Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.
Player · 119 career games · 2018-19–2026-27
Koshin Asakura
Uses calls a lot to move hands along. Stands out for being tenpai at draws, few deal-ins and riichi-ing as soon as tenpai. Career record: -3.2pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.
Few deal-ins
Early riichi
Immediate riichi
Actual / game
-3.2
119 career games
Skill estimate / game
-1.5
90% interval -6.4 to +3.3
Estimate, luck removed
+0.3
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
47%
share of the estimate from the record
Styleleague percentile, career
Average win value216,395
Riichi rate4522.6%
Deal-in rate9610.1%
Win rate3119.4%
First riichi rate10079.0%
Average riichi turn849.18
Call rate7226.0%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws9844.9%
Staying in vs riichi3713.9%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)1538.4%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)3924.5%
Tile efficiency match rate4972.8%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)158.15
Immediate riichi rate9678.4%
Dama rate2110.1%
Color only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and tile efficiency match rate, are gray. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.
Placements119 career games, average placement 2.56
Average placement2.56
1st20.2%24×
2nd28.6%34×
3rd26.1%31×
4th25.2%30×
Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls
Riichi income212,491
Riichi win rate2144.2%
Riichi deal-in rate A8214.1%
Riichi deal-in rate B8810.5%
Riichi good-wait rate8651.4%
Riichi exhaustive draw rate9622.4%
Call income52492
Win rate after calling4129.3%
Deal-in rate after calling1009.5%
Tenpai rate after the first call2323.0%
Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).
Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand
Net efficiency23800
Deal-in loss82619
Average win turn8412.37
Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.
Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates
Points per game21-1.5
Points per game, luck removed520.3
Average placement272.53
Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)
Points from luck (/game)5-3.8
Draw luck19-0.2%
Starting hand (shanten)62+0.01
Dora and red fives dealt43-0.00
Ura-dora luck3-0.09
Ippatsu rate15-2.6%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)19-2.5%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate314.9%
Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages
Own wins+43.0
Deal-ins-19.2
Others' tsumo-25.8
Ron between others-2.2
Exhaustive draws+1.0
Change in expected points per game. Total -3.2pt/game (119 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
286
+5114.6
+43.0
Deal-ins
142
-2285.3
-19.2
Others' tsumo
403
-3072.9
-25.8
Ron between others
328
-258.3
-2.2
Exhaustive draws
333
+120.8
+1.0
Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
9.8%
+810
+919
-109
Wins with calls
7.6%
+400
+382
+17
Dama wins
1.8%
+133
+173
-40
Deal-ins to riichi
4.6%
-346
-360
+14
Deal-ins to open hands
3.0%
-158
-203
+45
Deal-ins to dama
1.9%
-105
-101
-4
Others' tsumo
27.0%
-771
-752
-18
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
44.3%
-27
-60
+33
Total (per hand)
-64
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.56
2.53 (2.41 to 2.65)
45%
27
119 games
Points per game
-3.2
-1.5 (-6.4 to 3.3)
47%
21
119 games
Points per game, luck removed
0.6
0.3 (-4.0 to 4.7)
55%
52
119 games
1st-place rate
20.2%
22.7% (18.0% to 27.4%)
48%
9
119 games
4th-place rate
25.2%
25.1% (20.3% to 29.8%)
50%
52
119 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
19.2%
19.4% (18.1% to 20.8%)
65%
31
1,492 hands
Deal-in rate
9.5%
10.1% (9.0% to 11.1%)
61%
96
1,492 hands
Riichi rate
22.6%
22.6% (21.2% to 24.1%)
67%
45
1,492 hands
Call rate
26.1%
26.0% (24.3% to 27.8%)
96%
72
1,492 hands
First riichi rate
83.1%
79.0% (76.4% to 81.7%)
43%
100
337 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.10
9.18 (8.94 to 9.42)
66%
84
337 riichi
Average win value
6,226
6,395 (6,065 to 6,725)
54%
21
286 wins
Average deal-in value
5,949
5,731 (5,373 to 6,089)
33%
15
142 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,342
1,455 (1,373 to 1,537)
15%
9
1,492 hands
Deal-in loss
588
619 (554 to 684)
39%
82
1,492 hands
Net efficiency
754
800 (668 to 933)
43%
23
1,492 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
36.7%
38.4% (34.5% to 42.4%)
58%
15
248 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
24.1%
24.5% (20.7% to 28.2%)
75%
39
278 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
22.6%
23.0% (19.6% to 26.4%)
86%
23
390 first calls
Average win turn
12.18
12.37 (12.24 to 12.50)
7%
84
286 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
47.4%
44.9% (41.3% to 48.4%)
65%
98
333 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
13.3%
13.9% (12.5% to 15.2%)
27%
37
745 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
72.8%
72.8% (72.0% to 73.6%)
96%
49
7,970 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
1.02
1.02 (0.97 to 1.07)
93%
41
7,661 discards
Breaking shape for value
2.1%
2.1% (1.8% to 2.3%)
89%
64
7,970 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.03
8.15 (8.05 to 8.25)
16%
15
318 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
80.7%
78.4% (74.8% to 81.9%)
74%
96
318 tenpai hands
Dama rate
9.4%
10.1% (7.1% to 13.1%)
82%
21
286 wins
Riichi income
2,346
2,491 (2,032 to 2,950)
48%
21
337 riichi
Riichi win rate
43.3%
44.2% (40.6% to 47.9%)
66%
21
337 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
12.5%
14.1% (12.6% to 15.7%)
11%
82
337 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
9.2%
10.5% (8.8% to 12.3%)
27%
88
337 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
52.8%
51.4% (48.0% to 54.7%)
53%
86
337 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
24.6%
22.4% (19.7% to 25.1%)
58%
96
337 riichi
Call income
502
492 (227 to 758)
40%
52
390 calls
Win rate after calling
29.0%
29.3% (26.3% to 32.3%)
60%
41
390 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
8.2%
9.5% (7.4% to 11.6%)
60%
100
390 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.01
62
1,492 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
-0.00
43
1,492 hands
Draw luck
-0.2%
19
18,310 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
-0.09
3
146 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-2.6%
15
146 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-2.5%
19
280 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
14.9%
3
403 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
-3.8
5
119 games
By seasonRegular Season
2026-27 (13 games · skill estimate -0.8pt/game)
Style
Average win value306,511
Riichi rate3322.6%
Deal-in rate2511.3%
Win rate2519.6%
First riichi rate975.3%
Average riichi turn149.42
Call rate4423.6%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws4940.1%
Staying in vs riichi4114.1%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)3040.5%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)4124.8%
Tile efficiency match rate970.5%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)848.17
Immediate riichi rate2870.4%
Dama rate4911.4%
Where the points came from
Own wins+36.8
Deal-ins-22.4
Others' tsumo-26.8
Ron between others+2.4
Exhaustive draws+0.9
Change in expected points per game. Total -9.1pt/game (13 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
28
+478.5
+36.8
Deal-ins
21
-290.8
-22.4
Others' tsumo
40
-348.0
-26.8
Ron between others
33
+30.9
+2.4
Exhaustive draws
37
+11.2
+0.9
Luck
Points from luck (/game)68+2.6
Draw luck41-0.2%
Starting hand (shanten)73+0.04
Dora and red fives dealt41-0.00
Ura-dora luck28-0.07
Ippatsu rate81+6.9%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)73+3.6%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate3015.0%
Every number for 2026-27
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.62
2.51 (2.28 to 2.73)
8%
42
13 games
Points per game
-9.7
-0.8 (-10.0 to 8.3)
9%
20
13 games
Points per game, luck removed
-12.3
-1.4 (-10.1 to 7.2)
12%
9
13 games
1st-place rate
15.4%
24.2% (15.2% to 33.2%)
9%
28
13 games
4th-place rate
23.1%
24.7% (15.5% to 33.9%)
10%
59
13 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
17.6%
19.6% (16.7% to 22.5%)
17%
25
159 hands
Deal-in rate
13.2%
11.3% (9.1% to 13.4%)
14%
25
159 hands
Riichi rate
22.0%
22.6% (19.5% to 25.7%)
18%
33
159 hands
Call rate
23.9%
23.6% (19.0% to 28.3%)
71%
44
159 hands
First riichi rate
65.7%
75.3% (70.3% to 80.2%)
7%
9
35 riichi
Average riichi turn
9.80
9.42 (8.91 to 9.92)
17%
14
35 riichi
Average win value
5,814
6,511 (5,847 to 7,176)
10%
30
28 wins
Average deal-in value
5,214
5,598 (5,024 to 6,173)
7%
60
21 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,169
1,469 (1,360 to 1,577)
2%
25
159 hands
Deal-in loss
717
644 (527 to 761)
6%
30
159 hands
Net efficiency
452
807 (563 to 1,051)
7%
20
159 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
38.7%
40.5% (32.8% to 48.3%)
15%
30
31 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
23.3%
24.8% (17.7% to 31.9%)
32%
41
43 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
10.5%
19.9% (12.0% to 27.8%)
38%
4
38 first calls
Average win turn
12.23
12.38 (12.23 to 12.53)
1%
57
28 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
40.5%
40.1% (32.7% to 47.5%)
17%
49
37 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
13.8%
14.1% (12.0% to 16.1%)
4%
41
94 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
69.4%
70.5% (68.3% to 72.7%)
70%
9
778 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
1.08
1.07 (0.94 to 1.20)
55%
68
733 discards
Breaking shape for value
2.7%
2.3% (1.7% to 2.9%)
45%
79
778 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
8.39
8.17 (8.04 to 8.31)
2%
84
32 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
65.9%
70.4% (62.5% to 78.2%)
22%
28
32 tenpai hands
Dama rate
7.1%
11.4% (4.6% to 18.3%)
31%
49
28 wins
Riichi income
2,669
2,627 (1,745 to 3,508)
9%
60
35 riichi
Riichi win rate
42.9%
45.5% (37.8% to 53.2%)
17%
44
35 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
17.1%
14.4% (12.4% to 16.3%)
1%
29
35 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
11.4%
11.1% (8.3% to 13.8%)
4%
44
35 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
51.4%
49.9% (43.3% to 56.6%)
10%
63
35 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
22.9%
19.7% (14.1% to 25.3%)
13%
60
35 riichi
Call income
321
477 (-5.91 to 959)
6%
46
38 calls
Win rate after calling
28.9%
29.7% (23.4% to 36.0%)
13%
52
38 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
13.2%
11.7% (7.4% to 16.1%)
13%
33
38 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.04
73
159 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
-0.00
41
159 hands
Draw luck
-0.2%
41
1,935 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
-0.07
28
15 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
+6.9%
81
15 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
+3.6%
73
23 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
15.0%
30
40 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+2.6
68
13 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
9.4%
+815
+919
-104
Wins with calls
6.9%
+256
+382
-126
Dama wins
1.3%
+97
+173
-75
Deal-ins to riichi
6.3%
-405
-360
-45
Deal-ins to open hands
4.4%
-248
-203
-45
Deal-ins to dama
2.5%
-89
-101
+12
Others' tsumo
25.2%
-763
-752
-10
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
44.0%
-53
-60
+6
Total (per hand)
-390
2021-22 (23 games · skill estimate 0.4pt/game)
Style
Average win value206,514
Riichi rate6523.0%
Deal-in rate7810.6%
Win rate8420.7%
First riichi rate10077.9%
Average riichi turn1009.12
Call rate8425.1%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws9042.1%
Staying in vs riichi4314.0%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)3940.1%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)3323.5%
Tile efficiency match rate6872.7%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)18.15
Immediate riichi rate9775.6%
Dama rate2011.1%
Where the points came from
Own wins+47.1
Deal-ins-21.1
Others' tsumo-20.6
Ron between others-2.1
Exhaustive draws-0.4
Change in expected points per game. Total +2.9pt/game (23 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
67
+1083.1
+47.1
Deal-ins
28
-484.5
-21.1
Others' tsumo
78
-473.1
-20.6
Ron between others
57
-48.1
-2.1
Exhaustive draws
67
-10.0
-0.4
Luck
Points from luck (/game)68+0.4
Draw luck52-0.0%
Starting hand (shanten)84+0.04
Dora and red fives dealt46+0.01
Ura-dora luck81+0.10
Ippatsu rate84+9.3%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)27-1.6%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate4612.8%
Every number for 2021-22
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.48
2.49 (2.29 to 2.69)
14%
55
23 games
Points per game
3.0
0.4 (-7.8 to 8.7)
15%
58
23 games
Points per game, luck removed
2.6
0.5 (-7.1 to 8.1)
19%
62
23 games
1st-place rate
26.1%
25.2% (17.2% to 33.3%)
15%
52
23 games
4th-place rate
30.4%
25.8% (17.6% to 33.9%)
16%
30
23 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
22.6%
20.7% (18.3% to 23.1%)
27%
84
297 hands
Deal-in rate
9.4%
10.6% (8.7% to 12.4%)
24%
78
297 hands
Riichi rate
23.6%
23.0% (20.4% to 25.5%)
29%
65
297 hands
Call rate
25.6%
25.1% (21.5% to 28.7%)
82%
84
297 hands
First riichi rate
90.0%
77.9% (73.5% to 82.2%)
13%
100
70 riichi
Average riichi turn
8.59
9.12 (8.71 to 9.52)
29%
100
70 riichi
Average win value
6,234
6,514 (5,973 to 7,056)
21%
20
67 wins
Average deal-in value
6,989
5,744 (5,193 to 6,295)
9%
1
28 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,566
1,477 (1,373 to 1,581)
3%
65
297 hands
Deal-in loss
676
643 (537 to 749)
11%
23
297 hands
Net efficiency
890
842 (624 to 1,061)
13%
49
297 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
36.8%
40.1% (32.8% to 47.5%)
17%
39
38 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
20.0%
23.5% (16.9% to 30.0%)
38%
33
55 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
26.3%
26.0% (19.8% to 32.3%)
55%
43
76 first calls
Average win turn
11.77
12.37 (12.22 to 12.52)
2%
100
67 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
47.8%
42.1% (35.9% to 48.3%)
27%
90
67 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
12.8%
14.0% (12.1% to 15.9%)
6%
43
133 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
72.6%
72.7% (71.0% to 74.3%)
82%
68
1,586 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
1.02
1.03 (0.93 to 1.13)
72%
27
1,533 discards
Breaking shape for value
2.0%
2.0% (1.5% to 2.4%)
62%
43
1,586 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
7.76
8.15 (8.02 to 8.28)
4%
1
66 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
82.2%
75.6% (69.4% to 81.7%)
37%
97
66 tenpai hands
Dama rate
9.0%
11.1% (6.0% to 16.1%)
52%
20
67 wins
Riichi income
2,761
2,645 (1,877 to 3,413)
16%
36
70 riichi
Riichi win rate
44.3%
45.5% (39.3% to 51.8%)
29%
31
70 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
14.3%
14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)
3%
36
70 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
11.4%
11.1% (8.5% to 13.6%)
7%
28
70 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
48.6%
49.5% (43.8% to 55.2%)
19%
43
70 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
24.3%
20.4% (15.7% to 25.1%)
22%
78
70 riichi
Call income
579
497 (64.11 to 930)
11%
62
76 calls
Win rate after calling
39.5%
32.0% (26.8% to 37.3%)
23%
97
76 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
10.5%
11.3% (7.6% to 14.9%)
23%
62
76 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.04
84
297 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.01
46
297 hands
Draw luck
-0.0%
52
3,673 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
+0.10
81
31 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
+9.3%
84
31 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-1.6%
27
63 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
12.8%
46
78 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
+0.4
68
23 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
10.4%
+972
+919
+53
Wins with calls
10.1%
+430
+382
+47
Dama wins
2.0%
+164
+173
-9
Deal-ins to riichi
4.7%
-406
-360
-46
Deal-ins to open hands
3.7%
-229
-203
-25
Deal-ins to dama
1.0%
-69
-101
+32
Others' tsumo
26.3%
-672
-752
+80
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
41.8%
-13
-60
+46
Total (per hand)
+178
2020-21 (19 games · skill estimate -1.9pt/game)
Style
Average win value156,423
Riichi rate5222.6%
Deal-in rate5910.9%
Win rate3219.5%
First riichi rate9076.9%
Average riichi turn839.23
Call rate6222.6%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws10043.5%
Staying in vs riichi4914.0%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)3239.4%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)1522.3%
Tile efficiency match rate9775.2%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)158.16
Immediate riichi rate9375.9%
Dama rate3212.8%
Where the points came from
Own wins+35.6
Deal-ins-20.2
Others' tsumo-27.8
Ron between others-4.0
Exhaustive draws+1.0
Change in expected points per game. Total -15.4pt/game (19 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
42
+677.0
+35.6
Deal-ins
25
-383.7
-20.2
Others' tsumo
65
-528.5
-27.8
Ron between others
61
-75.6
-4.0
Exhaustive draws
43
+18.3
+1.0
Luck
Points from luck (/game)18-4.1
Draw luck62+0.1%
Starting hand (shanten)45-0.01
Dora and red fives dealt4-0.05
Ura-dora luck8-0.20
Ippatsu rate52+0.3%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)8-6.5%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate1516.9%
Every number for 2020-21
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.84
2.54 (2.33 to 2.75)
12%
11
19 games
Points per game
-15.5
-1.9 (-10.5 to 6.7)
12%
4
19 games
Points per game, luck removed
-11.4
-1.8 (-9.8 to 6.1)
16%
18
19 games
1st-place rate
10.5%
23.2% (14.8% to 31.6%)
13%
4
19 games
4th-place rate
31.6%
25.8% (17.3% to 34.3%)
14%
30
19 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
17.8%
19.5% (16.9% to 22.1%)
23%
32
236 hands
Deal-in rate
10.6%
10.9% (8.9% to 12.8%)
20%
59
236 hands
Riichi rate
22.0%
22.6% (19.8% to 25.3%)
24%
52
236 hands
Call rate
22.5%
22.6% (18.6% to 26.6%)
78%
62
236 hands
First riichi rate
84.6%
76.9% (72.3% to 81.5%)
10%
90
52 riichi
Average riichi turn
8.87
9.23 (8.78 to 9.68)
23%
83
52 riichi
Average win value
5,438
6,423 (5,811 to 7,035)
14%
15
42 wins
Average deal-in value
5,840
5,643 (5,082 to 6,203)
8%
35
25 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,095
1,464 (1,358 to 1,570)
3%
8
236 hands
Deal-in loss
645
639 (529 to 750)
9%
49
236 hands
Net efficiency
450
794 (565 to 1,023)
11%
18
236 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
33.3%
39.4% (32.2% to 46.6%)
19%
32
42 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
15.0%
22.3% (15.0% to 29.6%)
31%
15
40 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
22.6%
24.3% (17.2% to 31.3%)
46%
21
53 first calls
Average win turn
11.73
12.37 (12.22 to 12.52)
1%
97
42 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
58.1%
43.5% (36.4% to 50.7%)
19%
100
43 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
12.9%
14.0% (12.0% to 16.0%)
5%
49
116 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
75.9%
75.2% (73.4% to 77.1%)
78%
97
1,220 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
0.89
0.95 (0.84 to 1.06)
66%
4
1,165 discards
Breaking shape for value
1.9%
1.9% (1.4% to 2.4%)
56%
42
1,220 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
7.86
8.16 (8.03 to 8.29)
3%
15
45 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
86.4%
75.9% (68.9% to 82.9%)
29%
93
45 tenpai hands
Dama rate
11.9%
12.8% (6.8% to 18.7%)
40%
32
42 wins
Riichi income
1,754
2,516 (1,696 to 3,337)
12%
28
52 riichi
Riichi win rate
38.5%
44.3% (37.4% to 51.2%)
23%
25
52 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
5.8%
14.2% (12.2% to 16.1%)
2%
97
52 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
5.8%
10.8% (8.1% to 13.4%)
5%
93
52 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
51.9%
50.1% (43.9% to 56.2%)
15%
56
52 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
30.8%
21.3% (16.2% to 26.4%)
18%
100
52 riichi
Call income
211
464 (3.32 to 925)
8%
28
53 calls
Win rate after calling
32.1%
30.2% (24.4% to 36.0%)
17%
73
53 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
9.4%
11.2% (7.1% to 15.2%)
17%
66
53 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
-0.01
45
236 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
-0.05
4
236 hands
Draw luck
+0.1%
62
2,770 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
-0.20
8
20 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
+0.3%
52
20 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-6.5%
8
44 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
16.9%
15
65 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
-4.1
18
19 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
8.5%
+647
+919
-272
Wins with calls
7.2%
+342
+382
-40
Dama wins
2.1%
+106
+173
-67
Deal-ins to riichi
3.0%
-259
-360
+101
Deal-ins to open hands
3.0%
-103
-203
+101
Deal-ins to dama
4.7%
-296
-101
-195
Others' tsumo
27.5%
-858
-752
-106
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
44.1%
-40
-60
+19
Total (per hand)
-462
2019-20 (28 games · skill estimate -0.9pt/game)
Style
Average win value16,312
Riichi rate6822.7%
Deal-in rate6810.7%
Win rate7920.0%
First riichi rate10077.5%
Average riichi turn939.18
Call rate8926.7%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws5440.9%
Staying in vs riichi5414.1%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)5441.0%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)7327.2%
Tile efficiency match rate6172.1%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)128.16
Immediate riichi rate8976.9%
Dama rate510.1%
Where the points came from
Own wins+42.5
Deal-ins-18.4
Others' tsumo-24.5
Ron between others-4.6
Exhaustive draws-0.1
Change in expected points per game. Total -5.1pt/game (28 games).As a table
Hand result
Hands
Total
Per game
Own wins
69
+1191.0
+42.5
Deal-ins
35
-515.4
-18.4
Others' tsumo
85
-686.3
-24.5
Ron between others
73
-128.2
-4.6
Exhaustive draws
84
-4.1
-0.1
Luck
Points from luck (/game)5-5.8
Draw luck40+0.1%
Starting hand (shanten)72+0.00
Dora and red fives dealt72+0.03
Ura-dora luck5-0.19
Ippatsu rate5-16.9%
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)36-1.5%
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate517.6%
Every number for 2019-20
Results
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Average placement
2.61
2.52 (2.32 to 2.71)
16%
29
28 games
Points per game
-5.1
-0.9 (-8.7 to 7.0)
17%
33
28 games
Points per game, luck removed
0.7
0.2 (-7.0 to 7.3)
22%
68
28 games
1st-place rate
21.4%
24.4% (16.8% to 32.1%)
18%
33
28 games
4th-place rate
25.0%
24.9% (17.2% to 32.7%)
19%
58
28 games
Style
Metric
Actual
Estimate (90% interval)
Weight of the record
Percentile
Count
Win rate
19.9%
20.0% (17.7% to 22.2%)
30%
79
346 hands
Deal-in rate
10.1%
10.7% (9.0% to 12.4%)
27%
68
346 hands
Riichi rate
22.5%
22.7% (20.3% to 25.1%)
32%
68
346 hands
Call rate
27.5%
26.7% (23.3% to 30.1%)
84%
89
346 hands
First riichi rate
85.9%
77.5% (73.2% to 81.7%)
15%
100
78 riichi
Average riichi turn
8.83
9.18 (8.79 to 9.57)
31%
93
78 riichi
Average win value
5,312
6,312 (5,775 to 6,848)
22%
1
69 wins
Average deal-in value
5,160
5,576 (5,046 to 6,106)
11%
86
35 deal-ins
Win efficiency
1,212
1,464 (1,361 to 1,567)
4%
1
346 hands
Deal-in loss
544
626 (524 to 729)
13%
89
346 hands
Net efficiency
668
811 (599 to 1,022)
15%
33
346 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)
41.7%
41.0% (34.6% to 47.5%)
25%
54
60 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)
29.8%
27.2% (20.8% to 33.6%)
39%
73
57 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call
25.3%
25.4% (19.6% to 31.2%)
61%
26
95 first calls
Average win turn
11.99
12.37 (12.23 to 12.52)
2%
79
69 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws
42.9%
40.9% (35.2% to 46.7%)
32%
54
84 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi
14.3%
14.1% (12.2% to 16.0%)
8%
54
168 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate
72.0%
72.1% (70.6% to 73.6%)
85%
61
1,943 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)
1.08
1.07 (0.98 to 1.17)
76%
43
1,875 discards
Breaking shape for value
2.5%
2.3% (1.9% to 2.8%)
67%
86
1,943 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)
7.91
8.16 (8.03 to 8.28)
4%
12
71 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate
85.3%
76.9% (71.0% to 82.9%)
39%
89
71 tenpai hands
Dama rate
7.2%
10.1% (5.1% to 15.1%)
53%
5
69 wins
Riichi income
1,942
2,505 (1,757 to 3,252)
17%
19
78 riichi
Riichi win rate
44.9%
45.7% (39.7% to 51.7%)
31%
43
78 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A
14.1%
14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)
3%
47
78 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B
7.7%
10.8% (8.3% to 13.3%)
8%
82
78 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate
47.4%
49.3% (43.8% to 54.8%)
21%
33
78 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate
19.2%
19.3% (14.7% to 23.8%)
24%
47
78 riichi
Call income
522
491 (77.96 to 905)
14%
47
95 calls
Win rate after calling
30.5%
30.0% (25.1% to 34.9%)
27%
58
95 calls
Deal-in rate after calling
7.4%
10.4% (7.0% to 13.8%)
27%
93
95 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
Metric
Actual
Percentile
Count
Starting hand (shanten)
+0.00
72
346 hands
Dora and red fives dealt
+0.03
72
346 hands
Draw luck
+0.1%
40
4,260 tile draws
Ura-dora luck
-0.19
5
35 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate
-16.9%
5
35 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)
-1.5%
36
67 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate
17.6%
5
85 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)
-5.8
5
28 games
Hand balance breakdown
Category
Frequency
Balance per hand
League average
Difference
Wins with riichi
10.1%
+729
+919
-190
Wins with calls
8.4%
+362
+382
-20
Dama wins
1.4%
+121
+173
-52
Deal-ins to riichi
4.6%
-316
-360
+44
Deal-ins to open hands
3.5%
-160
-203
+44
Deal-ins to dama
2.0%
-86
-101
+15
Others' tsumo
24.6%
-747
-752
+5
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)
45.4%
-58
-60
+2
Total (per hand)
-154
2018-19 (28 games · skill estimate 1.1pt/game)
Style
Average win value706,685
Riichi rate7023.2%
Deal-in rate9510.0%
Win rate2619.5%
First riichi rate10077.0%
Average riichi turn469.40
Call rate8026.5%
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws10044.6%
Staying in vs riichi5514.1%
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)1638.9%
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)5026.4%
Tile efficiency match rate6073.1%
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)558.17
Immediate riichi rate8074.1%
Dama rate3113.6%
Where the points came from
Own wins+47.2
Deal-ins-18.4
Others' tsumo-25.1
Ron between others-1.8
Exhaustive draws+4.4
Change in expected points per game. Total +6.3pt/game (28 games).As a table
Kei NakabayashiU-NEXT PiratesIn common: Often tenpai at exhaustive draws, Few deal-ins, First riichi often
Kosuke NagaiEX FurinkazanIn common: Often tenpai at exhaustive draws, Dama rarely
* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics supported more strongly by the data receive more weight. The comparison shows how similar the players' styles are, not which is better. Differences are often small, so the order may change.