064 to 6,111) | 10% | 63 | 34 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,608 | 1,480 (1,424 to 1,537) | 0% | 50 | 297 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 609 | 637 (527 to 746) | 13% | 52 | 297 hands |
| Net efficiency | 999 | 854 (659 to 1,049) | 9% | 77 | 297 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 52.0% | 43.4% (36.4% to 50.5%) | 25% | 86 | 50 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 17.8% | 23.3% (16.4% to 30.2%) | 30% | 12 | 45 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 21.1% | 23.1% (16.8% to 29.4%) | 57% | 35 | 76 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.26 | 12.38 (12.09 to 12.66) | 8% | 60 | 67 wins |
| Tenpai rate at draws | 36.4% | 39.3% (32.8% to 45.7%) | 21% | 18 | 55 draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 14.6% | 14.0% (12.5% to 15.5%) | 4% | 58 | 144 hands facing riichi |
| Efficiency match rate | 75.1% | 74.7% (73.0% to 76.4%) | 82% | 66 | 1,550 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 0.94 | 0.97 (0.87 to 1.08) | 72% | 35 | 1,510 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.3% | 2.2% (1.7% to 2.6%) | 58% | 63 | 1,550 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.06 | 8.17 (8.02 to 8.31) | 6% | 43 | 71 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 70.6% | 71.0% (64.9% to 77.2%) | 43% | 49 | 71 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 10.4% | 11.9% (6.8% to 17.0%) | 53% | 52 | 67 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,625 | 2,638 (1,892 to 3,383) | 17% | 60 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 51.9% | 47.8% (41.9% to 53.7%) | 29% | 86 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 15.2% | 14.3% (13.2% to 15.5%) | 1% | 38 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 11.4% | 11.1% (9.3% to 12.8%) | 3% | 52 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 55.7% | 51.3% (45.6% to 57.0%) | 24% | 83 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi draw rate | 12.7% | 17.4% (12.8% to 22.0%) | 27% | 18 | 79 riichi |
| Call income | 305 | 471 (96.85 to 846) | 8% | 38 | 76 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 25.0% | 28.9% (23.9% to 33.8%) | 19% | 18 | 76 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 14.5% | 12.2% (8.6% to 15.8%) | 22% | 26 | 76 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | -0.04 | 29 | 297 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | -0.07 | 7 | 297 hands |
| Draw luck | +1.1% | 94 | 3,564 draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.10 | 12 | 41 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -0.2% | 63 | 41 riichi wins |
| Not being chased (/first riichi) | +6.3% | 97 | 58 first riichi |
| Painful dealer tsumo rate | 13.3% | 29 | 83 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +5.7 | 92 | 23 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 13.8% | +1,121 | +924 | +198 |
| Wins with calls | 6.4% | +350 | +381 | -31 |
| Dama wins | 2.4% | +137 | +175 | -38 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 5.4% | -302 | -361 | +59 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 3.7% | -231 | -203 | -28 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 2.4% | -106 | -102 | -4 |
| Others' tsumo | 27.9% | -748 | -757 | +9 |
| Other (draws etc.) | 38.0% | -77 | -59 | -18 |
| Total (per hand) | +143 |
2023-24 (20 games · skill estimate 0.5pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 48 | +901.9 | +45.1 |
| Deal-ins | 14 | -201.5 | -10.1 |
| Others' tsumo | 57 | -387.0 | -19.4 |
| Ron between others | 64 | -86.7 | -4.3 |
| Draws | 46 | -13.8 | -0.7 |
Luck
Every number for 2023-24
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.25 | 2.49 (2.35 to 2.62) | 4% | 86 | 20 games |
| Points per game | 10.8 | 0.5 (-5.3 to 6.3) | 5% | 89 | 20 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | 4.9 | 0.3 (-5.3 to 5.9) | 6% | 63 | 20 games |
| 1st-place rate | 30.0% | 25.1% (21.9% to 28.3%) | 1% | 66 | 20 games |
| 4th-place rate | 10.0% | 23.7% (16.7% to 30.7%) | 8% | 94 | 20 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 21.0% | 20.2% (17.7% to 22.6%) | 18% | 66 | 229 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 6.1% | 10.1% (8.1% to 12.0%) | 18% | 100 | 229 hands |
| Riichi rate | 19.2% | 21.8% (18.9% to 24.6%) | 28% | 9 | 229 hands |
| Call rate | 22.3% | 22.4% (18.3% to 26.4%) | 78% | 41 | 229 hands |
| First riichi rate | 79.5% | 76.4% (71.3% to 81.5%) | 11% | 69 | 44 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.34 | 9.35 (8.93 to 9.76) | 13% | 46 | 44 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,331 | 6,570 (5,988 to 7,153) | 15% | 38 | 48 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,186 | 5,624 (5,034 to 6,214) | 4% | 69 | 14 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,476 | 1,480 (1,423 to 1,537) | 0% | 50 | 229 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 325 | 609 (494 to 724) | 10% | 100 | 229 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,152 | 862 (659 to 1,065) | 7% | 86 | 229 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 45.5% | 41.5% (33.6% to 49.5%) | 18% | 58 | 33 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 27.1% | 26.2% (19.9% to 32.4%) | 36% | 52 | 59 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 19.6% | 22.9% (15.7% to 30.1%) | 47% | 26 | 51 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.68 | 12.40 (12.11 to 12.70) | 6% | 29 | 48 wins |
| Tenpai rate at draws | 28.3% | 37.9% (31.1% to 44.7%) | 18% | 9 | 46 draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 11.7% | 13.9% (12.4% to 15.5%) | 3% | 29 | 120 hands facing riichi |
| Efficiency match rate | 71.4% | 71.7% (69.8% to 73.6%) | 78% | 24 | 1,171 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.10 | 1.09 (0.97 to 1.20) | 66% | 75 | 1,126 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.2% | 2.1% (1.6% to 2.6%) | 52% | 66 | 1,171 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.26 | 8.18 (8.03 to 8.33) | 3% | 69 | 43 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 67.6% | 70.2% (62.8% to 77.5%) | 32% | 41 | 43 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 14.6% | 14.0% (8.3% to 19.7%) | 44% | 75 | 48 wins |
| Riichi income | 3,755 | 2,757 (1,910 to 3,605) | 11% | 89 | 44 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 56.8% | 48.1% (41.1% to 55.2%) | 19% | 93 | 44 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 4.5% | 14.3% (13.1% to 15.5%) | 1% | 97 | 44 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 2.3% | 10.9% (9.0% to 12.7%) | 2% | 94 | 44 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 50.0% | 49.8% (43.1% to 56.6%) | 15% | 49 | 44 riichi |
| Riichi draw rate | 11.4% | 17.8% (12.4% to 23.3%) | 17% | 12 | 44 riichi |
| Call income | 1,135 | 519 (124 to 913) | 5% | 89 | 51 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 31.4% | 30.0% (24.5% to 35.5%) | 13% | 60 | 51 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 7.8% | 11.0% (6.9% to 15.0%) | 16% | 83 | 51 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.07 | 92 | 229 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | -0.01 | 52 | 229 hands |
| Draw luck | -0.9% | 18 | 2,717 draws |
| Ura-dora luck | +0.23 | 100 | 25 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -7.7% | 14 | 25 riichi wins |
| Not being chased (/first riichi) | -6.1% | 24 | 35 first riichi |
| Painful dealer tsumo rate | 8.8% | 92 | 57 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +5.9 | 94 | 20 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 10.9% | +862 | +924 | -61 |
| Wins with calls | 7.0% | +429 | +381 | +48 |
| Dama wins | 3.1% | +185 | +175 | +10 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 3.1% | -160 | -361 | +201 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 2.2% | -134 | -203 | +69 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 0.9% | -35 | -102 | +67 |
| Others' tsumo | 24.9% | -596 | -757 | +161 |
| Other (draws etc.) | 48.0% | -135 | -59 | -76 |
| Total (per hand) | +416 |
2022-23 (24 games · skill estimate 0.7pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 58 | +1278.4 | +53.3 |
| Deal-ins | 29 | -460.8 | -19.2 |
| Others' tsumo | 77 | -533.5 | -22.2 |
| Ron between others | 60 | -33.3 | -1.4 |
| Draws | 64 | +69.2 | +2.9 |
Luck
Every number for 2022-23
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.21 | 2.48 (2.35 to 2.62) | 5% | 94 | 24 games |
| Points per game | 13.3 | 0.7 (-4.9 to 6.4) | 6% | 100 | 24 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | 3.5 | 0.3 (-5.2 to 5.7) | 7% | 68 | 24 games |
| 1st-place rate | 37.5% | 25.3% (22.1% to 28.4%) | 2% | 90 | 24 games |
| 4th-place rate | 16.7% | 24.1% (17.3% to 30.9%) | 10% | 86 | 24 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 20.1% | 20.0% (17.7% to 22.3%) | 21% | 55 | 288 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 10.1% | 10.7% (8.9% to 12.5%) | 22% | 58 | 288 hands |
| Riichi rate | 23.3% | 22.9% (20.3% to 25.6%) | 33% | 62 | 288 hands |
| Call rate | 19.1% | 19.8% (16.1% to 23.5%) | 82% | 33 | 288 hands |
| First riichi rate | 83.6% | 77.2% (72.5% to 81.9%) | 15% | 94 | 67 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.36 | 9.35 (8.97 to 9.72) | 19% | 52 | 67 riichi |
| Average win value | 7,486 | 6,768 (6,213 to 7,324) | 18% | 90 | 58 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,338 | 5,618 (5,080 to 6,155) | 9% | 68 | 29 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,674 | 1,480 (1,424 to 1,537) | 0% | 50 | 288 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 560 | 631 (521 to 741) | 12% | 65 | 288 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,114 | 864 (668 to 1,060) | 9% | 84 | 288 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 34.4% | 38.8% (32.4% to 45.3%) | 29% | 30 | 64 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 21.2% | 24.1% (17.6% to 30.7%) | 33% | 20 | 52 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 29.1% | 27.4% (20.3% to 34.4%) | 49% | 52 | 55 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.54 | 12.40 (12.11 to 12.69) | 7% | 46 | 58 wins |
| Tenpai rate at draws | 51.6% | 42.7% (36.6% to 48.9%) | 24% | 97 | 64 draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 14.4% | 14.0% (12.5% to 15.5%) | 4% | 71 | 146 hands facing riichi |
| Efficiency match rate | 71.7% | 71.9% (70.3% to 73.6%) | 83% | 43 | 1,620 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.14 | 1.12 (1.02 to 1.22) | 73% | 68 | 1,552 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.7% | 1.8% (1.4% to 2.3%) | 60% | 33 | 1,620 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.55 | 8.20 (8.05 to 8.34) | 5% | 94 | 67 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 61.2% | 67.1% (60.8% to 73.4%) | 42% | 7 | 67 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 19.0% | 16.2% (10.8% to 21.6%) | 49% | 78 | 58 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,767 | 2,660 (1,883 to 3,436) | 15% | 58 | 67 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 38.8% | 44.3% (38.0% to 50.5%) | 26% | 17 | 67 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 16.4% | 14.3% (13.2% to 15.5%) | 1% | 14 | 67 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 7.5% | 10.9% (9.2% to 12.7%) | 3% | 74 | 67 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 52.2% | 50.3% (44.3% to 56.3%) | 22% | 65 | 67 riichi |
| Riichi draw rate | 29.9% | 21.7% (16.9% to 26.5%) | 24% | 100 | 67 riichi |
| Call income | 1,316 | 531 (140 to 922) | 6% | 84 | 55 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 38.2% | 31.0% (25.6% to 36.4%) | 14% | 90 | 55 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 5.5% | 10.5% (6.5% to 14.5%) | 17% | 84 | 55 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.04 | 68 | 288 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.06 | 97 | 288 hands |
| Draw luck | +1.0% | 94 | 3,625 draws |
| Ura-dora luck | +0.06 | 71 | 26 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -4.4% | 35 | 26 riichi wins |
| Not being chased (/first riichi) | -8.6% | 4 | 56 first riichi |
| Painful dealer tsumo rate | 7.8% | 94 | 77 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +9.9 | 97 | 24 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 9.0% | +922 | +924 | -2 |
| Wins with calls | 7.3% | +405 | +381 | +24 |
| Dama wins | 3.8% | +348 | +175 | +172 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 4.5% | -330 | -361 | +31 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.2% | -194 | -203 | +9 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.4% | -54 | -102 | +48 |
| Others' tsumo | 26.7% | -686 | -757 | +71 |
| Other (draws etc.) | 43.1% | +7 | -59 | +66 |
| Total (per hand) | +417 |
2021-22 (21 games · skill estimate 0.6pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 59 | +1099.5 | +52.4 |
| Deal-ins | 27 | -376.9 | -17.9 |
| Others' tsumo | 65 | -442.0 | -21.0 |
| Ron between others | 56 | -28.2 | -1.3 |
| Draws | 54 | +20.2 | +1.0 |
Luck
Every number for 2021-22
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.29 | 2.49 (2.36 to 2.62) | 4% | 78 | 21 games |
| Points per game | 12.8 | 0.6 (-5.1 to 6.4) | 5% | 90 | 21 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -3.2 | -0.2 (-5.7 to 5.3) | 7% | 43 | 21 games |
| 1st-place rate | 38.1% | 25.2% (22.1% to 28.4%) | 1% | 94 | 21 games |
| 4th-place rate | 23.8% | 24.8% (17.9% to 31.8%) | 9% | 63 | 21 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 22.6% | 20.5% (18.1% to 22.9%) | 20% | 81 | 261 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 10.3% | 10.8% (8.9% to 12.7%) | 20% | 43 | 261 hands |
| Riichi rate | 24.5% | 23.3% (20.5% to 26.0%) | 31% | 74 | 261 hands |
| Call rate | 26.1% | 25.4% (21.6% to 29.3%) | 81% | 90 | 261 hands |
| First riichi rate | 78.1% | 76.3% (71.6% to 81.1%) | 15% | 62 | 64 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.33 | 9.34 (8.96 to 9.72) | 18% | 62 | 64 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,937 | 6,671 (6,118 to 7,225) | 18% | 78 | 59 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,156 | 5,605 (5,061 to 6,148) | 8% | 81 | 27 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,746 | 1,480 (1,423 to 1,537) | 0% | 50 | 261 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 553 | 631 (519 to 743) | 11% | 74 | 261 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,193 | 869 (669 to 1,068) | 8% | 90 | 261 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 33.3% | 39.2% (31.6% to 46.8%) | 20% | 33 | 39 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 19.6% | 23.7% (17.1% to 30.2%) | 33% | 30 | 51 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 22.4% | 23.9% (17.4% to 30.5%) | 53% | 17 | 67 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.10 | 12.37 (12.08 to 12.66) | 7% | 97 | 59 wins |
| Tenpai rate at draws | 37.0% | 39.4% (32.9% to 45.9%) | 21% | 39 | 54 draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 13.0% | 14.0% (12.5% to 15.5%) | 3% | 46 | 123 hands facing riichi |
| Efficiency match rate | 68.7% | 69.5% (67.8% to 71.2%) | 81% | 11 | 1,457 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.20 | 1.16 (1.05 to 1.27) | 70% | 87 | 1,383 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.2% | 2.1% (1.7% to 2.6%) | 57% | 55 | 1,457 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.36 | 8.18 (8.04 to 8.33) | 5% | 58 | 63 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 76.1% | 73.2% (66.8% to 79.6%) | 40% | 84 | 63 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 8.5% | 11.0% (5.7% to 16.4%) | 50% | 17 | 59 wins |
| Riichi income | 3,461 | 2,760 (1,975 to 3,545) | 15% | 71 | 64 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 54.7% | 48.3% (42.0% to 54.6%) | 25% | 81 | 64 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 14.1% | 14.3% (13.2% to 15.5%) | 1% | 39 | 64 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 10.9% | 11.0% (9.2% to 12.8%) | 3% | 36 | 64 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 40.6% | 47.9% (41.8% to 54.0%) | 21% | 11 | 64 riichi |
| Riichi draw rate | 12.5% | 17.6% (12.7% to 22.6%) | 23% | 7 | 64 riichi |
| Call income | 793 | 506 (125 to 886) | 7% | 78 | 68 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 27.9% | 29.5% (24.4% to 34.6%) | 17% | 43 | 68 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 7.4% | 10.7% (6.9% to 14.4%) | 20% | 87 | 68 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.00 | 49 | 261 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.01 | 46 | 261 hands |
| Draw luck | +1.0% | 90 | 3,255 draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.01 | 49 | 35 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -5.5% | 14 | 35 riichi wins |
| Not being chased (/first riichi) | +3.3% | 68 | 50 first riichi |
| Painful dealer tsumo rate | 10.8% | 62 | 65 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +16.0 | 100 | 21 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 13.4% | +1,158 | +924 | +234 |
| Wins with calls | 7.3% | +427 | +381 | +46 |
| Dama wins | 1.9% | +161 | +175 | -14 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 5.0% | -305 | -361 | +56 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 5.0% | -244 | -203 | -41 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 0.4% | -31 | -102 | +71 |
| Others' tsumo | 24.9% | -636 | -757 | +121 |
| Other (draws etc.) | 42.1% | -61 | -59 | -2 |
| Total (per hand) | +469 |
Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first
- Asai TakakiFormer M.League playerIn common: Few deal-ins
- Matsumoto YoshihiroShibuya ABEMASIn common: Strong draws
- Mizuhara AkinaU-NEXT PiratesIn common: Riichis a lot
* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics the data can vouch for weigh more. It shows only how close the styles are, not which is better. The differences are often slight, and the order could change.