Player · 164 career games · 2021-22–2026-27
Arisa Date
Riichis a lot. Stands out for few deal-ins. Career record: +5.2pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.
Actual / game
+5.2
164 career games
Skill estimate / game
+2.8
90% interval -1.5 to +7.2
Estimate, luck removed
-0.2
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
55%
share of the estimate from the record
Styleleague percentile, career
Color only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and tile efficiency match rate, are gray. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.
Placements164 career games, average placement 2.40
- 1st31.1%51×
- 2nd23.8%39×
- 3rd19.5%32×
- 4th25.6%42×
Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls
Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).
Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand
Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.
Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates
Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)
Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 411 | +8097.5 | +49.4 |
| Deal-ins | 195 | -2768.8 | -16.9 |
| Others' tsumo | 532 | -4073.5 | -24.8 |
| Ron between others | 457 | -385.1 | -2.3 |
| Exhaustive draws | 406 | -2.9 | 0.0 |
Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 11.6% | +996 | +919 | +77 |
| Wins with calls | 6.6% | +385 | +382 | +3 |
| Dama wins | 2.3% | +159 | +173 | -13 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 4.3% | -272 | -360 | +88 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.0% | -209 | -203 | -6 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.4% | -78 | -101 | +23 |
| Others' tsumo | 26.6% | -738 | -752 | +14 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 43.1% | -79 | -60 | -20 |
| Total (per hand) | +163 |
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.40 | 2.44 (2.34 to 2.55) | 53% | 92 | 164 games |
| Points per game | 5.2 | 2.8 (-1.5 to 7.2) | 55% | 96 | 164 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -0.4 | -0.2 (-4.1 to 3.7) | 62% | 45 | 164 games |
| 1st-place rate | 31.1% | 28.4% (24.2% to 32.7%) | 56% | 100 | 164 games |
| 4th-place rate | 25.6% | 25.3% (21.0% to 29.6%) | 58% | 43 | 164 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 20.5% | 20.4% (19.1% to 21.6%) | 72% | 72 | 2,001 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 9.7% | 10.1% (9.2% to 11.1%) | 68% | 94 | 2,001 hands |
| Riichi rate | 24.8% | 24.3% (23.0% to 25.6%) | 73% | 94 | 2,001 hands |
| Call rate | 23.2% | 23.2% (21.7% to 24.7%) | 97% | 56 | 2,001 hands |
| First riichi rate | 76.5% | 76.2% (73.9% to 78.6%) | 52% | 62 | 497 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.26 | 9.28 (9.07 to 9.48) | 74% | 60 | 497 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,686 | 6,650 (6,357 to 6,943) | 62% | 58 | 411 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,288 | 5,491 (5,172 to 5,811) | 40% | 86 | 195 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,540 | 1,487 (1,410 to 1,563) | 19% | 84 | 2,001 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 535 | 591 (532 to 650) | 47% | 98 | 2,001 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,005 | 921 (801 to 1,041) | 50% | 96 | 2,001 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 39.9% | 40.2% (36.7% to 43.7%) | 67% | 37 | 361 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 23.3% | 23.7% (20.5% to 27.0%) | 81% | 23 | 399 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 23.5% | 23.8% (20.7% to 26.9%) | 88% | 31 | 463 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.29 | 12.37 (12.25 to 12.49) | 9% | 74 | 411 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 37.9% | 38.6% (35.2% to 41.9%) | 69% | 27 | 406 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 12.5% | 13.6% (12.4% to 14.7%) | 34% | 13 | 1,028 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 71.9% | 71.9% (71.3% to 72.6%) | 97% | 31 | 10,861 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.11 | 1.11 (1.06 to 1.15) | 95% | 66 | 10,460 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.0% | 2.0% (1.8% to 2.2%) | 92% | 54 | 10,861 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.37 | 8.21 (8.12 to 8.30) | 22% | 94 | 471 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 73.5% | 73.2% (70.1% to 76.2%) | 81% | 68 | 471 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 11.2% | 11.5% (8.9% to 14.0%) | 87% | 35 | 411 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,650 | 2,638 (2,234 to 3,043) | 57% | 47 | 497 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 46.7% | 46.5% (43.3% to 49.7%) | 74% | 66 | 497 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 12.9% | 14.1% (12.7% to 15.5%) | 16% | 88 | 497 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 9.9% | 10.6% (9.1% to 12.2%) | 35% | 84 | 497 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 46.7% | 47.8% (44.9% to 50.8%) | 62% | 19 | 497 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 17.7% | 18.2% (15.8% to 20.6%) | 67% | 27 | 497 riichi |
| Call income | 579 | 527 (277 to 777) | 44% | 70 | 464 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 28.7% | 29.1% (26.2% to 31.9%) | 64% | 35 | 464 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 10.6% | 10.9% (8.9% to 12.9%) | 64% | 72 | 464 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.02 | 86 | 2,001 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.01 | 76 | 2,001 hands |
| Draw luck | +0.4% | 92 | 24,618 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.03 | 15 | 232 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -2.1% | 21 | 232 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | -2.0% | 23 | 380 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 12.8% | 35 | 532 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +5.6 | 98 | 164 games |
By seasonRegular Season
2026-27 (14 games · skill estimate -0.6pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 28 | +609.2 | +43.5 |
| Deal-ins | 18 | -231.4 | -16.5 |
| Others' tsumo | 44 | -417.0 | -29.8 |
| Ron between others | 27 | -3.8 | -0.3 |
| Exhaustive draws | 39 | -45.8 | -3.3 |
Luck
Every number for 2026-27
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.64 | 2.51 (2.29 to 2.73) | 9% | 29 | 14 games |
| Points per game | -6.4 | -0.6 (-9.7 to 8.5) | 9% | 30 | 14 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -2.0 | -0.3 (-8.8 to 8.3) | 12% | 57 | 14 games |
| 1st-place rate | 21.4% | 24.7% (15.8% to 33.6%) | 10% | 53 | 14 games |
| 4th-place rate | 42.9% | 26.8% (17.7% to 35.8%) | 10% | 4 | 14 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 17.9% | 19.6% (16.7% to 22.6%) | 16% | 36 | 156 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 11.5% | 11.0% (8.8% to 13.2%) | 14% | 36 | 156 hands |
| Riichi rate | 26.9% | 23.5% (20.4% to 26.6%) | 17% | 89 | 156 hands |
| Call rate | 21.8% | 22.1% (17.5% to 26.8%) | 70% | 22 | 156 hands |
| First riichi rate | 71.4% | 75.6% (70.8% to 80.4%) | 9% | 33 | 42 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.40 | 9.35 (8.87 to 9.83) | 20% | 41 | 42 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,154 | 6,546 (5,881 to 7,210) | 10% | 52 | 28 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 4,983 | 5,589 (5,003 to 6,175) | 6% | 73 | 18 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,341 | 1,472 (1,363 to 1,581) | 2% | 46 | 156 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 588 | 636 (518 to 753) | 6% | 57 | 156 hands |
| Net efficiency | 753 | 829 (584 to 1,074) | 7% | 46 | 156 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 41.9% | 41.0% (33.2% to 48.7%) | 15% | 46 | 31 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 28.9% | 26.6% (19.1% to 34.0%) | 30% | 68 | 38 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 26.5% | 25.9% (17.7% to 34.1%) | 36% | 65 | 34 first calls |
| Average win turn | 13.29 | 12.39 (12.23 to 12.54) | 1% | 6 | 28 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 30.8% | 38.4% (31.1% to 45.7%) | 18% | 14 | 39 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 12.5% | 14.0% (12.0% to 16.0%) | 4% | 36 | 88 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 70.6% | 71.2% (69.1% to 73.4%) | 71% | 17 | 819 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.17 | 1.13 (1.00 to 1.25) | 57% | 92 | 786 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.6% | 1.8% (1.2% to 2.4%) | 46% | 28 | 819 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.21 | 8.17 (8.04 to 8.30) | 2% | 65 | 42 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 72.6% | 71.9% (64.7% to 79.1%) | 27% | 55 | 42 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 17.9% | 14.7% (7.9% to 21.6%) | 31% | 89 | 28 wins |
| Riichi income | 1,657 | 2,525 (1,670 to 3,380) | 10% | 25 | 42 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 35.7% | 44.0% (36.7% to 51.4%) | 19% | 17 | 42 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 16.7% | 14.4% (12.4% to 16.3%) | 2% | 33 | 42 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 14.3% | 11.2% (8.5% to 13.9%) | 4% | 22 | 42 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 47.6% | 49.5% (43.1% to 55.9%) | 12% | 38 | 42 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 26.2% | 20.3% (14.9% to 25.7%) | 15% | 81 | 42 riichi |
| Call income | -709 | 422 (-67.13 to 911) | 5% | 6 | 34 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 23.5% | 29.1% (22.7% to 35.5%) | 12% | 30 | 34 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 20.6% | 12.6% (8.1% to 17.1%) | 12% | 6 | 34 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | -0.01 | 36 | 156 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.08 | 89 | 156 hands |
| Draw luck | -0.8% | 14 | 2,002 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.14 | 17 | 15 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | +0.3% | 52 | 15 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | -4.7% | 30 | 30 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 15.9% | 20 | 44 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -4.3 | 28 | 14 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 9.6% | +928 | +919 | +9 |
| Wins with calls | 5.1% | +228 | +382 | -155 |
| Dama wins | 3.2% | +185 | +173 | +12 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 5.1% | -238 | -360 | +122 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 5.1% | -167 | -203 | +36 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.3% | -222 | -101 | -121 |
| Others' tsumo | 28.2% | -810 | -752 | -58 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 42.3% | -154 | -60 | -94 |
| Total (per hand) | -250 |
2025-26 (30 games · skill estimate 0.6pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 79 | +1417.7 | +47.3 |
| Deal-ins | 32 | -414.2 | -13.8 |
| Others' tsumo | 99 | -806.6 | -26.9 |
| Ron between others | 93 | -127.3 | -4.2 |
| Exhaustive draws | 71 | +31.0 | +1.0 |
Luck
Every number for 2025-26
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.47 | 2.49 (2.30 to 2.68) | 17% | 57 | 30 games |
| Points per game | 3.0 | 0.6 (-7.2 to 8.3) | 18% | 57 | 30 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -0.2 | -0.0 (-7.0 to 7.0) | 23% | 52 | 30 games |
| 1st-place rate | 26.7% | 25.4% (17.9% to 32.9%) | 19% | 54 | 30 games |
| 4th-place rate | 26.7% | 25.3% (17.7% to 32.9%) | 20% | 44 | 30 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 21.1% | 20.3% (18.1% to 22.6%) | 32% | 54 | 374 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 8.6% | 10.2% (8.6% to 11.9%) | 29% | 97 | 374 hands |
| Riichi rate | 25.4% | 23.6% (21.3% to 26.0%) | 34% | 80 | 374 hands |
| Call rate | 25.1% | 24.8% (21.5% to 28.1%) | 85% | 49 | 374 hands |
| First riichi rate | 73.7% | 75.6% (71.5% to 79.7%) | 17% | 37 | 95 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 8.96 | 9.20 (8.84 to 9.56) | 36% | 77 | 95 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,320 | 6,525 (6,011 to 7,039) | 24% | 39 | 79 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 4,775 | 5,542 (5,004 to 6,081) | 10% | 85 | 32 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,481 | 1,474 (1,373 to 1,576) | 4% | 44 | 374 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 432 | 610 (509 to 711) | 14% | 92 | 374 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,049 | 869 (661 to 1,077) | 16% | 80 | 374 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 40.6% | 40.8% (34.5% to 47.1%) | 26% | 49 | 64 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 22.7% | 24.2% (18.4% to 30.1%) | 45% | 29 | 75 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 23.4% | 24.3% (18.5% to 30.1%) | 60% | 57 | 94 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.06 | 12.37 (12.23 to 12.52) | 2% | 75 | 79 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 39.4% | 39.9% (33.8% to 45.9%) | 28% | 39 | 71 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 13.4% | 14.0% (12.2% to 15.8%) | 9% | 34 | 194 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 73.1% | 73.1% (71.6% to 74.6%) | 86% | 31 | 2,018 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.14 | 1.12 (1.03 to 1.21) | 77% | 87 | 1,949 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.6% | 1.8% (1.3% to 2.2%) | 68% | 31 | 2,018 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.29 | 8.17 (8.05 to 8.30) | 5% | 100 | 90 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 80.3% | 75.5% (70.0% to 81.0%) | 45% | 96 | 90 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 7.6% | 10.1% (5.3% to 14.9%) | 56% | 29 | 79 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,703 | 2,639 (1,931 to 3,347) | 20% | 54 | 95 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 48.4% | 46.9% (41.3% to 52.4%) | 35% | 54 | 95 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 8.4% | 14.1% (12.3% to 16.0%) | 4% | 97 | 95 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 8.4% | 10.8% (8.4% to 13.2%) | 9% | 87 | 95 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 38.9% | 47.1% (42.0% to 52.3%) | 24% | 4 | 95 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 15.8% | 18.3% (14.1% to 22.5%) | 28% | 34 | 95 riichi |
| Call income | 652 | 509 (94.71 to 924) | 14% | 64 | 94 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 28.7% | 29.5% (24.6% to 34.4%) | 27% | 44 | 94 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 9.6% | 11.0% (7.6% to 14.4%) | 27% | 70 | 94 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.03 | 72 | 374 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.05 | 92 | 374 hands |
| Draw luck | +0.6% | 80 | 4,517 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.07 | 24 | 46 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -4.5% | 29 | 46 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | +5.3% | 84 | 70 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 15.2% | 14 | 99 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +3.2 | 75 | 30 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 12.3% | +991 | +919 | +72 |
| Wins with calls | 7.2% | +407 | +382 | +25 |
| Dama wins | 1.6% | +83 | +173 | -90 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 3.5% | -202 | -360 | +158 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.0% | -203 | -203 | -0 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.1% | -48 | -101 | +52 |
| Others' tsumo | 26.5% | -811 | -752 | -58 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 43.9% | -59 | -60 | +1 |
| Total (per hand) | +158 |
2024-25 (23 games · skill estimate 0.6pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 67 | +1264.8 | +55.0 |
| Deal-ins | 34 | -425.7 | -18.5 |
| Others' tsumo | 83 | -688.9 | -30.0 |
| Ron between others | 59 | -11.9 | -0.5 |
| Exhaustive draws | 55 | -38.7 | -1.7 |
Luck
Every number for 2024-25
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.43 | 2.49 (2.29 to 2.69) | 14% | 55 | 23 games |
| Points per game | 4.3 | 0.6 (-7.6 to 8.8) | 15% | 60 | 23 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -1.2 | -0.2 (-7.8 to 7.3) | 19% | 52 | 23 games |
| 1st-place rate | 30.4% | 25.9% (17.8% to 33.9%) | 15% | 66 | 23 games |
| 4th-place rate | 30.4% | 25.8% (17.6% to 33.9%) | 16% | 36 | 23 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 22.5% | 20.7% (18.3% to 23.1%) | 27% | 75 | 298 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 11.4% | 11.0% (9.2% to 12.9%) | 24% | 46 | 298 hands |
| Riichi rate | 26.5% | 23.8% (21.3% to 26.4%) | 29% | 92 | 298 hands |
| Call rate | 25.5% | 25.0% (21.4% to 28.7%) | 82% | 52 | 298 hands |
| First riichi rate | 73.4% | 75.6% (71.4% to 79.9%) | 15% | 32 | 79 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.32 | 9.33 (8.94 to 9.72) | 32% | 43 | 79 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,325 | 6,534 (5,992 to 7,075) | 21% | 52 | 67 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,074 | 5,569 (5,036 to 6,101) | 10% | 63 | 34 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,603 | 1,478 (1,374 to 1,582) | 3% | 77 | 298 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 607 | 635 (529 to 741) | 11% | 52 | 298 hands |
| Net efficiency | 996 | 856 (638 to 1,075) | 13% | 75 | 298 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 52.0% | 43.2% (36.4% to 50.1%) | 22% | 86 | 50 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 17.8% | 23.0% (16.0% to 30.0%) | 33% | 12 | 45 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 21.1% | 23.1% (16.9% to 29.4%) | 55% | 35 | 76 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.26 | 12.38 (12.23 to 12.52) | 2% | 60 | 67 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 36.4% | 39.2% (32.5% to 45.8%) | 23% | 18 | 55 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 14.6% | 14.1% (12.2% to 16.0%) | 7% | 58 | 144 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 75.2% | 74.8% (73.1% to 76.5%) | 82% | 69 | 1,559 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 0.93 | 0.97 (0.87 to 1.07) | 72% | 32 | 1,519 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.2% | 2.2% (1.7% to 2.6%) | 62% | 63 | 1,559 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.06 | 8.16 (8.04 to 8.29) | 4% | 43 | 71 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 70.9% | 71.4% (65.4% to 77.3%) | 39% | 49 | 71 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 10.4% | 11.8% (6.8% to 16.9%) | 52% | 52 | 67 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,625 | 2,623 (1,878 to 3,368) | 18% | 60 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 51.9% | 47.8% (41.9% to 53.8%) | 31% | 86 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 15.2% | 14.3% (12.5% to 16.2%) | 3% | 38 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 11.4% | 11.1% (8.6% to 13.6%) | 8% | 52 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 55.7% | 51.0% (45.5% to 56.5%) | 21% | 83 | 79 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 12.7% | 17.6% (13.1% to 22.1%) | 25% | 21 | 79 riichi |
| Call income | 305 | 466 (33.12 to 899) | 11% | 38 | 76 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 25.0% | 28.7% (23.5% to 33.9%) | 23% | 18 | 76 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 14.5% | 12.2% (8.5% to 15.8%) | 23% | 26 | 76 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | -0.04 | 35 | 298 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | -0.07 | 7 | 298 hands |
| Draw luck | +1.1% | 94 | 3,573 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.10 | 12 | 41 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -0.2% | 63 | 41 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | +6.4% | 97 | 58 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 13.3% | 29 | 83 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +5.5 | 89 | 23 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 13.8% | +1,117 | +919 | +198 |
| Wins with calls | 6.4% | +349 | +382 | -34 |
| Dama wins | 2.3% | +137 | +173 | -36 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 5.4% | -301 | -360 | +59 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 3.7% | -231 | -203 | -27 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 2.3% | -106 | -101 | -5 |
| Others' tsumo | 27.9% | -746 | -752 | +7 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 38.3% | -77 | -60 | -17 |
| Total (per hand) | +143 |
2023-24 (20 games · skill estimate 1.4pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 48 | +901.1 | +45.1 |
| Deal-ins | 14 | -200.8 | -10.0 |
| Others' tsumo | 57 | -380.8 | -19.0 |
| Ron between others | 64 | -86.0 | -4.3 |
| Exhaustive draws | 46 | -11.2 | -0.6 |
Luck
Every number for 2023-24
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.25 | 2.47 (2.26 to 2.67) | 12% | 86 | 20 games |
| Points per game | 10.8 | 1.4 (-7.1 to 9.9) | 13% | 89 | 20 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | 4.9 | 0.8 (-7.0 to 8.7) | 17% | 63 | 20 games |
| 1st-place rate | 30.0% | 25.7% (17.4% to 34.0%) | 13% | 66 | 20 games |
| 4th-place rate | 10.0% | 22.8% (14.4% to 31.2%) | 14% | 94 | 20 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 21.0% | 20.2% (17.6% to 22.8%) | 22% | 66 | 229 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 6.1% | 10.0% (8.0% to 12.0%) | 20% | 100 | 229 hands |
| Riichi rate | 19.2% | 21.9% (19.1% to 24.7%) | 24% | 9 | 229 hands |
| Call rate | 22.3% | 22.4% (18.4% to 26.5%) | 78% | 41 | 229 hands |
| First riichi rate | 79.5% | 76.3% (71.6% to 81.1%) | 9% | 69 | 44 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.34 | 9.34 (8.86 to 9.81) | 21% | 49 | 44 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,331 | 6,548 (5,955 to 7,141) | 16% | 38 | 48 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,186 | 5,606 (5,003 to 6,209) | 5% | 69 | 14 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,476 | 1,474 (1,368 to 1,580) | 3% | 46 | 229 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 325 | 610 (500 to 721) | 9% | 100 | 229 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,152 | 868 (638 to 1,098) | 10% | 86 | 229 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 45.5% | 41.5% (33.9% to 49.2%) | 15% | 58 | 33 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 27.1% | 26.2% (19.8% to 32.5%) | 39% | 52 | 59 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 19.6% | 22.9% (15.8% to 30.0%) | 45% | 26 | 51 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.68 | 12.38 (12.23 to 12.53) | 1% | 26 | 48 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 28.3% | 37.6% (30.6% to 44.6%) | 20% | 9 | 46 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 11.7% | 13.9% (12.0% to 15.9%) | 6% | 29 | 120 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 71.4% | 71.7% (69.8% to 73.6%) | 78% | 24 | 1,171 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.10 | 1.08 (0.97 to 1.20) | 65% | 75 | 1,126 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.2% | 2.1% (1.6% to 2.6%) | 55% | 66 | 1,171 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.26 | 8.17 (8.04 to 8.30) | 3% | 72 | 43 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 67.9% | 70.6% (63.5% to 77.7%) | 28% | 41 | 43 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 14.6% | 13.9% (8.2% to 19.5%) | 44% | 75 | 48 wins |
| Riichi income | 3,755 | 2,743 (1,895 to 3,590) | 11% | 89 | 44 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 56.8% | 48.2% (40.9% to 55.4%) | 20% | 93 | 44 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 4.5% | 14.2% (12.2% to 16.1%) | 2% | 97 | 44 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 2.3% | 10.6% (7.9% to 13.3%) | 5% | 94 | 44 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 50.0% | 49.8% (43.4% to 56.1%) | 13% | 49 | 44 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 11.4% | 18.0% (12.7% to 23.4%) | 15% | 12 | 44 riichi |
| Call income | 1,135 | 538 (74.33 to 1,001) | 8% | 92 | 51 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 31.4% | 30.1% (24.2% to 35.9%) | 17% | 60 | 51 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 7.8% | 10.9% (6.8% to 15.0%) | 17% | 83 | 51 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.07 | 92 | 229 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | -0.01 | 52 | 229 hands |
| Draw luck | -0.9% | 18 | 2,717 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | +0.23 | 100 | 25 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -7.7% | 14 | 25 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | -6.1% | 24 | 35 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 8.8% | 92 | 57 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +5.9 | 94 | 20 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 10.9% | +862 | +919 | -57 |
| Wins with calls | 7.0% | +429 | +382 | +47 |
| Dama wins | 3.1% | +185 | +173 | +12 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 3.1% | -160 | -360 | +200 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 2.2% | -134 | -203 | +69 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 0.9% | -35 | -101 | +65 |
| Others' tsumo | 24.9% | -596 | -752 | +157 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 48.0% | -135 | -60 | -76 |
| Total (per hand) | +416 |
2022-23 (24 games · skill estimate 2.0pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 58 | +1301.8 | +54.2 |
| Deal-ins | 29 | -454.0 | -18.9 |
| Others' tsumo | 77 | -545.2 | -22.7 |
| Ron between others | 60 | -48.9 | -2.0 |
| Exhaustive draws | 64 | +62.5 | +2.6 |
Luck
Every number for 2022-23
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.21 | 2.46 (2.26 to 2.65) | 14% | 94 | 24 games |
| Points per game | 13.3 | 2.0 (-6.1 to 10.2) | 15% | 100 | 24 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | 3.5 | 0.7 (-6.8 to 8.2) | 20% | 68 | 24 games |
| 1st-place rate | 37.5% | 27.0% (19.1% to 35.0%) | 16% | 90 | 24 games |
| 4th-place rate | 16.7% | 23.5% (15.5% to 31.6%) | 17% | 86 | 24 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 20.1% | 20.0% (17.6% to 22.5%) | 27% | 55 | 288 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 10.1% | 10.7% (8.9% to 12.6%) | 23% | 58 | 288 hands |
| Riichi rate | 23.3% | 22.9% (20.3% to 25.5%) | 28% | 62 | 288 hands |
| Call rate | 19.1% | 19.8% (16.1% to 23.5%) | 81% | 33 | 288 hands |
| First riichi rate | 83.6% | 77.0% (72.6% to 81.4%) | 13% | 94 | 67 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.36 | 9.34 (8.93 to 9.76) | 28% | 52 | 67 riichi |
| Average win value | 7,486 | 6,760 (6,196 to 7,325) | 19% | 94 | 58 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,338 | 5,600 (5,052 to 6,148) | 9% | 65 | 29 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,674 | 1,481 (1,376 to 1,585) | 3% | 81 | 288 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 560 | 630 (524 to 736) | 11% | 65 | 288 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,114 | 871 (650 to 1,091) | 13% | 84 | 288 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 34.4% | 39.2% (32.8% to 45.5%) | 26% | 30 | 64 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 21.2% | 23.9% (17.3% to 30.6%) | 36% | 20 | 52 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 29.1% | 27.3% (20.3% to 34.2%) | 47% | 52 | 55 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.54 | 12.38 (12.23 to 12.53) | 1% | 46 | 58 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 51.6% | 43.1% (36.8% to 49.4%) | 26% | 97 | 64 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 14.4% | 14.1% (12.2% to 16.0%) | 7% | 71 | 146 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 71.7% | 71.9% (70.3% to 73.6%) | 83% | 43 | 1,620 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.14 | 1.12 (1.02 to 1.22) | 72% | 68 | 1,552 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.7% | 1.8% (1.4% to 2.3%) | 63% | 33 | 1,620 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.55 | 8.18 (8.05 to 8.31) | 4% | 94 | 67 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 61.5% | 67.8% (61.8% to 73.9%) | 38% | 7 | 67 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 19.0% | 16.1% (10.8% to 21.4%) | 48% | 78 | 58 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,767 | 2,645 (1,869 to 3,421) | 15% | 58 | 67 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 38.8% | 44.0% (37.7% to 50.3%) | 28% | 17 | 67 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 16.4% | 14.4% (12.5% to 16.3%) | 3% | 14 | 67 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 7.5% | 10.8% (8.2% to 13.4%) | 7% | 74 | 67 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 52.2% | 50.2% (44.5% to 55.9%) | 18% | 65 | 67 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 29.9% | 21.6% (16.8% to 26.3%) | 22% | 100 | 67 riichi |
| Call income | 1,316 | 557 (98.64 to 1,015) | 8% | 87 | 55 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 38.2% | 31.3% (25.5% to 37.0%) | 18% | 90 | 55 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 5.5% | 10.4% (6.4% to 14.5%) | 18% | 84 | 55 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.04 | 68 | 288 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.06 | 97 | 288 hands |
| Draw luck | +1.0% | 94 | 3,625 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | +0.06 | 71 | 26 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -4.4% | 36 | 26 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | -8.6% | 4 | 56 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 7.8% | 94 | 77 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +9.9 | 97 | 24 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 9.0% | +922 | +919 | +3 |
| Wins with calls | 7.3% | +405 | +382 | +23 |
| Dama wins | 3.8% | +348 | +173 | +175 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 4.5% | -330 | -360 | +30 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.2% | -194 | -203 | +9 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.4% | -54 | -101 | +47 |
| Others' tsumo | 26.7% | -686 | -752 | +66 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 43.1% | +7 | -60 | +67 |
| Total (per hand) | +417 |
2021-22 (21 games · skill estimate 1.7pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 59 | +1092.9 | +52.0 |
| Deal-ins | 27 | -381.2 | -18.2 |
| Others' tsumo | 65 | -443.6 | -21.1 |
| Ron between others | 56 | -14.0 | -0.7 |
| Exhaustive draws | 54 | +11.6 | +0.6 |
Luck
Every number for 2021-22
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.29 | 2.47 (2.27 to 2.67) | 13% | 78 | 21 games |
| Points per game | 12.8 | 1.7 (-6.7 to 10.1) | 13% | 90 | 21 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -3.2 | -0.6 (-8.3 to 7.2) | 18% | 43 | 21 games |
| 1st-place rate | 38.1% | 26.9% (18.7% to 35.1%) | 14% | 94 | 21 games |
| 4th-place rate | 23.8% | 24.7% (16.4% to 33.1%) | 15% | 63 | 21 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 22.6% | 20.6% (18.1% to 23.1%) | 25% | 81 | 261 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 10.3% | 10.8% (8.9% to 12.7%) | 22% | 43 | 261 hands |
| Riichi rate | 24.5% | 23.2% (20.5% to 25.9%) | 26% | 74 | 261 hands |
| Call rate | 26.1% | 25.4% (21.6% to 29.3%) | 80% | 90 | 261 hands |
| First riichi rate | 78.1% | 76.3% (71.8% to 80.7%) | 12% | 58 | 64 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.33 | 9.33 (8.91 to 9.75) | 27% | 62 | 64 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,937 | 6,657 (6,095 to 7,219) | 19% | 78 | 59 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 5,156 | 5,586 (5,032 to 6,140) | 8% | 81 | 27 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,746 | 1,482 (1,377 to 1,587) | 3% | 87 | 261 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 553 | 630 (522 to 738) | 10% | 74 | 261 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,193 | 877 (652 to 1,102) | 12% | 90 | 261 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 33.3% | 39.5% (32.2% to 46.8%) | 18% | 33 | 39 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 19.6% | 23.4% (16.7% to 30.1%) | 36% | 30 | 51 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 22.4% | 23.9% (17.4% to 30.5%) | 52% | 17 | 67 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.10 | 12.38 (12.23 to 12.52) | 1% | 97 | 59 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 37.0% | 39.3% (32.7% to 46.0%) | 23% | 43 | 54 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 13.0% | 14.0% (12.1% to 16.0%) | 6% | 46 | 123 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 68.7% | 69.5% (67.8% to 71.2%) | 81% | 11 | 1,457 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 1.20 | 1.16 (1.05 to 1.26) | 70% | 87 | 1,383 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.2% | 2.1% (1.6% to 2.6%) | 60% | 55 | 1,457 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.36 | 8.17 (8.05 to 8.30) | 4% | 58 | 63 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 76.4% | 73.4% (67.1% to 79.6%) | 36% | 84 | 63 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 8.5% | 11.0% (5.7% to 16.2%) | 49% | 17 | 59 wins |
| Riichi income | 3,461 | 2,746 (1,962 to 3,531) | 15% | 71 | 64 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 54.7% | 48.3% (41.9% to 54.8%) | 27% | 84 | 64 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 14.1% | 14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%) | 2% | 39 | 64 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 10.9% | 11.0% (8.5% to 13.6%) | 7% | 36 | 64 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 40.6% | 48.1% (42.3% to 53.9%) | 18% | 11 | 64 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 12.5% | 17.8% (13.0% to 22.6%) | 21% | 7 | 64 riichi |
| Call income | 793 | 518 (75.93 to 960) | 10% | 78 | 68 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 27.9% | 29.4% (24.0% to 34.8%) | 21% | 43 | 68 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 7.4% | 10.6% (6.9% to 14.4%) | 21% | 87 | 68 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.00 | 49 | 261 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.01 | 49 | 261 hands |
| Draw luck | +1.0% | 90 | 3,255 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.01 | 49 | 35 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -5.5% | 11 | 35 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | +3.4% | 68 | 50 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 10.8% | 62 | 65 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +16.0 | 100 | 21 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 13.4% | +1,158 | +919 | +239 |
| Wins with calls | 7.3% | +427 | +382 | +45 |
| Dama wins | 1.9% | +161 | +173 | -12 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 5.0% | -305 | -360 | +55 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 5.0% | -244 | -203 | -41 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 0.4% | -31 | -101 | +70 |
| Others' tsumo | 24.9% | -636 | -752 | +117 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 42.1% | -61 | -60 | -2 |
| Total (per hand) | +469 |
Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first
- Takaki AsaiFormer M.League playerIn common: Few deal-ins
- Yoshihiro MatsumotoShibuya ABEMAS
- Takaya MatsugaseFormer M.League playerIn common: Few deal-ins
* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics supported more strongly by the data receive more weight. The comparison shows how similar the players' styles are, not which is better. Differences are often small, so the order may change.