Most differences in results are within chance.They do not justify criticizing players.

Player · 119 career games · 2018-19–2026-27

Koshin Asakura

Uses calls a lot to move hands along. Stands out for being tenpai at draws, few deal-ins and riichi-ing as soon as tenpai. Career record: -3.2pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.

Actual / game
-3.2
119 career games
Skill estimate / game
-1.5
90% interval -6.4 to +3.3
Estimate, luck removed
+0.3
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
47%
share of the estimate from the record

Styleleague percentile, career

  • Average win value6,395
  • Riichi rate22.6%
  • Deal-in rate10.1%
  • Win rate19.4%
  • First riichi rate79.0%
  • Average riichi turn9.18
  • Call rate26.0%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws44.9%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.4%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.5%
  • Tile efficiency match rate72.8%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.15
  • Immediate riichi rate78.4%
  • Dama rate10.1%

Color only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and tile efficiency match rate, are gray. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.

Placements119 career games, average placement 2.56

  • 1st20.2%24×
  • 2nd28.6%34×
  • 3rd26.1%31×
  • 4th25.2%30×

Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls

  • Riichi income2,491
  • Riichi win rate44.2%
  • Riichi deal-in rate A14.1%
  • Riichi deal-in rate B10.5%
  • Riichi good-wait rate51.4%
  • Riichi exhaustive draw rate22.4%
  • Call income492
  • Win rate after calling29.3%
  • Deal-in rate after calling9.5%
  • Tenpai rate after the first call23.0%

Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).

Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand

  • Net efficiency800
  • Deal-in loss619
  • Average win turn12.37

Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.

Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates

  • Points per game-1.5
  • Points per game, luck removed0.3
  • Average placement2.53

Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)

  • Points from luck (/game)-3.8
  • Draw luck-0.2%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.01
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.00
  • Ura-dora luck-0.09
  • Ippatsu rate-2.6%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-2.5%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate14.9%

Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages

  • Own wins+43.0
  • Deal-ins-19.2
  • Others' tsumo-25.8
  • Ron between others-2.2
  • Exhaustive draws+1.0
Change in expected points per game. Total -3.2pt/game (119 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins286+5114.6+43.0
Deal-ins142-2285.3-19.2
Others' tsumo403-3072.9-25.8
Ron between others328-258.3-2.2
Exhaustive draws333+120.8+1.0

Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages

CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.8%+810+919-109
Wins with calls7.6%+400+382+17
Dama wins1.8%+133+173-40
Deal-ins to riichi4.6%-346-360+14
Deal-ins to open hands3.0%-158-203+45
Deal-ins to dama1.9%-105-101-4
Others' tsumo27.0%-771-752-18
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)44.3%-27-60+33
Total (per hand)-64
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.562.53 (2.41 to 2.65)45%27119 games
Points per game-3.2-1.5 (-6.4 to 3.3)47%21119 games
Points per game, luck removed0.60.3 (-4.0 to 4.7)55%52119 games
1st-place rate20.2%22.7% (18.0% to 27.4%)48%9119 games
4th-place rate25.2%25.1% (20.3% to 29.8%)50%52119 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate19.2%19.4% (18.1% to 20.8%)65%311,492 hands
Deal-in rate9.5%10.1% (9.0% to 11.1%)61%961,492 hands
Riichi rate22.6%22.6% (21.2% to 24.1%)67%451,492 hands
Call rate26.1%26.0% (24.3% to 27.8%)96%721,492 hands
First riichi rate83.1%79.0% (76.4% to 81.7%)43%100337 riichi
Average riichi turn9.109.18 (8.94 to 9.42)66%84337 riichi
Average win value6,2266,395 (6,065 to 6,725)54%21286 wins
Average deal-in value5,9495,731 (5,373 to 6,089)33%15142 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,3421,455 (1,373 to 1,537)15%91,492 hands
Deal-in loss588619 (554 to 684)39%821,492 hands
Net efficiency754800 (668 to 933)43%231,492 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)36.7%38.4% (34.5% to 42.4%)58%15248 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.1%24.5% (20.7% to 28.2%)75%39278 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call22.6%23.0% (19.6% to 26.4%)86%23390 first calls
Average win turn12.1812.37 (12.24 to 12.50)7%84286 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws47.4%44.9% (41.3% to 48.4%)65%98333 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi13.3%13.9% (12.5% to 15.2%)27%37745 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate72.8%72.8% (72.0% to 73.6%)96%497,970 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.021.02 (0.97 to 1.07)93%417,661 discards
Breaking shape for value2.1%2.1% (1.8% to 2.3%)89%647,970 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.038.15 (8.05 to 8.25)16%15318 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate80.7%78.4% (74.8% to 81.9%)74%96318 tenpai hands
Dama rate9.4%10.1% (7.1% to 13.1%)82%21286 wins
Riichi income2,3462,491 (2,032 to 2,950)48%21337 riichi
Riichi win rate43.3%44.2% (40.6% to 47.9%)66%21337 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A12.5%14.1% (12.6% to 15.7%)11%82337 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B9.2%10.5% (8.8% to 12.3%)27%88337 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate52.8%51.4% (48.0% to 54.7%)53%86337 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate24.6%22.4% (19.7% to 25.1%)58%96337 riichi
Call income502492 (227 to 758)40%52390 calls
Win rate after calling29.0%29.3% (26.3% to 32.3%)60%41390 calls
Deal-in rate after calling8.2%9.5% (7.4% to 11.6%)60%100390 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.01621,492 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.00431,492 hands
Draw luck-0.2%1918,310 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.093146 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-2.6%15146 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-2.5%19280 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate14.9%3403 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-3.85119 games

By seasonRegular Season

2026-27 (13 games · skill estimate -0.8pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,511
  • Riichi rate22.6%
  • Deal-in rate11.3%
  • Win rate19.6%
  • First riichi rate75.3%
  • Average riichi turn9.42
  • Call rate23.6%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.1%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.5%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.8%
  • Tile efficiency match rate70.5%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate70.4%
  • Dama rate11.4%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+36.8
  • Deal-ins-22.4
  • Others' tsumo-26.8
  • Ron between others+2.4
  • Exhaustive draws+0.9
Change in expected points per game. Total -9.1pt/game (13 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins28+478.5+36.8
Deal-ins21-290.8-22.4
Others' tsumo40-348.0-26.8
Ron between others33+30.9+2.4
Exhaustive draws37+11.2+0.9

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+2.6
  • Draw luck-0.2%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.04
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.00
  • Ura-dora luck-0.07
  • Ippatsu rate+6.9%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+3.6%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate15.0%
Every number for 2026-27
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.622.51 (2.28 to 2.73)8%4213 games
Points per game-9.7-0.8 (-10.0 to 8.3)9%2013 games
Points per game, luck removed-12.3-1.4 (-10.1 to 7.2)12%913 games
1st-place rate15.4%24.2% (15.2% to 33.2%)9%2813 games
4th-place rate23.1%24.7% (15.5% to 33.9%)10%5913 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate17.6%19.6% (16.7% to 22.5%)17%25159 hands
Deal-in rate13.2%11.3% (9.1% to 13.4%)14%25159 hands
Riichi rate22.0%22.6% (19.5% to 25.7%)18%33159 hands
Call rate23.9%23.6% (19.0% to 28.3%)71%44159 hands
First riichi rate65.7%75.3% (70.3% to 80.2%)7%935 riichi
Average riichi turn9.809.42 (8.91 to 9.92)17%1435 riichi
Average win value5,8146,511 (5,847 to 7,176)10%3028 wins
Average deal-in value5,2145,598 (5,024 to 6,173)7%6021 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,1691,469 (1,360 to 1,577)2%25159 hands
Deal-in loss717644 (527 to 761)6%30159 hands
Net efficiency452807 (563 to 1,051)7%20159 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.7%40.5% (32.8% to 48.3%)15%3031 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)23.3%24.8% (17.7% to 31.9%)32%4143 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call10.5%19.9% (12.0% to 27.8%)38%438 first calls
Average win turn12.2312.38 (12.23 to 12.53)1%5728 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.5%40.1% (32.7% to 47.5%)17%4937 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi13.8%14.1% (12.0% to 16.1%)4%4194 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate69.4%70.5% (68.3% to 72.7%)70%9778 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.081.07 (0.94 to 1.20)55%68733 discards
Breaking shape for value2.7%2.3% (1.7% to 2.9%)45%79778 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.398.17 (8.04 to 8.31)2%8432 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate65.9%70.4% (62.5% to 78.2%)22%2832 tenpai hands
Dama rate7.1%11.4% (4.6% to 18.3%)31%4928 wins
Riichi income2,6692,627 (1,745 to 3,508)9%6035 riichi
Riichi win rate42.9%45.5% (37.8% to 53.2%)17%4435 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A17.1%14.4% (12.4% to 16.3%)1%2935 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B11.4%11.1% (8.3% to 13.8%)4%4435 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate51.4%49.9% (43.3% to 56.6%)10%6335 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate22.9%19.7% (14.1% to 25.3%)13%6035 riichi
Call income321477 (-5.91 to 959)6%4638 calls
Win rate after calling28.9%29.7% (23.4% to 36.0%)13%5238 calls
Deal-in rate after calling13.2%11.7% (7.4% to 16.1%)13%3338 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0473159 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0041159 hands
Draw luck-0.2%411,935 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.072815 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+6.9%8115 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)+3.6%7323 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate15.0%3040 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+2.66813 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.4%+815+919-104
Wins with calls6.9%+256+382-126
Dama wins1.3%+97+173-75
Deal-ins to riichi6.3%-405-360-45
Deal-ins to open hands4.4%-248-203-45
Deal-ins to dama2.5%-89-101+12
Others' tsumo25.2%-763-752-10
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)44.0%-53-60+6
Total (per hand)-390
2021-22 (23 games · skill estimate 0.4pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,514
  • Riichi rate23.0%
  • Deal-in rate10.6%
  • Win rate20.7%
  • First riichi rate77.9%
  • Average riichi turn9.12
  • Call rate25.1%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws42.1%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)23.5%
  • Tile efficiency match rate72.7%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.15
  • Immediate riichi rate75.6%
  • Dama rate11.1%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+47.1
  • Deal-ins-21.1
  • Others' tsumo-20.6
  • Ron between others-2.1
  • Exhaustive draws-0.4
Change in expected points per game. Total +2.9pt/game (23 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins67+1083.1+47.1
Deal-ins28-484.5-21.1
Others' tsumo78-473.1-20.6
Ron between others57-48.1-2.1
Exhaustive draws67-10.0-0.4

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+0.4
  • Draw luck-0.0%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.04
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.01
  • Ura-dora luck+0.10
  • Ippatsu rate+9.3%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.6%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.8%
Every number for 2021-22
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.482.49 (2.29 to 2.69)14%5523 games
Points per game3.00.4 (-7.8 to 8.7)15%5823 games
Points per game, luck removed2.60.5 (-7.1 to 8.1)19%6223 games
1st-place rate26.1%25.2% (17.2% to 33.3%)15%5223 games
4th-place rate30.4%25.8% (17.6% to 33.9%)16%3023 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate22.6%20.7% (18.3% to 23.1%)27%84297 hands
Deal-in rate9.4%10.6% (8.7% to 12.4%)24%78297 hands
Riichi rate23.6%23.0% (20.4% to 25.5%)29%65297 hands
Call rate25.6%25.1% (21.5% to 28.7%)82%84297 hands
First riichi rate90.0%77.9% (73.5% to 82.2%)13%10070 riichi
Average riichi turn8.599.12 (8.71 to 9.52)29%10070 riichi
Average win value6,2346,514 (5,973 to 7,056)21%2067 wins
Average deal-in value6,9895,744 (5,193 to 6,295)9%128 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,5661,477 (1,373 to 1,581)3%65297 hands
Deal-in loss676643 (537 to 749)11%23297 hands
Net efficiency890842 (624 to 1,061)13%49297 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)36.8%40.1% (32.8% to 47.5%)17%3938 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)20.0%23.5% (16.9% to 30.0%)38%3355 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call26.3%26.0% (19.8% to 32.3%)55%4376 first calls
Average win turn11.7712.37 (12.22 to 12.52)2%10067 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws47.8%42.1% (35.9% to 48.3%)27%9067 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi12.8%14.0% (12.1% to 15.9%)6%43133 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate72.6%72.7% (71.0% to 74.3%)82%681,586 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.021.03 (0.93 to 1.13)72%271,533 discards
Breaking shape for value2.0%2.0% (1.5% to 2.4%)62%431,586 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.768.15 (8.02 to 8.28)4%166 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate82.2%75.6% (69.4% to 81.7%)37%9766 tenpai hands
Dama rate9.0%11.1% (6.0% to 16.1%)52%2067 wins
Riichi income2,7612,645 (1,877 to 3,413)16%3670 riichi
Riichi win rate44.3%45.5% (39.3% to 51.8%)29%3170 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A14.3%14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)3%3670 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B11.4%11.1% (8.5% to 13.6%)7%2870 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate48.6%49.5% (43.8% to 55.2%)19%4370 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate24.3%20.4% (15.7% to 25.1%)22%7870 riichi
Call income579497 (64.11 to 930)11%6276 calls
Win rate after calling39.5%32.0% (26.8% to 37.3%)23%9776 calls
Deal-in rate after calling10.5%11.3% (7.6% to 14.9%)23%6276 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0484297 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0146297 hands
Draw luck-0.0%523,673 tile draws
Ura-dora luck+0.108131 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+9.3%8431 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.6%2763 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate12.8%4678 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+0.46823 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.4%+972+919+53
Wins with calls10.1%+430+382+47
Dama wins2.0%+164+173-9
Deal-ins to riichi4.7%-406-360-46
Deal-ins to open hands3.7%-229-203-25
Deal-ins to dama1.0%-69-101+32
Others' tsumo26.3%-672-752+80
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)41.8%-13-60+46
Total (per hand)+178
2020-21 (19 games · skill estimate -1.9pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,423
  • Riichi rate22.6%
  • Deal-in rate10.9%
  • Win rate19.5%
  • First riichi rate76.9%
  • Average riichi turn9.23
  • Call rate22.6%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws43.5%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)39.4%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)22.3%
  • Tile efficiency match rate75.2%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate75.9%
  • Dama rate12.8%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+35.6
  • Deal-ins-20.2
  • Others' tsumo-27.8
  • Ron between others-4.0
  • Exhaustive draws+1.0
Change in expected points per game. Total -15.4pt/game (19 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins42+677.0+35.6
Deal-ins25-383.7-20.2
Others' tsumo65-528.5-27.8
Ron between others61-75.6-4.0
Exhaustive draws43+18.3+1.0

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-4.1
  • Draw luck+0.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.01
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.05
  • Ura-dora luck-0.20
  • Ippatsu rate+0.3%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-6.5%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate16.9%
Every number for 2020-21
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.842.54 (2.33 to 2.75)12%1119 games
Points per game-15.5-1.9 (-10.5 to 6.7)12%419 games
Points per game, luck removed-11.4-1.8 (-9.8 to 6.1)16%1819 games
1st-place rate10.5%23.2% (14.8% to 31.6%)13%419 games
4th-place rate31.6%25.8% (17.3% to 34.3%)14%3019 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate17.8%19.5% (16.9% to 22.1%)23%32236 hands
Deal-in rate10.6%10.9% (8.9% to 12.8%)20%59236 hands
Riichi rate22.0%22.6% (19.8% to 25.3%)24%52236 hands
Call rate22.5%22.6% (18.6% to 26.6%)78%62236 hands
First riichi rate84.6%76.9% (72.3% to 81.5%)10%9052 riichi
Average riichi turn8.879.23 (8.78 to 9.68)23%8352 riichi
Average win value5,4386,423 (5,811 to 7,035)14%1542 wins
Average deal-in value5,8405,643 (5,082 to 6,203)8%3525 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,0951,464 (1,358 to 1,570)3%8236 hands
Deal-in loss645639 (529 to 750)9%49236 hands
Net efficiency450794 (565 to 1,023)11%18236 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)33.3%39.4% (32.2% to 46.6%)19%3242 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)15.0%22.3% (15.0% to 29.6%)31%1540 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call22.6%24.3% (17.2% to 31.3%)46%2153 first calls
Average win turn11.7312.37 (12.22 to 12.52)1%9742 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws58.1%43.5% (36.4% to 50.7%)19%10043 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi12.9%14.0% (12.0% to 16.0%)5%49116 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate75.9%75.2% (73.4% to 77.1%)78%971,220 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.890.95 (0.84 to 1.06)66%41,165 discards
Breaking shape for value1.9%1.9% (1.4% to 2.4%)56%421,220 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.868.16 (8.03 to 8.29)3%1545 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate86.4%75.9% (68.9% to 82.9%)29%9345 tenpai hands
Dama rate11.9%12.8% (6.8% to 18.7%)40%3242 wins
Riichi income1,7542,516 (1,696 to 3,337)12%2852 riichi
Riichi win rate38.5%44.3% (37.4% to 51.2%)23%2552 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A5.8%14.2% (12.2% to 16.1%)2%9752 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B5.8%10.8% (8.1% to 13.4%)5%9352 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate51.9%50.1% (43.9% to 56.2%)15%5652 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate30.8%21.3% (16.2% to 26.4%)18%10052 riichi
Call income211464 (3.32 to 925)8%2853 calls
Win rate after calling32.1%30.2% (24.4% to 36.0%)17%7353 calls
Deal-in rate after calling9.4%11.2% (7.1% to 15.2%)17%6653 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0145236 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.054236 hands
Draw luck+0.1%622,770 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.20820 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+0.3%5220 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-6.5%844 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate16.9%1565 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-4.11819 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi8.5%+647+919-272
Wins with calls7.2%+342+382-40
Dama wins2.1%+106+173-67
Deal-ins to riichi3.0%-259-360+101
Deal-ins to open hands3.0%-103-203+101
Deal-ins to dama4.7%-296-101-195
Others' tsumo27.5%-858-752-106
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)44.1%-40-60+19
Total (per hand)-462
2019-20 (28 games · skill estimate -0.9pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,312
  • Riichi rate22.7%
  • Deal-in rate10.7%
  • Win rate20.0%
  • First riichi rate77.5%
  • Average riichi turn9.18
  • Call rate26.7%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws40.9%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)41.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)27.2%
  • Tile efficiency match rate72.1%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.16
  • Immediate riichi rate76.9%
  • Dama rate10.1%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+42.5
  • Deal-ins-18.4
  • Others' tsumo-24.5
  • Ron between others-4.6
  • Exhaustive draws-0.1
Change in expected points per game. Total -5.1pt/game (28 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins69+1191.0+42.5
Deal-ins35-515.4-18.4
Others' tsumo85-686.3-24.5
Ron between others73-128.2-4.6
Exhaustive draws84-4.1-0.1

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-5.8
  • Draw luck+0.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.00
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.03
  • Ura-dora luck-0.19
  • Ippatsu rate-16.9%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.5%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate17.6%
Every number for 2019-20
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.612.52 (2.32 to 2.71)16%2928 games
Points per game-5.1-0.9 (-8.7 to 7.0)17%3328 games
Points per game, luck removed0.70.2 (-7.0 to 7.3)22%6828 games
1st-place rate21.4%24.4% (16.8% to 32.1%)18%3328 games
4th-place rate25.0%24.9% (17.2% to 32.7%)19%5828 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate19.9%20.0% (17.7% to 22.2%)30%79346 hands
Deal-in rate10.1%10.7% (9.0% to 12.4%)27%68346 hands
Riichi rate22.5%22.7% (20.3% to 25.1%)32%68346 hands
Call rate27.5%26.7% (23.3% to 30.1%)84%89346 hands
First riichi rate85.9%77.5% (73.2% to 81.7%)15%10078 riichi
Average riichi turn8.839.18 (8.79 to 9.57)31%9378 riichi
Average win value5,3126,312 (5,775 to 6,848)22%169 wins
Average deal-in value5,1605,576 (5,046 to 6,106)11%8635 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,2121,464 (1,361 to 1,567)4%1346 hands
Deal-in loss544626 (524 to 729)13%89346 hands
Net efficiency668811 (599 to 1,022)15%33346 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)41.7%41.0% (34.6% to 47.5%)25%5460 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)29.8%27.2% (20.8% to 33.6%)39%7357 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call25.3%25.4% (19.6% to 31.2%)61%2695 first calls
Average win turn11.9912.37 (12.23 to 12.52)2%7969 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws42.9%40.9% (35.2% to 46.7%)32%5484 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi14.3%14.1% (12.2% to 16.0%)8%54168 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate72.0%72.1% (70.6% to 73.6%)85%611,943 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.081.07 (0.98 to 1.17)76%431,875 discards
Breaking shape for value2.5%2.3% (1.9% to 2.8%)67%861,943 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.918.16 (8.03 to 8.28)4%1271 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate85.3%76.9% (71.0% to 82.9%)39%8971 tenpai hands
Dama rate7.2%10.1% (5.1% to 15.1%)53%569 wins
Riichi income1,9422,505 (1,757 to 3,252)17%1978 riichi
Riichi win rate44.9%45.7% (39.7% to 51.7%)31%4378 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A14.1%14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%)3%4778 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B7.7%10.8% (8.3% to 13.3%)8%8278 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate47.4%49.3% (43.8% to 54.8%)21%3378 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate19.2%19.3% (14.7% to 23.8%)24%4778 riichi
Call income522491 (77.96 to 905)14%4795 calls
Win rate after calling30.5%30.0% (25.1% to 34.9%)27%5895 calls
Deal-in rate after calling7.4%10.4% (7.0% to 13.8%)27%9395 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0072346 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0372346 hands
Draw luck+0.1%404,260 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.19535 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-16.9%535 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-1.5%3667 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate17.6%585 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-5.8528 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.1%+729+919-190
Wins with calls8.4%+362+382-20
Dama wins1.4%+121+173-52
Deal-ins to riichi4.6%-316-360+44
Deal-ins to open hands3.5%-160-203+44
Deal-ins to dama2.0%-86-101+15
Others' tsumo24.6%-747-752+5
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)45.4%-58-60+2
Total (per hand)-154
2018-19 (28 games · skill estimate 1.1pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,685
  • Riichi rate23.2%
  • Deal-in rate10.0%
  • Win rate19.5%
  • First riichi rate77.0%
  • Average riichi turn9.40
  • Call rate26.5%
  • Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws44.6%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)26.4%
  • Tile efficiency match rate73.1%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate74.1%
  • Dama rate13.6%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+47.2
  • Deal-ins-18.4
  • Others' tsumo-25.1
  • Ron between others-1.8
  • Exhaustive draws+4.4
Change in expected points per game. Total +6.3pt/game (28 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins65+1320.4+47.2
Deal-ins27-515.3-18.4
Others' tsumo105-702.1-25.1
Ron between others79-51.6-1.8
Exhaustive draws78+123.8+4.4

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-8.1
  • Draw luck-0.8%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.02
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.00
  • Ura-dora luck-0.08
  • Ippatsu rate-5.9%
  • Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-6.1%
  • Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate11.4%
Every number for 2018-19
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.292.46 (2.27 to 2.65)16%9528 games
Points per game6.41.1 (-6.7 to 8.9)17%8528 games
Points per game, luck removed14.53.2 (-3.9 to 10.4)22%9528 games
1st-place rate25.0%25.1% (17.4% to 32.7%)18%5528 games
4th-place rate17.9%23.6% (15.8% to 31.3%)19%8028 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate18.4%19.5% (17.2% to 21.7%)31%26354 hands
Deal-in rate7.6%10.0% (8.3% to 11.7%)27%95354 hands
Riichi rate24.0%23.2% (20.8% to 25.5%)32%70354 hands
Call rate27.1%26.5% (23.1% to 29.8%)84%80354 hands
First riichi rate82.4%77.0% (72.8% to 81.2%)16%10085 riichi
Average riichi turn9.539.40 (9.02 to 9.78)33%4685 riichi
Average win value7,0486,685 (6,139 to 7,232)21%7065 wins
Average deal-in value6,7155,717 (5,163 to 6,271)8%2127 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,4551,473 (1,371 to 1,576)4%41354 hands
Deal-in loss530624 (522 to 726)13%95354 hands
Net efficiency925849 (638 to 1,059)15%65354 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)32.8%38.9% (32.4% to 45.4%)24%1658 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)27.7%26.4% (20.3% to 32.6%)42%5065 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call25.0%25.3% (19.5% to 31.0%)61%4196 first calls
Average win turn13.0712.39 (12.24 to 12.54)2%665 wins
Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws55.1%44.6% (38.7% to 50.5%)30%10078 exhaustive draws
Staying in vs riichi14.3%14.1% (12.2% to 16.0%)8%55175 hands facing an opponent’s riichi
Tile efficiency match rate73.2%73.1% (71.6% to 74.7%)85%601,925 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.041.04 (0.95 to 1.14)76%411,854 discards
Breaking shape for value1.9%2.0% (1.5% to 2.4%)67%501,925 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.278.17 (8.05 to 8.30)5%5587 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate77.3%74.1% (68.6% to 79.7%)44%8087 tenpai hands
Dama rate13.8%13.6% (8.5% to 18.7%)51%3165 wins
Riichi income2,4002,581 (1,851 to 3,312)19%3185 riichi
Riichi win rate42.4%44.8% (39.0% to 50.6%)33%3185 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A12.9%14.3% (12.4% to 16.1%)3%4685 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B10.6%11.0% (8.5% to 13.5%)9%4385 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate56.5%51.2% (45.9% to 56.6%)22%8585 riichi
Riichi exhaustive draw rate28.2%21.6% (17.2% to 26.0%)26%9585 riichi
Call income528492 (79.79 to 905)14%6596 calls
Win rate after calling20.8%27.4% (22.5% to 32.2%)27%696 calls
Deal-in rate after calling5.2%9.8% (6.4% to 13.2%)27%10096 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0285354 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0065354 hands
Draw luck-0.8%14,423 tile draws
Ura-dora luck-0.082636 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-5.9%1336 riichi wins
Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi)-6.1%1670 first riichi
Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate11.4%50105 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-8.1628 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.2%+860+919-59
Wins with calls5.7%+407+382+25
Dama wins2.5%+188+173+16
Deal-ins to riichi4.8%-368-360-8
Deal-ins to open hands2.0%-123-203+80
Deal-ins to dama0.8%-64-101+36
Others' tsumo29.7%-747-752+6
Other (exhaustive draws, etc.)44.4%+35-60+95
Total (per hand)+189

Columns about this player

Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first

This player's style differs substantially from everyone else's. These players are the closest matches.

  1. Nobuhiro IshibashiFormer M.League playerIn common: Immediate riichi often, First riichi often, Smaller hands
  2. Kei NakabayashiU-NEXT PiratesIn common: Often tenpai at exhaustive draws, Few deal-ins, First riichi often
  3. Kosuke NagaiEX FurinkazanIn common: Often tenpai at exhaustive draws, Dama rarely

* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics supported more strongly by the data receive more weight. The comparison shows how similar the players' styles are, not which is better. Differences are often small, so the order may change.