Player · 123 career games · 2022-23–2025-26
Namba Shibukawa
Riichis a lot. Stands out for smaller wins and rare dama. Career record: +2.1pt per game, but allowing for luck the difference from average is not clear yet.
Actual / game
+2.1
123 career games
Skill estimate / game
+1.0
90% interval -3.8 to +5.8
Estimate, luck removed
+2.7
adjusted for starting hands, draws, ura-dora
Weight of the record
48%
share of the estimate from the record
Styleleague percentile, career
Color only for metrics with a good side (red = good, blue = bad). Metrics of style, such as riichi rate, call rate and tile efficiency match rate, are gray. For tenpai turn, further right means later (a larger turn number). Values are estimates.
Placements123 career games, average placement 2.43
- 1st26.0%32×
- 2nd27.6%34×
- 3rd23.6%29×
- 4th22.8%28×
Riichi and callsbalance and outcome of hands with riichi or calls
Income is the average points won or lost in those hands (riichi sticks and honba included).
Net efficiency and morecalculated as on Mahjong Soul Paifuya, per hand
Deal-in loss = deal-in rate × average deal-in; net efficiency = win rate × average win − deal-in loss. Win and deal-in values include honba and riichi sticks. Win turn is the number of tiles discarded at the table when the win came ÷ 4 + 1. Win efficiency (win rate × average win) is not shown: players with a high win rate win smaller hands, the two cancel out, and differences between players cannot be told apart from chance.
Skill estimateleague percentile of the estimates
Luckfurther right is luckier; values are differences from the league average (the dealer tsumo rate is the rate itself)
Where the points came fromchange in expected points, all stages
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 309 | +5722.1 | +46.5 |
| Deal-ins | 172 | -2361.6 | -19.2 |
| Others' tsumo | 435 | -2974.0 | -24.2 |
| Ron between others | 327 | -241.3 | -2.0 |
| Exhaustive draws | 284 | +105.8 | +0.9 |
Hand balance breakdownpoints won or lost per hand, all stages
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 10.7% | +894 | +919 | -25 |
| Wins with calls | 7.8% | +389 | +382 | +7 |
| Dama wins | 1.7% | +142 | +173 | -31 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 4.3% | -297 | -360 | +63 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 5.6% | -202 | -203 | +1 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.4% | -93 | -101 | +8 |
| Others' tsumo | 28.5% | -756 | -752 | -4 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 40.0% | -40 | -60 | +20 |
| Total (per hand) | +36 |
Every career number (estimate, 90% interval, weight of the record)
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.43 | 2.47 (2.35 to 2.58) | 46% | 72 | 123 games |
| Points per game | 2.1 | 1.0 (-3.8 to 5.8) | 48% | 64 | 123 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | 4.9 | 2.7 (-1.6 to 7.0) | 56% | 94 | 123 games |
| 1st-place rate | 26.0% | 25.5% (20.9% to 30.2%) | 49% | 58 | 123 games |
| 4th-place rate | 22.8% | 23.8% (19.1% to 28.5%) | 51% | 72 | 123 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 20.2% | 20.1% (18.8% to 21.5%) | 66% | 60 | 1,527 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 11.3% | 11.1% (10.1% to 12.2%) | 62% | 33 | 1,527 hands |
| Riichi rate | 24.4% | 23.8% (22.4% to 25.3%) | 67% | 84 | 1,527 hands |
| Call rate | 23.8% | 23.8% (22.1% to 25.5%) | 96% | 60 | 1,527 hands |
| First riichi rate | 73.7% | 74.9% (72.4% to 77.5%) | 45% | 15 | 372 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.52 | 9.46 (9.23 to 9.69) | 69% | 23 | 372 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,197 | 6,372 (6,051 to 6,694) | 56% | 15 | 309 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 4,782 | 5,315 (4,980 to 5,649) | 37% | 100 | 172 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,425 | 1,467 (1,385 to 1,548) | 15% | 31 | 1,527 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 566 | 610 (545 to 675) | 40% | 88 | 1,527 hands |
| Net efficiency | 859 | 845 (714 to 977) | 43% | 68 | 1,527 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 40.3% | 40.5% (36.6% to 44.5%) | 58% | 45 | 248 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 28.4% | 27.8% (24.3% to 31.2%) | 79% | 66 | 342 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 28.8% | 28.4% (24.9% to 31.9%) | 86% | 76 | 364 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.43 | 12.38 (12.25 to 12.51) | 7% | 45 | 309 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 42.6% | 41.6% (37.8% to 45.4%) | 61% | 74 | 284 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 15.4% | 14.4% (13.2% to 15.7%) | 28% | 84 | 800 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 74.7% | 74.6% (73.8% to 75.4%) | 96% | 74 | 8,176 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 0.93 | 0.94 (0.89 to 0.99) | 93% | 3 | 7,887 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.0% | 2.0% (1.7% to 2.2%) | 90% | 43 | 8,176 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.30 | 8.19 (8.09 to 8.29) | 17% | 86 | 326 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 76.2% | 75.0% (71.5% to 78.6%) | 75% | 84 | 326 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 8.4% | 9.2% (6.3% to 12.1%) | 83% | 15 | 309 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,276 | 2,450 (2,005 to 2,894) | 50% | 17 | 372 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 44.1% | 44.7% (41.2% to 48.2%) | 68% | 31 | 372 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 15.6% | 14.5% (13.0% to 16.0%) | 13% | 23 | 372 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 10.8% | 11.0% (9.2% to 12.7%) | 29% | 62 | 372 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 43.8% | 46.5% (43.2% to 49.7%) | 55% | 3 | 372 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 19.4% | 19.3% (16.7% to 22.0%) | 61% | 43 | 372 riichi |
| Call income | 500 | 492 (220 to 764) | 38% | 49 | 364 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 32.7% | 31.5% (28.4% to 34.6%) | 59% | 90 | 364 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 13.2% | 12.5% (10.4% to 14.6%) | 59% | 17 | 364 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | -0.00 | 33 | 1,527 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.00 | 56 | 1,527 hands |
| Draw luck | -0.1% | 31 | 18,459 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.06 | 7 | 164 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | +0.4% | 62 | 164 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | +2.4% | 86 | 274 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 11.7% | 70 | 435 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -2.8 | 13 | 123 games |
By seasonRegular Season
2025-26 (35 games · skill estimate 1.0pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 99 | +1644.7 | +47.0 |
| Deal-ins | 44 | -487.4 | -13.9 |
| Others' tsumo | 141 | -916.6 | -26.2 |
| Ron between others | 86 | -82.5 | -2.4 |
| Exhaustive draws | 76 | +18.1 | +0.5 |
Luck
Every number for 2025-26
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.40 | 2.48 (2.30 to 2.66) | 19% | 64 | 35 games |
| Points per game | 5.0 | 1.0 (-6.3 to 8.4) | 21% | 77 | 35 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | 12.3 | 3.2 (-3.4 to 9.9) | 26% | 100 | 35 games |
| 1st-place rate | 25.7% | 25.2% (18.0% to 32.4%) | 21% | 52 | 35 games |
| 4th-place rate | 20.0% | 23.8% (16.5% to 31.1%) | 23% | 76 | 35 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 22.2% | 20.8% (18.7% to 22.9%) | 36% | 82 | 446 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 9.9% | 10.6% (9.0% to 12.2%) | 32% | 77 | 446 hands |
| Riichi rate | 23.3% | 23.0% (20.8% to 25.2%) | 38% | 62 | 446 hands |
| Call rate | 25.1% | 24.8% (21.8% to 27.9%) | 87% | 52 | 446 hands |
| First riichi rate | 77.9% | 76.4% (72.4% to 80.3%) | 19% | 75 | 104 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.55 | 9.42 (9.06 to 9.77) | 38% | 24 | 104 riichi |
| Average win value | 5,946 | 6,406 (5,930 to 6,883) | 29% | 11 | 99 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 3,982 | 5,412 (4,905 to 5,919) | 13% | 97 | 44 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,500 | 1,475 (1,375 to 1,575) | 5% | 49 | 446 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 418 | 603 (506 to 700) | 16% | 100 | 446 hands |
| Net efficiency | 1,082 | 880 (682 to 1,079) | 18% | 92 | 446 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 38.6% | 40.2% (34.1% to 46.3%) | 28% | 39 | 70 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 33.0% | 29.4% (24.0% to 34.8%) | 52% | 90 | 97 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 26.8% | 26.4% (20.9% to 31.9%) | 64% | 67 | 112 first calls |
| Average win turn | 13.06 | 12.40 (12.25 to 12.54) | 2% | 4 | 99 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 43.4% | 41.0% (35.1% to 47.0%) | 30% | 67 | 76 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 18.2% | 14.5% (12.7% to 16.3%) | 10% | 95 | 231 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 75.6% | 75.2% (73.8% to 76.6%) | 88% | 64 | 2,403 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 0.98 | 0.99 (0.91 to 1.08) | 80% | 49 | 2,311 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.0% | 2.0% (1.6% to 2.4%) | 72% | 67 | 2,403 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.26 | 8.17 (8.05 to 8.30) | 5% | 92 | 89 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 77.8% | 74.4% (68.9% to 79.9%) | 44% | 90 | 89 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 7.1% | 9.5% (5.0% to 13.9%) | 62% | 16 | 99 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,695 | 2,639 (1,949 to 3,328) | 22% | 52 | 104 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 50.0% | 47.5% (42.1% to 52.9%) | 37% | 70 | 104 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 12.5% | 14.3% (12.4% to 16.1%) | 4% | 75 | 104 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 9.6% | 10.9% (8.5% to 13.3%) | 10% | 70 | 104 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 40.4% | 47.3% (42.3% to 52.4%) | 26% | 11 | 104 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 16.3% | 18.4% (14.3% to 22.5%) | 30% | 42 | 104 riichi |
| Call income | 979 | 565 (167 to 963) | 16% | 90 | 112 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 35.7% | 31.6% (27.0% to 36.2%) | 30% | 85 | 112 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 8.9% | 10.7% (7.5% to 13.9%) | 30% | 85 | 112 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.05 | 85 | 446 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | -0.05 | 21 | 446 hands |
| Draw luck | -0.4% | 26 | 5,375 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.18 | 14 | 52 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -4.4% | 31 | 52 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | +1.9% | 64 | 81 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 12.8% | 43 | 141 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -7.2 | 9 | 35 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 11.7% | +899 | +919 | -20 |
| Wins with calls | 9.0% | +455 | +382 | +73 |
| Dama wins | 1.6% | +146 | +173 | -27 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 4.3% | -247 | -360 | +113 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.9% | -167 | -203 | +37 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 0.7% | -27 | -101 | +74 |
| Others' tsumo | 31.6% | -795 | -752 | -43 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 36.3% | -36 | -60 | +24 |
| Total (per hand) | +228 |
2024-25 (27 games · skill estimate 0.5pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 68 | +1264.4 | +46.8 |
| Deal-ins | 40 | -518.4 | -19.2 |
| Others' tsumo | 84 | -571.7 | -21.2 |
| Ron between others | 74 | -111.8 | -4.1 |
| Exhaustive draws | 61 | +14.9 | +0.6 |
Luck
Every number for 2024-25
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.41 | 2.48 (2.29 to 2.68) | 16% | 60 | 27 games |
| Points per game | 2.8 | 0.5 (-7.4 to 8.4) | 17% | 55 | 27 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -3.0 | -0.6 (-7.9 to 6.6) | 22% | 43 | 27 games |
| 1st-place rate | 25.9% | 25.2% (17.5% to 32.9%) | 17% | 53 | 27 games |
| 4th-place rate | 22.2% | 24.4% (16.6% to 32.2%) | 18% | 58 | 27 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 20.8% | 20.2% (17.9% to 22.5%) | 29% | 52 | 327 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 12.2% | 11.3% (9.5% to 13.0%) | 26% | 26 | 327 hands |
| Riichi rate | 26.3% | 23.8% (21.4% to 26.3%) | 31% | 94 | 327 hands |
| Call rate | 27.2% | 26.5% (23.0% to 30.0%) | 83% | 72 | 327 hands |
| First riichi rate | 72.1% | 75.4% (71.2% to 79.5%) | 16% | 21 | 86 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.10 | 9.26 (8.88 to 9.64) | 34% | 75 | 86 riichi |
| Average win value | 5,974 | 6,457 (5,918 to 6,996) | 22% | 21 | 68 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 4,350 | 5,473 (4,957 to 5,990) | 12% | 97 | 40 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,415 | 1,472 (1,369 to 1,575) | 4% | 38 | 327 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 561 | 629 (525 to 733) | 12% | 72 | 327 hands |
| Net efficiency | 854 | 838 (624 to 1,052) | 14% | 46 | 327 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 44.0% | 41.5% (34.7% to 48.4%) | 22% | 49 | 50 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 27.7% | 26.4% (20.3% to 32.6%) | 42% | 58 | 65 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 28.1% | 27.1% (21.2% to 33.0%) | 59% | 80 | 89 first calls |
| Average win turn | 11.88 | 12.37 (12.22 to 12.52) | 2% | 89 | 68 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 41.0% | 40.3% (33.9% to 46.7%) | 25% | 58 | 61 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 15.0% | 14.1% (12.3% to 16.0%) | 8% | 63 | 167 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 75.7% | 75.3% (73.6% to 76.9%) | 83% | 83 | 1,689 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 0.79 | 0.86 (0.76 to 0.96) | 73% | 7 | 1,644 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 2.5% | 2.4% (1.9% to 2.8%) | 64% | 89 | 1,689 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 7.95 | 8.16 (8.03 to 8.28) | 4% | 21 | 75 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 77.6% | 74.0% (68.2% to 79.9%) | 40% | 83 | 75 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 4.4% | 8.7% (3.6% to 13.7%) | 52% | 4 | 68 wins |
| Riichi income | 2,336 | 2,569 (1,841 to 3,297) | 19% | 43 | 86 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 41.9% | 44.6% (38.9% to 50.4%) | 33% | 26 | 86 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 11.6% | 14.2% (12.4% to 16.1%) | 3% | 83 | 86 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 7.0% | 10.7% (8.2% to 13.2%) | 9% | 94 | 86 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 45.3% | 48.8% (43.4% to 54.1%) | 22% | 26 | 86 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 16.3% | 18.5% (14.1% to 22.9%) | 26% | 38 | 86 riichi |
| Call income | 428 | 479 (59.57 to 898) | 13% | 49 | 89 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 32.6% | 30.5% (25.6% to 35.5%) | 26% | 65 | 89 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 13.5% | 12.0% (8.6% to 15.5%) | 26% | 35 | 89 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | -0.14 | 1 | 327 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | -0.00 | 58 | 327 hands |
| Draw luck | +1.1% | 97 | 3,927 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | +0.07 | 80 | 36 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | -0.3% | 60 | 36 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | -2.1% | 49 | 62 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 15.5% | 18 | 84 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | +5.8 | 94 | 27 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 11.0% | +957 | +919 | +38 |
| Wins with calls | 8.9% | +393 | +382 | +11 |
| Dama wins | 0.9% | +65 | +173 | -108 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 4.3% | -292 | -360 | +68 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 6.1% | -171 | -203 | +32 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.8% | -116 | -101 | -15 |
| Others' tsumo | 25.7% | -704 | -752 | +48 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 41.3% | -66 | -60 | -6 |
| Total (per hand) | +66 |
2023-24 (23 games · skill estimate 0.9pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 57 | +1105.0 | +48.0 |
| Deal-ins | 27 | -509.3 | -22.1 |
| Others' tsumo | 82 | -486.3 | -21.1 |
| Ron between others | 65 | +35.0 | +1.5 |
| Exhaustive draws | 44 | +7.5 | +0.3 |
Luck
Every number for 2023-24
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.35 | 2.48 (2.28 to 2.68) | 14% | 80 | 23 games |
| Points per game | 6.4 | 0.9 (-7.3 to 9.2) | 15% | 77 | 23 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | 12.4 | 2.3 (-5.2 to 9.9) | 19% | 94 | 23 games |
| 1st-place rate | 34.8% | 26.5% (18.5% to 34.6%) | 15% | 87 | 23 games |
| 4th-place rate | 21.7% | 24.4% (16.2% to 32.5%) | 16% | 66 | 23 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 20.7% | 20.2% (17.7% to 22.6%) | 26% | 60 | 275 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 9.8% | 10.7% (8.8% to 12.5%) | 23% | 69 | 275 hands |
| Riichi rate | 22.2% | 22.6% (20.0% to 25.2%) | 27% | 32 | 275 hands |
| Call rate | 20.0% | 20.6% (16.8% to 24.3%) | 81% | 24 | 275 hands |
| First riichi rate | 70.5% | 75.3% (70.9% to 79.8%) | 12% | 21 | 61 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.92 | 9.49 (9.06 to 9.92) | 26% | 7 | 61 riichi |
| Average win value | 6,667 | 6,605 (6,037 to 7,172) | 19% | 55 | 57 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 6,478 | 5,697 (5,143 to 6,251) | 8% | 18 | 27 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,553 | 1,477 (1,372 to 1,581) | 3% | 63 | 275 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 659 | 641 (534 to 748) | 11% | 55 | 275 hands |
| Net efficiency | 894 | 842 (620 to 1,065) | 12% | 58 | 275 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 46.2% | 41.8% (34.5% to 49.1%) | 18% | 72 | 39 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 23.3% | 24.5% (18.6% to 30.5%) | 45% | 21 | 73 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 36.4% | 30.7% (23.8% to 37.6%) | 47% | 94 | 55 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.12 | 12.38 (12.23 to 12.52) | 1% | 63 | 57 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 43.2% | 40.7% (33.6% to 47.7%) | 20% | 69 | 44 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 14.4% | 14.1% (12.2% to 16.0%) | 7% | 69 | 146 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 74.7% | 74.3% (72.6% to 76.1%) | 81% | 55 | 1,432 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 0.79 | 0.87 (0.77 to 0.98) | 70% | 4 | 1,381 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.7% | 1.8% (1.3% to 2.3%) | 60% | 32 | 1,432 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.52 | 8.18 (8.05 to 8.31) | 3% | 86 | 51 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 74.6% | 72.6% (65.9% to 79.3%) | 31% | 60 | 51 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 14.0% | 13.7% (8.3% to 19.0%) | 48% | 67 | 57 wins |
| Riichi income | 3,272 | 2,715 (1,921 to 3,508) | 14% | 80 | 61 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 54.1% | 48.1% (41.6% to 54.6%) | 26% | 89 | 61 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 13.1% | 14.3% (12.4% to 16.2%) | 2% | 73 | 61 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 11.5% | 11.1% (8.5% to 13.7%) | 6% | 42 | 61 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 39.3% | 48.0% (42.1% to 53.9%) | 17% | 9 | 61 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 21.3% | 19.7% (14.8% to 24.5%) | 20% | 72 | 61 riichi |
| Call income | -369 | 414 (-43.95 to 872) | 8% | 9 | 55 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 29.1% | 29.7% (23.9% to 35.4%) | 18% | 55 | 55 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 25.5% | 14.0% (10.0% to 18.0%) | 18% | 1 | 55 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | +0.00 | 38 | 275 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.07 | 97 | 275 hands |
| Draw luck | -1.2% | 12 | 3,254 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | -0.08 | 35 | 33 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | +7.5% | 92 | 33 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | +4.4% | 77 | 43 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 12.2% | 41 | 82 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -6.0 | 9 | 23 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 12.0% | +1,031 | +919 | +112 |
| Wins with calls | 5.8% | +295 | +382 | -87 |
| Dama wins | 2.9% | +227 | +173 | +54 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 4.0% | -359 | -360 | +1 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 4.4% | -212 | -203 | -9 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 1.5% | -113 | -101 | -12 |
| Others' tsumo | 29.8% | -715 | -752 | +37 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 39.6% | -40 | -60 | +20 |
| Total (per hand) | +113 |
2022-23 (24 games · skill estimate -0.7pt/game)
Style
Where the points came from
As a table
| Hand result | Hands | Total | Per game |
|---|---|---|---|
| Own wins | 49 | +1069.8 | +44.6 |
| Deal-ins | 44 | -543.5 | -22.6 |
| Others' tsumo | 80 | -620.4 | -25.9 |
| Ron between others | 63 | -80.6 | -3.4 |
| Exhaustive draws | 64 | +67.7 | +2.8 |
Luck
Every number for 2022-23
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average placement | 2.54 | 2.50 (2.31 to 2.70) | 14% | 47 | 24 games |
| Points per game | -4.4 | -0.7 (-8.8 to 7.5) | 15% | 36 | 24 games |
| Points per game, luck removed | -0.1 | -0.0 (-7.5 to 7.5) | 20% | 52 | 24 games |
| 1st-place rate | 20.8% | 24.4% (16.4% to 32.4%) | 16% | 35 | 24 games |
| 4th-place rate | 25.0% | 24.9% (16.9% to 33.0%) | 17% | 49 | 24 games |
| Metric | Actual | Estimate (90% interval) | Weight of the record | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Win rate | 16.3% | 19.0% (16.6% to 21.4%) | 27% | 11 | 300 hands |
| Deal-in rate | 14.7% | 11.8% (10.0% to 13.6%) | 24% | 1 | 300 hands |
| Riichi rate | 25.0% | 23.4% (20.9% to 25.9%) | 29% | 87 | 300 hands |
| Call rate | 24.0% | 23.8% (20.2% to 27.4%) | 82% | 74 | 300 hands |
| First riichi rate | 73.3% | 75.6% (71.3% to 79.9%) | 14% | 23 | 75 riichi |
| Average riichi turn | 9.92 | 9.51 (9.12 to 9.91) | 31% | 14 | 75 riichi |
| Average win value | 7,198 | 6,691 (6,101 to 7,281) | 17% | 71 | 49 wins |
| Average deal-in value | 4,389 | 5,465 (4,958 to 5,971) | 13% | 100 | 44 deal-ins |
| Win efficiency | 1,291 | 1,468 (1,364 to 1,572) | 3% | 20 | 300 hands |
| Deal-in loss | 685 | 644 (539 to 750) | 12% | 33 | 300 hands |
| Net efficiency | 607 | 805 (587 to 1,024) | 13% | 17 | 300 hands |
| Push rate vs riichi (1-shanten) | 33.8% | 39.0% (32.7% to 45.3%) | 26% | 27 | 65 hands facing riichi |
| Push rate vs riichi (2+ shanten) | 31.7% | 28.0% (21.7% to 34.3%) | 40% | 87 | 60 hands facing riichi |
| Tenpai rate after the first call | 29.2% | 27.5% (21.2% to 33.9%) | 54% | 60 | 72 first calls |
| Average win turn | 12.54 | 12.38 (12.23 to 12.53) | 1% | 49 | 49 wins |
| Tenpai rate at exhaustive draws | 45.3% | 41.4% (35.1% to 47.7%) | 26% | 87 | 64 exhaustive draws |
| Staying in vs riichi | 13.5% | 14.0% (12.1% to 15.9%) | 7% | 52 | 163 hands facing an opponent’s riichi |
| Tile efficiency match rate | 74.4% | 74.2% (72.6% to 75.8%) | 84% | 81 | 1,705 discards |
| Average ukeire loss (tiles) | 0.98 | 1.00 (0.90 to 1.10) | 74% | 17 | 1,650 discards |
| Breaking shape for value | 1.3% | 1.6% (1.1% to 2.0%) | 64% | 4 | 1,705 discards |
| Tenpai turn (luck-adjusted) | 8.61 | 8.18 (8.06 to 8.31) | 4% | 97 | 65 tenpai hands |
| Immediate riichi rate | 77.3% | 73.7% (67.6% to 79.8%) | 37% | 78 | 65 tenpai hands |
| Dama rate | 12.2% | 12.9% (7.2% to 18.5%) | 44% | 46 | 49 wins |
| Riichi income | 1,172 | 2,379 (1,624 to 3,134) | 17% | 1 | 75 riichi |
| Riichi win rate | 32.0% | 41.8% (35.7% to 47.9%) | 30% | 1 | 75 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate A | 24.0% | 14.6% (12.7% to 16.5%) | 3% | 1 | 75 riichi |
| Riichi deal-in rate B | 17.3% | 11.5% (9.0% to 14.0%) | 8% | 1 | 75 riichi |
| Riichi good-wait rate | 52.0% | 50.2% (44.6% to 55.8%) | 20% | 62 | 75 riichi |
| Riichi exhaustive draw rate | 22.7% | 20.1% (15.5% to 24.6%) | 24% | 71 | 75 riichi |
| Call income | 231 | 459 (21.50 to 896) | 11% | 20 | 72 calls |
| Win rate after calling | 26.4% | 29.1% (23.7% to 34.4%) | 22% | 30 | 72 calls |
| Deal-in rate after calling | 13.9% | 12.0% (8.3% to 15.8%) | 22% | 23 | 72 calls |
| Metric | Actual | Percentile | Count |
|---|---|---|---|
| Starting hand (shanten) | -0.02 | 46 | 300 hands |
| Dora and red fives dealt | +0.04 | 62 | 300 hands |
| Draw luck | -0.4% | 27 | 3,733 tile draws |
| Ura-dora luck | +0.02 | 52 | 24 riichi wins |
| Ippatsu rate | +5.3% | 76 | 24 riichi wins |
| Avoiding a chase riichi (/first riichi) | +7.2% | 90 | 55 first riichi |
| Mangan+ tsumo against dealer rate | 8.8% | 84 | 80 tsumo against |
| Points from luck (/game) | -4.3 | 27 | 24 games |
| Category | Frequency | Balance per hand | League average | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wins with riichi | 8.0% | +735 | +919 | -184 |
| Wins with calls | 6.3% | +363 | +382 | -19 |
| Dama wins | 2.0% | +193 | +173 | +20 |
| Deal-ins to riichi | 4.7% | -326 | -360 | +34 |
| Deal-ins to open hands | 7.7% | -254 | -203 | -51 |
| Deal-ins to dama | 2.3% | -149 | -101 | -48 |
| Others' tsumo | 26.7% | -777 | -752 | -25 |
| Other (exhaustive draws, etc.) | 42.3% | -7 | -60 | +53 |
| Total (per hand) | -220 |
Players with a similar styleclosest career style metrics first
- Maki AsamiAkasaka DrivensIn common: Dama rarely, Efficiency first, Chasing riichi often
- Tomohiro HondaTEAM RAIDENIn common: Dama rarely, Smaller hands, Riichi-heavy
- Sayaka OkadaKADOKAWA Sakura KnightsIn common: Efficiency first, Dama rarely
* Twelve style metrics, including call rate, riichi rate, win rate, deal-in rate, hand value, riichi speed and immediate riichi rate, are put on the same scale and compared; the players closest overall are listed. Metrics supported more strongly by the data receive more weight. The comparison shows how similar the players' styles are, not which is better. Differences are often small, so the order may change.