Most differences in results are within chance.They are no grounds for criticising players.

Player · 237 career games · 2018-19–2026-27

Hagiwara Masato

Builds closed hands and fights with riichi. Stands out for a lowish win rate, late riichi and chasing riichi. Career record: -10.2pt per game. Even allowing for luck it is below average, with skill estimated at around -3.8pt.

Actual / game
-10.2
237 career games
Skill estimate / game
-3.8
90% interval -7.0 to -0.5
Estimate, luck removed
-3.1
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
37%
share of the estimate from the record

Styleleague percentile, career

  • Average win value6,679
  • Riichi rate23.4%
  • Deal-in rate11.3%
  • Win rate18.2%
  • First riichi rate74.2%
  • Average riichi turn9.60
  • Call rate17.0%
  • Tenpai rate at draws37.5%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.6%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)41.3%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)31.5%
  • Efficiency match rate70.5%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.23
  • Immediate riichi rate67.5%
  • Dama rate15.5%

Colour only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and efficiency match rate, are grey. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.

Placements237 career games, average placement 2.73

  • 1st16.5%39×
  • 2nd25.7%61×
  • 3rd25.7%61×
  • 4th32.1%76×

Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls

  • Riichi income2,281
  • Riichi win rate43.3%
  • Riichi deal-in rate A14.4%
  • Riichi deal-in rate B11.3%
  • Riichi good-wait rate46.9%
  • Riichi draw rate18.1%
  • Call income421
  • Win rate after calling29.0%
  • Deal-in rate after calling12.7%
  • Tenpai rate after the first call31.3%

Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).

Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand

  • Net efficiency755
  • Deal-in loss645
  • Average win turn12.36

Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.

Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates

  • Points per game-3.8
  • Points per game, luck removed-3.1
  • Average placement2.57

Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)

  • Points from luck (/game)-3.2
  • Draw luck+0.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.00
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.01
  • Ura-dora luck+0.03
  • Ippatsu rate+0.7%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)-2.9%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate14.0%

Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages

  • Own wins+42.7
  • Deal-ins-20.8
  • Others' tsumo-28.5
  • Ron between others-2.4
  • Draws-1.2
Change in expected points per game. Total -10.3pt/game (237 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins507+10124.5+42.7
Deal-ins330-4939.5-20.8
Others' tsumo865-6764.7-28.5
Ron between others600-558.7-2.4
Draws583-291.0-1.2

Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages

CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.0%+880+924-43
Wins with calls4.8%+277+381-104
Dama wins2.8%+159+175-16
Deal-ins to riichi5.0%-355-361+6
Deal-ins to open hands4.1%-193-203+10
Deal-ins to dama2.4%-128-102-26
Others' tsumo30.0%-870-757-113
Other (draws etc.)41.0%-81-59-22
Total (per hand)-310
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.732.57 (2.50 to 2.65)33%1237 games
Points per game-10.2-3.8 (-7.0 to -0.5)37%1237 games
Points per game, luck removed-7.1-3.1 (-6.0 to -0.3)44%1237 games
1st-place rate16.5%23.9% (21.5% to 26.3%)14%1237 games
4th-place rate32.1%28.6% (25.2% to 32.0%)52%1237 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate17.6%18.2% (17.2% to 19.3%)73%12,885 hands
Deal-in rate11.4%11.3% (10.5% to 12.1%)73%262,885 hands
Riichi rate23.5%23.4% (22.2% to 24.5%)83%712,885 hands
Call rate16.9%17.0% (15.8% to 18.3%)98%72,885 hands
First riichi rate73.2%74.2% (72.0% to 76.4%)65%3678 riichi
Average riichi turn9.709.60 (9.43 to 9.77)71%1678 riichi
Average win value6,7146,679 (6,409 to 6,949)65%65507 wins
Average deal-in value5,4165,526 (5,261 to 5,792)51%79330 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,3171,480 (1,433 to 1,527)0%502,885 hands
Deal-in loss647645 (591 to 698)58%442,885 hands
Net efficiency669755 (655 to 855)50%12,885 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)41.5%41.3% (38.2% to 44.4%)78%57530 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)32.4%31.5% (28.9% to 34.1%)86%98657 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call32.0%31.3% (28.2% to 34.4%)89%90488 first calls
Average win turn12.3212.36 (12.20 to 12.53)38%65507 wins
Tenpai rate at draws36.5%37.5% (34.6% to 40.3%)74%11583 draws
Staying in vs riichi12.5%13.6% (12.6% to 14.5%)28%51,530 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate70.4%70.5% (69.9% to 71.0%)98%1115,444 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.171.17 (1.13 to 1.21)96%8814,929 discards
Breaking shape for value1.8%1.8% (1.6% to 2.0%)93%2815,444 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.348.23 (8.15 to 8.32)35%96640 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate66.9%67.5% (64.7% to 70.2%)87%18640 tenpai hands
Dama rate15.8%15.5% (13.2% to 17.9%)89%71507 wins
Riichi income2,0822,281 (1,915 to 2,646)64%5678 riichi
Riichi win rate42.5%43.3% (40.5% to 46.1%)78%5678 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A15.2%14.4% (13.4% to 15.4%)8%17678 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B11.9%11.3% (10.1% to 12.5%)23%13678 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate45.9%46.9% (44.2% to 49.6%)74%5678 riichi
Riichi draw rate17.7%18.1% (15.9% to 20.2%)76%28678 riichi
Call income298421 (190 to 652)34%22488 calls
Win rate after calling28.5%29.0% (26.3% to 31.7%)60%28488 calls
Deal-in rate after calling13.3%12.7% (10.8% to 14.6%)65%13488 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.00462,885 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.01652,885 hands
Draw luck+0.1%6135,467 draws
Ura-dora luck+0.0367288 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+0.7%69288 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)-2.9%13496 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate14.0%11865 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-3.29237 games

By seasonRegular Season

2026-27 (3 games · skill estimate -0.3pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,628
  • Riichi rate22.9%
  • Deal-in rate11.2%
  • Win rate19.7%
  • First riichi rate76.1%
  • Average riichi turn9.34
  • Call rate19.8%
  • Tenpai rate at draws40.3%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)40.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)28.8%
  • Efficiency match rate72.4%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate71.9%
  • Dama rate12.7%

* Hatched metrics have no league rank: too few games (10 in a season, 40 in a career). The values on the right are estimates pulled toward the league average as far as the data is thin.

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+24.0
  • Deal-ins-30.2
  • Others' tsumo-37.1
  • Ron between others-2.4
  • Draws+0.4
Change in expected points per game. Total -45.3pt/game (3 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins4+71.9+24.0
Deal-ins7-90.7-30.2
Others' tsumo11-111.2-37.1
Ron between others7-7.3-2.4
Draws6+1.3+0.4

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-26.5
  • Draw luck-3.4%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.07
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.10
  • Ura-dora luck+0.56
  • Ippatsu rate-19.7%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)-3.3%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate27.3%

* Hatched metrics have no league rank: too few games (10 in a season, 40 in a career). The values on the right are estimates pulled toward the league average as far as the data is thin.

Every number for 2026-27
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement3.672.50 (2.36 to 2.65)1%—3 games
Points per game-44.7-0.3 (-6.9 to 6.2)1%—3 games
Points per game, luck removed-18.2-0.2 (-6.6 to 6.3)1%—3 games
1st-place rate0.0%25.0% (22.5% to 27.5%)0%—3 games
4th-place rate66.7%25.5% (17.1% to 33.8%)1%—3 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate11.4%19.7% (16.4% to 23.0%)3%—35 hands
Deal-in rate20.0%11.2% (8.6% to 13.8%)3%—35 hands
Riichi rate25.7%22.9% (18.5% to 27.3%)6%—35 hands
Call rate14.3%19.8% (12.0% to 27.5%)36%—35 hands
First riichi rate77.8%76.1% (69.9% to 82.2%)2%—9 riichi
Average riichi turn9.119.34 (8.82 to 9.86)3%—9 riichi
Average win value7,6506,628 (5,840 to 7,416)1%—4 wins
Average deal-in value5,3005,636 (5,011 to 6,261)2%—7 deal-ins
Win efficiency8911,480 (1,449 to 1,511)0%—35 hands
Deal-in loss1,086648 (508 to 788)2%—35 hands
Net efficiency-194827 (589 to 1,065)1%—35 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)44.4%40.9% (30.8% to 50.9%)6%—9 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)66.7%28.8% (18.6% to 39.1%)8%—9 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call20.0%25.3% (11.4% to 39.1%)8%—5 first calls
Average win turn12.5012.39 (12.04 to 12.73)0%—4 wins
Tenpai rate at draws50.0%40.3% (31.1% to 49.5%)3%—6 draws
Staying in vs riichi9.1%14.0% (12.3% to 15.6%)1%—22 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate71.4%72.4% (68.7% to 76.1%)33%—168 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.011.05 (0.83 to 1.27)22%—165 discards
Breaking shape for value2.4%2.1% (1.1% to 3.0%)13%—168 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)7.928.17 (8.01 to 8.34)1%—7 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate78.9%71.9% (60.4% to 83.4%)7%—7 tenpai hands
Dama rate0.0%12.7% (1.6% to 23.8%)6%—4 wins
Riichi income9442,601 (1,581 to 3,621)2%—9 riichi
Riichi win rate44.4%46.1% (36.7% to 55.4%)4%—9 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A22.2%14.3% (13.6% to 15.0%)0%—9 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B22.2%11.1% (9.1% to 13.1%)0%—9 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate44.4%49.6% (41.1% to 58.2%)4%—9 riichi
Riichi draw rate11.1%18.9% (11.8% to 25.9%)4%—9 riichi
Call income-3,620463 (7.29 to 919)1%—5 calls
Win rate after calling0.0%29.3% (22.2% to 36.5%)1%—5 calls
Deal-in rate after calling40.0%12.1% (6.6% to 17.6%)2%—5 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.07—35 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.10—35 hands
Draw luck-3.4%—445 draws
Ura-dora luck+0.56—4 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-19.7%—4 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)-3.3%—7 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate27.3%—11 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-26.5—3 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi11.4%+891+924-32
Wins with calls0.0%0+381-381
Dama wins0.0%0+175-175
Deal-ins to riichi11.4%-757-361-396
Deal-ins to open hands5.7%-140-203+63
Deal-ins to dama2.9%-246-102-144
Others' tsumo31.4%-1,106-757-349
Other (draws etc.)37.1%-43-59+16
Total (per hand)-1,400
2025-26 (30 games · skill estimate -0.3pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,631
  • Riichi rate20.9%
  • Deal-in rate10.9%
  • Win rate19.1%
  • First riichi rate75.8%
  • Average riichi turn9.43
  • Call rate26.5%
  • Tenpai rate at draws39.9%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.0%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)39.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)32.7%
  • Efficiency match rate70.0%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate66.0%
  • Dama rate16.9%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+44.4
  • Deal-ins-17.3
  • Others' tsumo-30.2
  • Ron between others-0.3
  • Draws-1.2
Change in expected points per game. Total -4.7pt/game (30 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins65+1332.1+44.4
Deal-ins43-520.4-17.3
Others' tsumo121-907.0-30.2
Ron between others84-10.4-0.3
Draws78-36.6-1.2

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-8.2
  • Draw luck-0.3%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.02
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.04
  • Ura-dora luck-0.04
  • Ippatsu rate-3.1%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)-1.1%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate9.9%
Every number for 2025-26
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.602.50 (2.38 to 2.63)6%3930 games
Points per game-4.9-0.3 (-5.9 to 5.2)7%3130 games
Points per game, luck removed3.30.3 (-4.9 to 5.5)9%7030 games
1st-place rate30.0%25.2% (22.0% to 28.3%)2%6730 games
4th-place rate26.7%25.1% (18.6% to 31.6%)12%4430 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate16.6%19.1% (17.0% to 21.2%)27%4391 hands
Deal-in rate11.0%10.9% (9.3% to 12.6%)27%62391 hands
Riichi rate18.2%20.9% (18.5% to 23.3%)40%6391 hands
Call rate27.1%26.5% (23.3% to 29.8%)86%72391 hands
First riichi rate74.6%75.8% (71.2% to 80.4%)16%5271 riichi
Average riichi turn9.759.43 (9.06 to 9.80)20%1471 riichi
Average win value6,7086,631 (6,093 to 7,170)20%7065 wins
Average deal-in value4,8725,550 (5,049 to 6,051)12%8743 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,2631,480 (1,424 to 1,536)0%50391 hands
Deal-in loss574630 (527 to 733)16%75391 hands
Net efficiency689822 (636 to 1,007)12%29391 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.4%39.9% (33.8% to 46.1%)32%3773 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)41.7%32.7% (27.2% to 38.2%)44%10084 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call26.4%26.2% (20.5% to 31.8%)65%64106 first calls
Average win turn12.6312.40 (12.12 to 12.69)7%1965 wins
Tenpai rate at draws39.7%39.9% (34.2% to 45.7%)27%4278 draws
Staying in vs riichi14.2%14.0% (12.6% to 15.5%)5%57218 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate69.6%70.0% (68.5% to 71.6%)86%92,025 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.181.15 (1.06 to 1.25)77%951,951 discards
Breaking shape for value1.8%1.9% (1.4% to 2.3%)65%442,025 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.178.17 (8.03 to 8.32)6%7071 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate58.9%66.0% (59.8% to 72.1%)43%671 tenpai hands
Dama rate20.0%16.9% (11.7% to 22.1%)52%10065 wins
Riichi income2,6972,649 (1,884 to 3,415)16%4971 riichi
Riichi win rate42.3%45.1% (39.0% to 51.2%)27%2471 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A14.1%14.3% (13.2% to 15.5%)1%6471 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B9.9%11.0% (9.2% to 12.8%)3%6271 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate54.9%51.0% (45.1% to 56.9%)23%7271 riichi
Riichi draw rate19.7%19.3% (14.6% to 24.1%)25%8271 riichi
Call income-189416 (61.32 to 771)10%14106 calls
Win rate after calling20.8%27.6% (23.1% to 32.1%)24%1106 calls
Deal-in rate after calling14.2%12.3% (9.0% to 15.5%)28%24106 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0264391 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0487391 hands
Draw luck-0.3%294,698 draws
Ura-dora luck-0.042930 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-3.1%3730 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)-1.1%5453 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate9.9%85121 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-8.2630 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi7.7%+697+924-227
Wins with calls5.6%+354+381-28
Dama wins3.3%+213+175+37
Deal-ins to riichi5.9%-406-361-45
Deal-ins to open hands4.3%-147-203+56
Deal-ins to dama0.8%-40-102+62
Others' tsumo30.9%-897-757-140
Other (draws etc.)41.4%-74-59-15
Total (per hand)-300
2024-25 (24 games · skill estimate -0.2pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,706
  • Riichi rate22.9%
  • Deal-in rate11.1%
  • Win rate19.7%
  • First riichi rate73.3%
  • Average riichi turn9.50
  • Call rate22.6%
  • Tenpai rate at draws39.8%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)28.7%
  • Efficiency match rate71.1%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.19
  • Immediate riichi rate68.0%
  • Dama rate11.8%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+51.3
  • Deal-ins-21.9
  • Others' tsumo-29.0
  • Ron between others-3.8
  • Draws-0.5
Change in expected points per game. Total -4.0pt/game (24 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins60+1230.1+51.3
Deal-ins37-526.2-21.9
Others' tsumo92-695.3-29.0
Ron between others71-91.5-3.8
Draws59-12.4-0.5

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-2.2
  • Draw luck+0.5%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.04
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.01
  • Ura-dora luck-0.03
  • Ippatsu rate+9.3%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)-8.8%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate8.7%
Every number for 2024-25
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.502.50 (2.37 to 2.63)5%4624 games
Points per game-4.0-0.2 (-5.9 to 5.5)6%3524 games
Points per game, luck removed-1.8-0.1 (-5.6 to 5.3)7%4624 games
1st-place rate12.5%24.9% (21.7% to 28.0%)2%1424 games
4th-place rate20.8%24.5% (17.7% to 31.3%)10%6024 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate18.8%19.7% (17.5% to 22.0%)23%24319 hands
Deal-in rate11.6%11.1% (9.3% to 12.8%)23%43319 hands
Riichi rate23.2%22.9% (20.3% to 25.5%)35%52319 hands
Call rate22.6%22.6% (19.1% to 26.1%)83%35319 hands
First riichi rate59.5%73.3% (68.7% to 77.8%)17%174 riichi
Average riichi turn10.119.50 (9.14 to 9.87)21%174 riichi
Average win value7,1226,706 (6,155 to 7,257)18%9460 wins
Average deal-in value5,4005,618 (5,102 to 6,133)11%4337 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,5251,480 (1,424 to 1,537)0%50319 hands
Deal-in loss653642 (535 to 750)13%35319 hands
Net efficiency872843 (650 to 1,035)10%49319 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)30.6%38.2% (31.1% to 45.3%)24%949 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)32.9%28.7% (23.0% to 34.4%)42%8676 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call26.4%26.1% (19.7% to 32.5%)55%6672 first calls
Average win turn12.5812.40 (12.11 to 12.69)7%1560 wins
Tenpai rate at draws39.0%39.8% (33.5% to 46.1%)22%3259 draws
Staying in vs riichi18.8%14.2% (12.8% to 15.7%)5%97186 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate70.8%71.1% (69.5% to 72.7%)83%71,712 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.131.11 (1.01 to 1.21)74%831,657 discards
Breaking shape for value1.5%1.7% (1.3% to 2.2%)61%241,712 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.518.19 (8.05 to 8.34)5%10064 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate63.1%68.0% (61.6% to 74.4%)41%1564 tenpai hands
Dama rate10.0%11.8% (6.5% to 17.1%)50%4960 wins
Riichi income2,3812,598 (1,840 to 3,356)16%4674 riichi
Riichi win rate41.9%45.0% (39.0% to 51.0%)28%2974 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A18.9%14.4% (13.2% to 15.5%)1%2474 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B12.2%11.1% (9.3% to 12.9%)3%4374 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate50.0%49.9% (44.0% to 55.7%)23%6074 riichi
Riichi draw rate17.6%18.8% (14.1% to 23.4%)26%4674 riichi
Call income647497 (119 to 874)7%6972 calls
Win rate after calling31.9%30.2% (25.1% to 35.2%)18%5872 calls
Deal-in rate after calling12.5%11.8% (8.1% to 15.4%)21%4372 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0426319 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0172319 hands
Draw luck+0.5%803,848 draws
Ura-dora luck-0.034131 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+9.3%9731 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)-8.8%1244 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate8.7%9292 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-2.23524 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.7%+908+924-15
Wins with calls7.2%+428+381+47
Dama wins1.9%+189+175+13
Deal-ins to riichi4.4%-259-361+102
Deal-ins to open hands4.4%-209-203-6
Deal-ins to dama2.8%-213-102-111
Others' tsumo28.8%-794-757-37
Other (draws etc.)40.8%-100-59-41
Total (per hand)-50
2023-24 (25 games · skill estimate -0.2pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,683
  • Riichi rate22.8%
  • Deal-in rate10.8%
  • Win rate19.5%
  • First riichi rate76.7%
  • Average riichi turn9.29
  • Call rate20.1%
  • Tenpai rate at draws38.9%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.8%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)43.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)31.4%
  • Efficiency match rate70.8%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate69.1%
  • Dama rate13.6%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+42.0
  • Deal-ins-17.5
  • Others' tsumo-25.4
  • Ron between others-2.3
  • Draws-0.2
Change in expected points per game. Total -3.4pt/game (25 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins51+1050.0+42.0
Deal-ins30-438.3-17.5
Others' tsumo89-636.1-25.4
Ron between others67-57.7-2.3
Draws50-3.8-0.2

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-7.6
  • Draw luck-0.8%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.03
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.03
  • Ura-dora luck+0.03
  • Ippatsu rate-12.1%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)-8.7%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate11.2%
Every number for 2023-24
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.522.50 (2.37 to 2.63)5%5525 games
Points per game-3.4-0.2 (-5.8 to 5.5)6%4125 games
Points per game, luck removed4.30.3 (-5.1 to 5.7)8%6625 games
1st-place rate20.0%25.0% (21.8% to 28.1%)2%3825 games
4th-place rate20.0%24.4% (17.7% to 31.1%)10%7325 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate17.8%19.5% (17.2% to 21.8%)21%7287 hands
Deal-in rate10.5%10.8% (9.0% to 12.6%)22%63287 hands
Riichi rate23.0%22.8% (20.2% to 25.5%)33%43287 hands
Call rate19.5%20.1% (16.4% to 23.8%)82%18287 hands
First riichi rate80.3%76.7% (72.0% to 81.4%)15%8366 riichi
Average riichi turn9.059.29 (8.91 to 9.67)19%7566 riichi
Average win value7,0516,683 (6,109 to 7,257)16%7551 wins
Average deal-in value5,6675,646 (5,111 to 6,180)9%4630 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,3831,480 (1,424 to 1,537)0%50287 hands
Deal-in loss607637 (526 to 747)12%66287 hands
Net efficiency776834 (638 to 1,030)9%35287 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)51.0%43.2% (36.1% to 50.3%)24%9249 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)42.6%31.4% (24.9% to 37.8%)34%9754 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call30.4%28.0% (21.0% to 35.0%)49%7756 first calls
Average win turn12.4312.39 (12.10 to 12.68)6%4351 wins
Tenpai rate at draws34.0%38.9% (32.2% to 45.5%)19%1850 draws
Staying in vs riichi9.5%13.8% (12.4% to 15.3%)4%4148 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate70.3%70.8% (69.1% to 72.5%)82%121,512 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.261.21 (1.10 to 1.31)72%941,467 discards
Breaking shape for value1.2%1.5% (1.1% to 2.0%)58%71,512 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.038.17 (8.02 to 8.31)5%2966 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate66.0%69.1% (62.8% to 75.4%)41%2966 tenpai hands
Dama rate13.7%13.6% (8.0% to 19.2%)46%6051 wins
Riichi income1,5772,481 (1,702 to 3,261)15%966 riichi
Riichi win rate39.4%44.4% (38.2% to 50.7%)25%766 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A16.7%14.3% (13.2% to 15.5%)1%2166 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B15.2%11.2% (9.4% to 13.0%)3%1566 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate34.8%46.6% (40.6% to 52.7%)21%166 riichi
Riichi draw rate13.6%17.9% (13.0% to 22.7%)23%1566 riichi
Call income1,048517 (127 to 907)6%8656 calls
Win rate after calling32.1%30.1% (24.8% to 35.5%)15%7256 calls
Deal-in rate after calling7.1%10.8% (6.8% to 14.7%)17%8956 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0355287 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0332287 hands
Draw luck-0.8%213,418 draws
Ura-dora luck+0.035826 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-12.1%426 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)-8.7%753 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate11.2%4689 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-7.6725 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi9.1%+870+924-54
Wins with calls6.3%+346+381-35
Dama wins2.4%+167+175-8
Deal-ins to riichi5.2%-404-361-43
Deal-ins to open hands3.8%-170-203+33
Deal-ins to dama1.4%-68-102+34
Others' tsumo31.0%-853-757-96
Other (draws etc.)40.8%-59-59+0
Total (per hand)-171
2022-23 (19 games · skill estimate -0.7pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,596
  • Riichi rate23.0%
  • Deal-in rate11.0%
  • Win rate19.2%
  • First riichi rate76.9%
  • Average riichi turn9.46
  • Call rate14.9%
  • Tenpai rate at draws38.6%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.8%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)39.4%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)28.7%
  • Efficiency match rate73.4%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.19
  • Immediate riichi rate73.7%
  • Dama rate16.5%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+39.0
  • Deal-ins-26.6
  • Others' tsumo-28.0
  • Ron between others+0.6
  • Draws-0.9
Change in expected points per game. Total -15.8pt/game (19 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins38+741.8+39.0
Deal-ins28-504.9-26.6
Others' tsumo71-531.2-28.0
Ron between others48+11.1+0.6
Draws57-17.1-0.9

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-6.7
  • Draw luck-0.2%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.06
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.02
  • Ura-dora luck-0.28
  • Ippatsu rate+5.3%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)+1.9%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate8.5%
Every number for 2022-23
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.842.51 (2.38 to 2.64)4%419 games
Points per game-16.1-0.7 (-6.5 to 5.1)4%719 games
Points per game, luck removed-9.4-0.6 (-6.2 to 5.0)6%1119 games
1st-place rate15.8%24.9% (21.8% to 28.1%)1%2019 games
4th-place rate47.4%26.7% (19.7% to 33.7%)8%119 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate15.7%19.2% (16.8% to 21.6%)18%14242 hands
Deal-in rate11.6%11.0% (9.1% to 12.9%)19%30242 hands
Riichi rate23.6%23.0% (20.1% to 25.8%)29%68242 hands
Call rate12.8%14.9% (10.9% to 18.8%)79%4242 hands
First riichi rate82.5%76.9% (72.1% to 81.7%)13%9057 riichi
Average riichi turn10.059.46 (9.07 to 9.86)17%1457 riichi
Average win value6,4796,596 (5,983 to 7,210)12%3338 wins
Average deal-in value5,9575,669 (5,129 to 6,210)8%2728 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,1301,480 (1,423 to 1,537)0%50242 hands
Deal-in loss740651 (537 to 765)10%17242 hands
Net efficiency390805 (604 to 1,006)8%4242 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)35.8%39.4% (32.5% to 46.3%)26%4653 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)35.4%28.7% (22.0% to 35.4%)31%9748 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call48.4%33.6% (25.0% to 42.1%)35%9731 first calls
Average win turn12.3812.39 (12.08 to 12.69)4%5538 wins
Tenpai rate at draws33.3%38.6% (32.2% to 44.9%)21%2057 draws
Staying in vs riichi8.4%13.8% (12.3% to 15.4%)3%1119 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate73.6%73.4% (71.7% to 75.2%)80%681,337 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)0.940.98 (0.87 to 1.09)69%111,305 discards
Breaking shape for value2.3%2.2% (1.7% to 2.7%)55%741,337 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.628.19 (8.05 to 8.34)4%9054 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate77.8%73.7% (66.9% to 80.5%)37%8154 tenpai hands
Dama rate21.1%16.5% (10.3% to 22.7%)39%8138 wins
Riichi income1,3682,472 (1,667 to 3,278)13%457 riichi
Riichi win rate35.1%43.6% (37.1% to 50.2%)23%757 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A14.0%14.3% (13.1% to 15.5%)1%3357 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B12.3%11.1% (9.3% to 12.9%)2%1757 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate45.6%49.0% (42.7% to 55.3%)19%3357 riichi
Riichi draw rate28.1%21.0% (16.0% to 26.1%)21%9757 riichi
Call income429483 (69.05 to 897)3%5231 calls
Win rate after calling32.3%30.0% (24.0% to 36.0%)9%5231 calls
Deal-in rate after calling16.1%12.0% (7.5% to 16.5%)10%2731 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.064242 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0249242 hands
Draw luck-0.2%433,057 draws
Ura-dora luck-0.28120 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+5.3%7620 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)+1.9%6247 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate8.5%9071 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-6.71719 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi8.3%+713+924-210
Wins with calls4.1%+280+381-101
Dama wins3.3%+137+175-38
Deal-ins to riichi4.5%-403-361-42
Deal-ins to open hands3.3%-223-203-20
Deal-ins to dama3.7%-143-102-41
Others' tsumo29.3%-860-757-103
Other (draws etc.)43.4%-87-59-27
Total (per hand)-586
2021-22 (22 games · skill estimate -0.9pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,704
  • Riichi rate24.9%
  • Deal-in rate10.7%
  • Win rate19.0%
  • First riichi rate77.5%
  • Average riichi turn9.50
  • Call rate15.3%
  • Tenpai rate at draws41.6%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)41.6%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)27.4%
  • Efficiency match rate72.2%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.17
  • Immediate riichi rate72.9%
  • Dama rate11.4%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+38.8
  • Deal-ins-18.9
  • Others' tsumo-35.0
  • Ron between others-2.7
  • Draws+0.1
Change in expected points per game. Total -17.8pt/game (22 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins38+853.0+38.8
Deal-ins26-415.2-18.9
Others' tsumo89-770.3-35.0
Ron between others44-60.3-2.7
Draws62+2.1+0.1

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-4.8
  • Draw luck+0.1%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.05
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.06
  • Ura-dora luck-0.05
  • Ippatsu rate-1.2%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)+2.2%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate19.1%
Every number for 2021-22
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.952.52 (2.38 to 2.65)4%422 games
Points per game-17.9-0.9 (-6.7 to 4.8)5%422 games
Points per game, luck removed-13.1-0.9 (-6.4 to 4.6)7%722 games
1st-place rate4.5%24.8% (21.6% to 27.9%)1%122 games
4th-place rate31.8%25.5% (18.7% to 32.4%)9%2322 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate14.7%19.0% (16.6% to 21.3%)19%14259 hands
Deal-in rate10.0%10.7% (8.9% to 12.6%)20%58259 hands
Riichi rate29.7%24.9% (22.1% to 27.6%)31%100259 hands
Call rate13.5%15.3% (11.5% to 19.2%)80%4259 hands
First riichi rate84.4%77.5% (73.0% to 82.0%)17%9777 riichi
Average riichi turn10.069.50 (9.14 to 9.86)21%1477 riichi
Average win value7,3476,704 (6,091 to 7,318)12%8438 wins
Average deal-in value4,9195,588 (5,041 to 6,134)8%8726 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,1671,480 (1,423 to 1,537)0%50259 hands
Deal-in loss509626 (514 to 739)11%81259 hands
Net efficiency658825 (625 to 1,024)8%23259 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)45.7%41.6% (33.8% to 49.4%)19%7435 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)30.5%27.4% (21.1% to 33.6%)36%8959 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call28.6%26.8% (18.6% to 35.0%)38%5235 first calls
Average win turn12.8812.41 (12.11 to 12.71)4%3338 wins
Tenpai rate at draws46.8%41.6% (35.4% to 47.8%)23%8462 draws
Staying in vs riichi11.0%13.9% (12.4% to 15.4%)3%20118 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate72.0%72.2% (70.5% to 73.9%)81%521,438 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.041.04 (0.94 to 1.15)70%391,393 discards
Breaking shape for value1.7%1.9% (1.4% to 2.3%)57%301,438 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.138.17 (8.03 to 8.32)5%3061 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate75.2%72.9% (66.4% to 79.3%)40%7861 tenpai hands
Dama rate7.9%11.4% (5.2% to 17.5%)39%2338 wins
Riichi income1,7122,482 (1,732 to 3,233)17%1177 riichi
Riichi win rate35.1%43.0% (37.1% to 49.0%)28%1177 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A13.0%14.3% (13.2% to 15.5%)1%4977 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B11.7%11.1% (9.3% to 12.8%)3%2377 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate37.7%46.9% (41.2% to 52.6%)24%177 riichi
Riichi draw rate22.1%19.9% (15.3% to 24.6%)26%6577 riichi
Call income-663443 (33.70 to 853)4%1435 calls
Win rate after calling22.9%29.1% (23.2% to 35.0%)10%2735 calls
Deal-in rate after calling17.1%12.2% (7.8% to 16.6%)12%1435 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0514259 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0687259 hands
Draw luck+0.1%583,321 draws
Ura-dora luck-0.053327 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-1.2%4627 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)+2.2%5265 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate19.1%189 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-4.82322 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi10.4%+965+924+41
Wins with calls3.1%+174+381-207
Dama wins1.2%+28+175-147
Deal-ins to riichi5.0%-338-361+23
Deal-ins to open hands2.3%-77-203+126
Deal-ins to dama2.7%-129-102-27
Others' tsumo34.4%-990-757-234
Other (draws etc.)40.9%-35-59+25
Total (per hand)-402
2020-21 (27 games · skill estimate -1.1pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,656
  • Riichi rate22.7%
  • Deal-in rate11.3%
  • Win rate19.3%
  • First riichi rate75.5%
  • Average riichi turn9.49
  • Call rate14.8%
  • Tenpai rate at draws39.6%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.8%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)43.2%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)25.2%
  • Efficiency match rate68.9%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.21
  • Immediate riichi rate67.2%
  • Dama rate16.2%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+38.6
  • Deal-ins-23.3
  • Others' tsumo-29.7
  • Ron between others-1.5
  • Draws-1.5
Change in expected points per game. Total -17.3pt/game (27 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins52+1043.1+38.6
Deal-ins39-629.0-23.3
Others' tsumo93-801.9-29.7
Ron between others67-39.2-1.5
Draws60-40.4-1.5

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)-0.5
  • Draw luck+0.3%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.04
  • Dora and red fives dealt+0.02
  • Ura-dora luck+0.23
  • Ippatsu rate+11.7%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)-11.9%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate22.6%
Every number for 2020-21
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.932.52 (2.39 to 2.65)5%127 games
Points per game-17.1-1.1 (-6.7 to 4.5)6%127 games
Points per game, luck removed-16.6-1.4 (-6.7 to 3.9)8%127 games
1st-place rate11.1%24.8% (21.7% to 28.0%)2%127 games
4th-place rate44.4%27.0% (20.4% to 33.7%)11%127 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate16.7%19.3% (17.0% to 21.5%)22%15311 hands
Deal-in rate12.5%11.3% (9.5% to 13.1%)23%18311 hands
Riichi rate22.5%22.7% (20.1% to 25.2%)35%59311 hands
Call rate13.2%14.8% (11.2% to 18.4%)83%8311 hands
First riichi rate72.9%75.5% (70.9% to 80.1%)16%1570 riichi
Average riichi turn10.079.49 (9.12 to 9.86)20%870 riichi
Average win value6,8756,656 (6,084 to 7,227)16%5952 wins
Average deal-in value6,1365,698 (5,188 to 6,209)11%2139 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,2791,480 (1,424 to 1,537)0%50311 hands
Deal-in loss804662 (554 to 771)13%4311 hands
Net efficiency475804 (611 to 998)10%8311 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)49.2%43.2% (36.8% to 49.6%)30%9065 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)24.6%25.2% (19.3% to 31.1%)40%6269 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call43.9%33.2% (25.5% to 41.0%)41%9741 first calls
Average win turn12.6212.40 (12.11 to 12.69)6%3252 wins
Tenpai rate at draws38.3%39.6% (33.4% to 45.9%)22%4560 draws
Staying in vs riichi9.3%13.8% (12.3% to 15.3%)4%1162 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate68.2%68.9% (67.3% to 70.4%)85%81,873 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.331.27 (1.17 to 1.36)75%971,794 discards
Breaking shape for value2.3%2.2% (1.8% to 2.7%)63%731,873 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.808.21 (8.06 to 8.35)5%9766 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate61.5%67.2% (60.9% to 73.5%)41%866 tenpai hands
Dama rate19.2%16.2% (10.6% to 21.8%)46%6952 wins
Riichi income2,3862,600 (1,832 to 3,369)16%4970 riichi
Riichi win rate50.0%47.2% (41.0% to 53.3%)27%6970 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A18.6%14.4% (13.2% to 15.5%)1%1870 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B10.0%11.0% (9.2% to 12.8%)3%6970 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate51.4%50.2% (44.3% to 56.1%)22%4970 riichi
Riichi draw rate14.3%18.0% (13.2% to 22.7%)25%1170 riichi
Call income-659437 (33.19 to 841)4%441 calls
Win rate after calling17.1%28.4% (22.7% to 34.1%)11%441 calls
Deal-in rate after calling17.1%12.3% (8.0% to 16.5%)13%2141 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0469311 hands
Dora and red fives dealt+0.0262311 hands
Draw luck+0.3%733,942 draws
Ura-dora luck+0.2310035 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+11.7%9735 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)-11.9%151 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate22.6%193 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)-0.55227 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi11.3%+938+924+14
Wins with calls2.3%+133+381-249
Dama wins3.2%+209+175+34
Deal-ins to riichi6.1%-445-361-84
Deal-ins to open hands2.9%-130-203+73
Deal-ins to dama3.5%-252-102-150
Others' tsumo29.9%-889-757-133
Other (draws etc.)40.8%-64-59-5
Total (per hand)-501
2019-20 (29 games · skill estimate -0.6pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,524
  • Riichi rate23.9%
  • Deal-in rate11.7%
  • Win rate19.8%
  • First riichi rate75.7%
  • Average riichi turn9.46
  • Call rate15.0%
  • Tenpai rate at draws40.9%
  • Staying in vs riichi14.1%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)42.6%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)27.2%
  • Efficiency match rate72.1%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.21
  • Immediate riichi rate71.2%
  • Dama rate14.4%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+44.0
  • Deal-ins-24.2
  • Others' tsumo-25.3
  • Ron between others-1.7
  • Draws-1.4
Change in expected points per game. Total -8.6pt/game (29 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins66+1275.0+44.0
Deal-ins49-700.4-24.2
Others' tsumo101-733.3-25.3
Ron between others58-50.3-1.7
Draws71-41.1-1.4

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+0.6
  • Draw luck+0.5%
  • Starting hand (shanten)+0.04
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.01
  • Ura-dora luck+0.06
  • Ippatsu rate-4.4%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)-0.4%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate14.9%
Every number for 2019-20
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.662.51 (2.38 to 2.63)6%1229 games
Points per game-8.7-0.6 (-6.1 to 5.0)7%829 games
Points per game, luck removed-9.2-0.8 (-6.1 to 4.4)9%529 games
1st-place rate17.2%24.9% (21.8% to 28.0%)2%1529 games
4th-place rate27.6%25.2% (18.7% to 31.8%)12%4329 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate19.1%19.8% (17.6% to 22.0%)24%47345 hands
Deal-in rate14.2%11.7% (10.0% to 13.4%)25%1345 hands
Riichi rate25.8%23.9% (21.4% to 26.4%)37%93345 hands
Call rate13.6%15.0% (11.6% to 18.5%)85%12345 hands
First riichi rate74.2%75.7% (71.3% to 80.0%)19%2689 riichi
Average riichi turn9.829.46 (9.11 to 9.80)24%1289 riichi
Average win value6,1656,524 (5,988 to 7,061)20%1566 wins
Average deal-in value5,0205,559 (5,071 to 6,046)14%9649 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,3331,480 (1,424 to 1,536)0%50345 hands
Deal-in loss742655 (549 to 761)14%19345 hands
Net efficiency591813 (623 to 1,003)11%8345 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)47.5%42.6% (36.0% to 49.2%)28%8661 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)29.3%27.2% (21.7% to 32.8%)44%7982 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call40.4%32.3% (24.9% to 39.7%)45%8247 first calls
Average win turn11.7912.34 (12.06 to 12.63)7%9666 wins
Tenpai rate at draws43.7%40.9% (35.0% to 46.9%)25%6571 draws
Staying in vs riichi15.3%14.1% (12.6% to 15.5%)4%65177 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate71.9%72.1% (70.5% to 73.7%)84%581,803 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.101.09 (0.99 to 1.18)75%501,755 discards
Breaking shape for value1.5%1.7% (1.3% to 2.1%)62%81,803 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.638.21 (8.06 to 8.35)7%9686 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate71.0%71.2% (65.4% to 76.9%)48%5486 tenpai hands
Dama rate15.2%14.4% (9.2% to 19.5%)52%4366 wins
Riichi income1,9762,513 (1,791 to 3,235)19%1589 riichi
Riichi win rate43.8%45.4% (39.8% to 51.1%)32%3389 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A15.7%14.3% (13.2% to 15.5%)1%1989 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B15.7%11.2% (9.5% to 13.0%)4%589 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate43.8%48.2% (42.7% to 53.7%)27%889 riichi
Riichi draw rate21.3%19.8% (15.4% to 24.2%)29%6589 riichi
Call income860503 (105 to 901)5%6147 calls
Win rate after calling36.2%30.6% (25.0% to 36.1%)12%7547 calls
Deal-in rate after calling17.0%12.4% (8.2% to 16.5%)15%1547 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)+0.0496345 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.0147345 hands
Draw luck+0.5%934,221 draws
Ura-dora luck+0.065439 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate-4.4%2239 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)-0.4%4766 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate14.9%26101 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+0.66129 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi11.3%+914+924-9
Wins with calls4.9%+298+381-83
Dama wins2.9%+121+175-55
Deal-ins to riichi5.2%-400-361-39
Deal-ins to open hands6.1%-256-203-53
Deal-ins to dama2.9%-126-102-24
Others' tsumo29.3%-846-757-90
Other (draws etc.)37.4%-39-59+20
Total (per hand)-335
2018-19 (30 games · skill estimate -0.1pt/game)

Style

  • Average win value6,647
  • Riichi rate22.6%
  • Deal-in rate10.7%
  • Win rate20.3%
  • First riichi rate74.4%
  • Average riichi turn9.38
  • Call rate14.7%
  • Tenpai rate at draws37.2%
  • Staying in vs riichi13.9%
  • Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)39.8%
  • Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)27.5%
  • Efficiency match rate67.7%
  • Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.18
  • Immediate riichi rate67.0%
  • Dama rate18.1%

Where the points came from

  • Own wins+49.5
  • Deal-ins-19.0
  • Others' tsumo-25.0
  • Ron between others-5.0
  • Draws-2.8
Change in expected points per game. Total -2.3pt/game (30 games).
As a table
Hand resultHandsTotalPer game
Own wins73+1485.9+49.5
Deal-ins35-570.6-19.0
Others' tsumo96-749.5-25.0
Ron between others76-150.1-5.0
Draws67-84.6-2.8

Luck

  • Points from luck (/game)+4.7
  • Draw luck+0.6%
  • Starting hand (shanten)-0.03
  • Dora and red fives dealt-0.04
  • Ura-dora luck+0.09
  • Ippatsu rate+4.6%
  • Not being chased (/first riichi)+2.2%
  • Painful dealer tsumo rate12.5%
Every number for 2018-19
Results
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Average placement2.632.51 (2.38 to 2.63)6%2130 games
Points per game-2.0-0.1 (-5.7 to 5.4)7%4130 games
Points per game, luck removed-6.7-0.6 (-5.9 to 4.6)9%1630 games
1st-place rate23.3%25.0% (21.9% to 28.1%)2%4130 games
4th-place rate30.0%25.5% (19.0% to 32.0%)12%2630 games
Style
MetricActualEstimate (90% interval)Weight of the recordPercentileCount
Win rate21.0%20.3% (18.1% to 22.4%)24%75347 hands
Deal-in rate10.1%10.7% (9.0% to 12.4%)25%70347 hands
Riichi rate22.5%22.6% (20.2% to 25.1%)37%50347 hands
Call rate13.3%14.7% (11.3% to 18.1%)85%11347 hands
First riichi rate66.7%74.4% (69.9% to 78.9%)18%678 riichi
Average riichi turn9.509.38 (9.02 to 9.74)22%6078 riichi
Average win value6,7706,647 (6,126 to 7,167)21%5573 wins
Average deal-in value5,3715,616 (5,095 to 6,137)10%7035 deal-ins
Win efficiency1,5571,480 (1,424 to 1,536)0%50347 hands
Deal-in loss559629 (523 to 735)14%75347 hands
Net efficiency998856 (667 to 1,046)11%80347 hands
Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten)38.0%39.8% (33.6% to 46.1%)32%4171 hands facing riichi
Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten)29.8%27.5% (21.9% to 33.0%)44%6084 hands facing riichi
Tenpai rate after the first call34.8%29.7% (22.3% to 37.2%)44%9046 first calls
Average win turn11.4512.31 (12.03 to 12.59)8%10073 wins
Tenpai rate at draws28.4%37.2% (31.1% to 43.2%)24%1167 draws
Staying in vs riichi11.0%13.9% (12.4% to 15.3%)5%6191 hands facing riichi
Efficiency match rate66.7%67.7% (66.1% to 69.3%)84%11,771 discards
Average ukeire loss (tiles)1.461.36 (1.26 to 1.46)74%1001,702 discards
Breaking shape for value1.6%1.8% (1.3% to 2.2%)62%111,771 discards
Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted)8.308.18 (8.04 to 8.32)7%7085 tenpai hands
Immediate riichi rate62.2%67.0% (61.2% to 72.8%)48%1185 tenpai hands
Dama rate21.9%18.1% (13.2% to 23.1%)55%9073 wins
Riichi income3,3092,756 (2,008 to 3,504)17%7078 riichi
Riichi win rate52.6%48.0% (42.1% to 53.9%)29%8578 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate A11.5%14.3% (13.1% to 15.5%)1%7578 riichi
Riichi deal-in rate B10.3%11.0% (9.3% to 12.8%)3%6078 riichi
Riichi good-wait rate48.7%49.6% (43.8% to 55.3%)24%4678 riichi
Riichi draw rate14.1%17.8% (13.2% to 22.4%)27%1178 riichi
Call income1,393528 (129 to 926)5%8546 calls
Win rate after calling34.8%30.4% (24.8% to 36.0%)12%7046 calls
Deal-in rate after calling2.2%10.2% (6.0% to 14.3%)15%9546 calls
Luck (difference from the league average)
MetricActualPercentileCount
Starting hand (shanten)-0.0346347 hands
Dora and red fives dealt-0.046347 hands
Draw luck+0.6%754,216 draws
Ura-dora luck+0.096541 riichi wins
Ippatsu rate+4.6%8041 riichi wins
Not being chased (/first riichi)+2.2%7052 first riichi
Painful dealer tsumo rate12.5%3696 tsumo against
Points from luck (/game)+4.78030 games
Hand balance breakdown
CategoryFrequencyBalance per handLeague averageDifference
Wins with riichi11.8%+1,071+924+147
Wins with calls4.6%+264+381-117
Dama wins4.6%+222+175+47
Deal-ins to riichi4.3%-248-361+113
Deal-ins to open hands3.5%-216-203-13
Deal-ins to dama2.3%-118-102-16
Others' tsumo27.7%-777-757-20
Other (draws etc.)41.2%-114-59-54
Total (per hand)+84

Columns about this player

Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first

  1. Murakami JunFormer M.League playerIn common: Low win rate, Late riichi, Strong draws
  2. Maruyama KanakoFormer M.League playerIn common: Late riichi, Chasing riichi often, Low win rate
  3. Kondo SeiichiFormer M.League playerIn common: Late riichi, Low win rate, Stays closed

* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics the data can vouch for weigh more. It shows only how close the styles are, not which is better. The differences are often slight, and the order could change.